Editorial
No To National Census In 2018
Recent reports credited to the National Population Commission (NPC), revealed that the commission has proposed 2018 for the national census exercise, after the last one in 2006, which till date is still riddled with controversies.
The commission’s Chairman, Chief Eze Duruiheroma reportedly told the Senate Committee on Population and National Identity that the NPC was ready to conduct a fresh national head-count, if only the Federal Government would oblige the body N222 billion budget proposal to execute the exercise, next year.
The NPC’s boss further said that but for paucity of funds, the head-count would have been held in 2016, a decade after the last exercise, in line with best international practice and convention. A shift to 2017, he further said, was still not feasible due to dearth of funds.
Explaining the commission’s financial predicament, the NPC’s helmsman said that for the commission to do a thorough job this time, all logistics: manpower, finance, surveys, researches, documentations, sensitisation, publicity, training and re-training of personnel, among others, must be put in their proper perspective in order to avoid the anomalies that characterised past exercises. We cannot but agree entirely with Duruiheroma.
While The Tide appreciates the hiccups usually associated with the smooth, successful and a generally acceptable head-count exercise, our experiences in post-Nigeria independence era, especially in the last two or three decades, indicate that the Chief Duruiheroma-led commission must as a matter of national expediency and priority conduct a credible census, generally acceptable by all segments of the country, despite the differences in geography, history, politics or religion.
To achieve this, therefore, the timing of the census must be taken into serious consideration. We are aware that the 2019 general elections timetable was recently released by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and for this reason, a national project such as census cannot and must not clash with another very vital national project such as general elections.
We are particularly appalled by the insensitivity of NPC to propose or fix a census a year preceding a general election, especially against the backdrop that Nigerian political gladiators being who they are, are most likely to hijack such exercise for their political interest. Cases abound in the past where the politicians short-changed the process of conducting census for their personal or party interest and we don’t want a repeat of such anomaly this time around.
Perhaps, and more importantly is the fact that it will be very weighty for the Federal Government to embark on the two capital-intensive programmes (census and elections) within such a short period. Enough spacing is imperative and therefore, we recommend such.
Our candid position is that a new administration other than the current one, after its inauguration should conduct the next census when the elections and litigations that follow may have been resolved and the new government settles down for serious business.
Without any prejudice, we fully endorse the views expressed by no less a personality than a top-ranking member of the APC-led Federal Government, Yakubu Dogara, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, who posited that conducting census in 2017 will obviously create much anxiety and heighten tension amongst the political class. We salute his courage, wisdom and boldness.
The Tide, indeed, shares Dogara’s sentiments as we believe that if the census exercise is conducted next year, it could precipitate national crisis that could mar the 2019 general elections.
Besides, the nation’s economy is in dire strait and could hardly carry two gigantic national projects of such magnitude.
Our take, therefore, is that Nigeria cannot and must not embark on a crash programme of conducting a head-count without adequate planning and funding that would translate to a hitch-free and successful exercise.
Between 1962 and 1963, the then Tafawa Balewa administration made several attempts to conduct a census but to no avail.
In 1973, the military dispensation conducted one but it was greeted with cynicism and controversies and was eventually cancelled. Nigerians, till date, are still striving to accept the result of the last head-count of 2006.
Hence, we must get it right this time or never.
Editorial
2027: Beyond IGP’s Billboards Protection Order
As Nigeria moves toward the 2027 general elections and campaign activities intensify, violence against opposition politicians has become an issue that can no longer be overlooked. What should be a season of competing ideas is increasingly turning into a test of intimidation, and early signs suggest that those challenging the ruling establishment are the primary targets.
It was, therefore, welcome news when the Inspector-General of Police, Olatunji Disu, warned politicians, political thugs and others against destroying, defacing or removing campaign posters, banners and billboards. In a statement issued in Abuja by the Force Public Relations Officer, CSP Ani Iniedu, the police condemned such acts as political intolerance, directed Commissioners of Police in all 36 States and the Federal Capital Territory to take preventive measures, and warned that sponsors would also face prosecution. The police rightly described such vandalism as a criminal act that undermines parties’ and candidates’ freedom to canvass for votes.
But billboards are replaceable; human lives are not. While applauding the IGP’s stance, we urge him to extend the same stern warning and enforcement zeal to thugs who assault opposition members during campaigns. A police force that punishes the tearing of a poster but ignores the breaking of a skull will have its priorities questioned. Allowing such attacks to continue could erode the foundations of our democracy.
