Editorial
Nigeria’s Economy: How Healthy?
Watchers of the Nigerian economy
were recently treated to
discordant tunes over the state of the nation’s economy by some key players in the sector. A lot of people were taken aback when the Finance Minister and the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria gave conflicting reports of the state of the Nigerian economy.
The controversy over the state of affairs of the economy which was brought to public space by the pronouncements of the Coordinating Minister of the Economy and Minister of Finance, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, on the one hand, and the Governor the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, Lamido Sanusi Lamido on the other, has left so many persons bewildered.
This is so because while the Minister asserts that the economy was on course and stable, the CBN Governor insists that the contrary is true. That these two key officers would be saying different things on the same subject is bad, and that the administration cannot speak from one authorised source is also regrettable.
However, while the controversy lasted, Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala came out to stoutly defend the economy, insisting that the country was not broke and that the nation had met all its obligations. To support her position, reference was made to the fact that out of N1.7 trillion of personnel costs and wages, N 1.3 trillion was paid, while on overheads, N 180 billion was released out of the N248 billion budget for that purpose.
To further buttress the fact that the economy was doing well despite shortfalls in revenue arising from massive crude oil theft and pipeline vandalism, the Minister said that on capital budget N850 billion, 95 per cent cash-backed had been released, while 75 per cent of that amount had been utilised. She then wondered where those who claim that the economy had derailed got their facts from.
Even so, while the Finance Minister says all is well some realities on ground can only be worrisome. In addition to the fact that Finance Commissioners were walking out of Federation Accounts Allocation Committee meetings, reports of shortfalls in payment to the various tiers of government do not also add up.
While The Tide is not unaware of the on-going economic sabotage being perpetrated by oil thieves and its negative impact on the nation’s economy, our concern is rooted in the fact that the conflicting reports hitherto fed the public on the state of the economy, is capable of sending wrong signals.
We think that an issue as serious as the prevailing condition of the nation’s economy should not be an issue to guess or argue about. It should be fact based. Indeed it should be made available to the public only by the Coordinating Minister of the Economy whose responsibility it is to aggregate the performance of all the sectors.
To avoid further contradictions on the state of the economy and to build the much needed confidence, government functionaries should double check their facts and not raise doubts and speculations that are capable of injuring the polity. Because it is important for Nigerians to participate actively in the economy the truth about the state of affairs is very necessary. In fact, we ask that the true version be released now.
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INEC’s Threat Alert Deserves Urgent Attention
The Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) disclosure of an alleged plot to target its ad hoc personnel ahead of the 2027 general elections demand urgent national attention. The reported arrest of suspects, with intelligence support from the Department of State Services (DSS), is encouraging, but must not breed complacency. Any attack on electoral workers threatens not only human lives but also Nigerians’ constitutional right to choose their leaders through credible elections. The alleged conspiracy must be thoroughly investigated, its sponsors identified and all those found culpable prosecuted.
Particularly troubling is the reported targeting of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members, who play a vital role in Nigeria’s electoral process. Many serve far from home and undertake sensitive assignments at polling units and other electoral locations. As civilians, they should not be exposed to intimidation, abduction or violence without adequate protection. If election workers are vulnerable, the safety of other officials, observers and voters cannot be guaranteed.
Nigeria’s electoral history offers painful lessons. Human Rights Watch reported in Nigeria’s Post-Election Violence, published in May 2011, that more than 800 people died in the violence following the 2011 general elections. NYSC members serving as electoral officials were among the victims. This tragedy underscores the deadly consequences of political tension, incitement and disputed outcomes. Nigeria must act on the latest warning before another preventable disaster occurs.
INEC deserves recognition for uncovering the alleged plot, while the DSS and other security agencies merit commendation for their reported assistance. However, arrests are only the beginning. Investigators must establish the suspects’ identities, motives, networks and intended targets, ensuring that evidence is admissible in court. The process must remain impartial and free from political interference. Credible public updates are also necessary, provided they do not compromise investigations or operational security.
The authorities must adopt a comprehensive, intelligence-led security strategy for 2027. INEC’s proposed security conference should produce practical measures developed in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security (ICCES), the police, the DSS and other relevant agencies. Threat assessments should guide personnel deployment, secure transportation, emergency communications, evacuation procedures and rapid response. Protection must extend beyond polling day to the distribution of sensitive materials, collation centres and the safe return of ad hoc personnel.
Those who provide intelligence must also be protected from retaliation. Confidential reporting channels and appropriate safeguards should be established for informants and others assisting investigations. Equally, security deployments must not intimidate voters or facilitate political repression. Personnel should act professionally, impartially and proportionately, within the law. Clear mechanisms for reporting misconduct and investigating abuses are essential to maintaining public confidence.
The threat also highlights broader concerns about trust in the electoral system. The European Union Election Observation Mission’s June 2023 final report identified shortcomings in transparency and operational implementation during Nigeria’s 2023 general elections, alongside concerns about the legal framework and electoral dispute resolution. Credible elections require more than security; they depend on transparent procedures, accountable officials and consistent enforcement of electoral laws. INEC must demonstrate measurable progress in addressing previously identified weaknesses.
Voter apathy presents another challenge. INEC’s published figures indicate that approximately 25 million people voted in the 2023 presidential election, out of about 93.5 million registered voters, a turnout of roughly 26.7 per cent. Although insecurity is not the sole cause of low participation, threats against electoral personnel can heighten public anxiety and discourage voters from exercising their franchise. INEC should strengthen civic education, improve polling accessibility and communicate procedures clearly. Political parties, civil society and the media must promote peaceful participation and reject electoral intimidation.
Misinformation and manipulated digital content pose additional risks. False reports, fabricated announcements and deepfake videos can inflame tensions, impersonate officials and mislead voters. INEC should establish a well-resourced, rapid-response communication system supported by verified digital channels and timely public statements. Collaboration with credible media organisations and fact-checkers would help counter falsehoods without suppressing legitimate criticism. Clear, consistent communication is indispensable, as administrative confusion and delayed explanations often allow rumours to spread.
Electoral integrity must also begin within INEC itself. The chairman’s warning against partisanship, negligence, extortion and ethical misconduct deserves serious attention. Security measures cannot compensate for officials who abuse their positions or disregard established procedures. INEC should strengthen staff training, ensure transparent recruitment and deployment, provide secure channels for reporting misconduct and enforce disciplinary rules consistently. Allegations of bribery and political interference must be investigated regardless of rank, while ad hoc personnel should receive adequate briefing, support and prompt payment.
The legal framework also requires clarity and consistent enforcement. INEC should explain the precise provisions and applicability of Section 26 of the Electoral Act 2026, including the obligations of electoral officials and security personnel, and publish authoritative guidance on neutrality and professional conduct. Complaints by opposition parties that they have been prevented from campaigning in certain states must likewise be investigated impartially. Any established violations should attract appropriate corrective action. Electoral fairness requires not only impartial polling officials but also lawful campaigning, access to competing viewpoints and freedom from intimidation.
The alleged plot against INEC’s ad hoc personnel is a warning against complacency ahead of the 2027 general election. Governments, security agencies, INEC, political parties and civil society must work together to prevent violence, punish misconduct and protect citizens’ participation. The commission should communicate its security priorities, maintain accessible threat-reporting channels and provide periodic updates on preparedness. Nigeria’s democracy cannot be safeguarded by assurances alone; it requires demonstrable preparation, impartial law enforcement and an unwavering commitment to free, fair and credible elections.
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