Business
President Predicts Harder Russian Economy
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said Sunday that Russia’s economy was hit harder than expected by the global financial crisis, but Kremlin measures helped the country avoid the worst case scenario.
Russia’s gross domestic product will drop by about 7.5 per cent this year, compared with earlier forecasts of 3 to 3.5 per cent and industrial production fell by nearly 14 per cent in the first half of 2009, Medvedev said.
I must admit that we sunk below our lowest expectations,” Medvedev told the state owned Channel One network in an interview that aired Sunday. “The real damage to our economy was far greater than anything predicted by ourselves, the World Bank and other expert organizations.”
Russia is facing its first recession in a decade, with gross domestic product down by an annual 10.9 per cent in the second quarter of the year. The recession followed a crash in commodity price, flagging foreign investment and a squeeze on credit markets.
Medvedev said that Russia faces a significant budget deficit next year that will surpass the September figure of almost 5 per cent of GDP. “But it’s not a tragedy, not a disaster for the economy,” he said.
A recent rebound in oil prices has prompted Russian officials to give upbeat reports that the recession has bottomed out and that the country will start seeing moderate growth.
Medvedev said government measures have also reduced unemployment from its peak of 7.5 million, and praised the stabilization of the ruble, which lost a quarter of its value since last summer, but regained some of its losses in the past months.
The ruble still remains under intense pressure amid talk of a potential devaluation.
Medvedev reiterated his earlier pledges to diversify Russia’s oil-dependent economy, but said it would take up to 15 years to develop stronger non-energy sectors that would account for up to 30 to 40 per cent of GDP.
The facility will be disbursed through participating Microfinance Institutions (MFIs), which will in turn extend the loans to their customers, particularly SMEs, as they directly interface with businesses at the grassroots level.
The Executive Director of COMCIN, Mr. Micheal Ogbaa who represented the Chairman, Dr. Iredele Oyedele (FCA, FCCA), said the initiative is designed to strengthen micro-lending institutions and expand access to finance for grassroots entrepreneurs, particularly women and youths in the informal sector.
Ogbaa explained that COMCIN does not lend directly to individuals but works through its network of microfinance and cooperative institutions, which in turn provide loans to end users.
“We came together to advocate for the microfinance ecosystem. Commercial banks often exclude people at the grassroots, but our members are positioned to reach them. This facility will empower them to do more,” he said.
He noted that the loan scheme offers low interest rates and flexible repayment plans, making it more accessible to small business owners.
According to him, about 90 percent of beneficiaries are expected to be women, who play a key role in sustaining families and driving economic activities at the local level.
“Our focus is on traders, service providers, and players in the informal sector. These are the real movers of the economy. By supporting them, we are strengthening families and contributing to national development,” he added.
Ogbaa disclosed that eligible SMEs with proven integrity and business track records could access up to N5 million each through participating micro-lending institutions. The rollout has commenced in Lagos and will extend to Abuja, Enugu, and other regions, including the South-West, South-East, and North-East.
He said 12 micro-lending institutions have already benefited from the scheme, while 85 applications are currently being processed under the pilot phase.
“Our target is to reach at least 100,000 SMEs nationwide. We are building a platform that connects funding partners with credible micro-lending institutions, creating a reliable channel for financial inclusion,” Ogbaa said.
He added that COMCIN is also working to attract larger funding pools from development finance institutions and private investors, noting that successful implementation of the pilot phase would boost confidence and unlock more capital for SMEs.
“We have seen encouraging testimonies from early beneficiaries. As we demonstrate transparency and efficiency, more institutions will be willing to channel funds through us,” he said.
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