Consider the African Democratic Congress (ADC) presidential campaign flag-off in Sokoto State on November 4, 2026. The party alleged that the State Government denied it access to public facilities, sealed its campaign venue and pressured hotels to reject its delegates, forcing it to hold the rally at its secretariat. The Sokoto authorities, however, denied instructing hotels to turn guests away. More seriously, two suspected ADC supporters were reportedly shot along the Sokoto–Wurno Road while travelling to the venue, allegedly by operatives of the Sokoto State Community Guards.
Whatever the truth of these competing accounts, a shooting demands more than press statements. It requires a transparent, independent investigation and prosecution where warranted. Sokoto was not an isolated incident. The following day in Birnin Kebbi, the ADC presidential campaign convoy was reportedly attacked by armed gangs. Amnesty International said vehicles were vandalised, people assaulted with cutlasses and roads blocked, while the party’s Kebbi governorship candidate, Abubakar Malami, alleged that media equipment was destroyed and tear gas deployed. His convoy had suffered a similar attack in the city in September 2025.
The Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) has suffered similar attacks. On November 4, hoodlums stoned the motorcade of its presidential candidate, Peter Obi, and running mate, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, at Watt Market roundabout in Calabar, Cross River State. Police reported arresting a 27-year-old suspect, Victor Edet, although it remains unclear whether he has been arraigned. The State Government has denied suggestions that ruling-party supporters were responsible. Worse, in Asaba, Delta State, one person was killed and five injured when suspected thugs attacked an NDC rally. A death at a political rally is no longer a warning; it is a damning indictment of the prevailing political climate.
Even critics of the establishment who are not frontrunners have not been spared. Omoyele Sowore, presidential candidate of the African Action Congress (AAC), was attacked by suspected thugs at a restaurant in Ado-Ekiti on October 30. He alleged that the assailants were linked to the Ekiti State Government House and that the Department of State Services leaked his location. Both the State Government and the security service denied involvement, while the police reported a minor injury and a discreet investigation. These conflicting accounts make an independent, publicly reported inquiry indispensable.
What deepens the concern is the Federal Government’s apparent silence. We are unaware of any specific, forceful condemnation of these assaults, even as All Progressives Congress (APC) rallies appear to proceed nationwide without incident. Such silence can easily be misconstrued as complicity, regardless of intent.
According to the Centre for Democracy and Development, 109 election-related deaths were recorded in the build-up to the 2023 polls. The Kimpact Development Initiative separately documented 238 incidents and 24 deaths during the general elections. Beyond Nigeria, Kenya’s 2007–08 post-election violence claimed more than 1,000 lives, according to the Waki Commission. Ghana, by contrast, enacted the Vigilantism and Related Offences Act in 2019 to curb party vigilante groups, a model worth studying.
The remedies are neither exotic nor expensive. The IGP should extend his directive to cover assaults on individuals and disruptions of rallies, while establishing a dedicated investigative unit to probe the Sokoto shooting and the attacks in Kebbi, Calabar, Asaba and Ado-Ekiti. It should publish the status of each case within a fixed period. Suspects must be prosecuted and their sponsors, regardless of party or position, brought to justice. State-backed security outfits, including the Community Guards, should be audited and barred from partisan duties.
The Federal Government must speak and act unequivocally. President Tinubu should specifically condemn attacks on opposition candidates and direct all security agencies to guarantee equal protection for every party. Governors must ensure equal access to public facilities for registered parties. The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), which has warned of fines and imprisonment under the Electoral Act 2026 for inflammatory campaign conduct, should enforce the Code of Conduct for Political Parties. Working with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security, it should publish a joint security plan covering campaigns, polling, and collation. Parties must discipline their supporters, courts expedite electoral-violence trials, and civil society and the media maintain a public record of incidents and their outcomes.
The credibility of the 2027 elections is at stake. An election is credible only when every contender can campaign, travel, assemble and speak freely, without fear. Without a free opposition, there can be no meaningful democracy. Nigeria is not a one-party State, and law enforcement agencies must demonstrate their neutrality through action, not communiqués. The campaign atmosphere is too tense to be left to chance. Billboards deserve protection, certainly, but citizens deserve it far more.
Editorial
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