Opinion
2015: The Fate Of Nigeria’s Democracy
The question as to whether Nigeria will survive 2015
was first contained in United States Security analysis in 2009. But Nigeria, bristling with outrage negated the prediction. The truth is that we have never lacked words in Nigeria. But words are not action, nor do they correct the impact of negative actions.
As we inch towards the political watershed of 2015, the dissonance between words and action, along with insincere, incompetent, malicious governance, could make seers of an American.
For some people, all we need to do to make Nigeria better is replace the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) with another party. That is simplistic.
Our problem is not parties: It is about the politicians that is why at the National Assembly when has emerged as some kind of legitimised looting institution, there are no arguments among parties which it comes to looting the treasury.
Will there be a difference in approach should one of the new parties win at the centre in 2015. Not until such a party, long before that time, can demonstrate the mettle of which it is made.
We already know there are two conflicting Nigerians, whatever direction you look. For instance, there are those who have and those who lack.
Those who have, usually people with access to the government, often have money lying around, but with money laundering being considerably more difficult these days, they spend the funds on property, expensive home, land and cars.
Most of the 18bn US dollars that is guzzled by corruption in Nigeria every year goes into feeding this monster, which feeds private greed and not the economy.
All over Nigeria those who lack continue to grow poorer and more disenchanted while the country is dotted all over with expensive property to which stolen funds have been deployed, our people are dying of hunger, road accidents on account of horrendous roads and of course through armed rubbery because there is no security in the land. We have neither hospitals for our families nor jobs for our youths.
This is why, when the new parties say they are the answer to the nation’s numerous problems, I laugh. Some of those governors who claim to be the signpost to the future are the very Nigerians who in their executive jets, are allegedly buying up weapons in preparation for 2015. Why? Is there a war scheduled for 2015, or are they scheduling one by themselves? What are these governors doing to provide leadership by example or selfless service?
The new parties are beating their chests, but if there is 2015 or if there is life after 2015, their best contribution would be how much selflessness they are willing to invest in the Nigerian project?
Former military Head of State and a national leader of the All Progressive Congress (APC), Muhammadu Buhari, has predicted that 2015 general elections would be another watershed in the Nigerian political scene.
He said members of the APC decided to come together to save Nigeria from bad governance, and said with a population of about 170 million people, Nigeria must be rescued from misrule, adding that with APC coming as a strong opposition to the ruling PDP, the next general election would be a decisive one.
The preparation of the power struggle toward 2015 general elections started Saturday, August 31, 2013 at the Eagle Square, venue of the mini National Convention of the PDP.
The result of the party convention was internal discord and implosion. Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar was at the driver’s seat of the rebellion. He led seven of the 23 PDP governors to stage a walk out and thereafter, announced the birth of what they termed “The new PDP”.
The message is however not lost on any discerning mind because the North has made a strong statement with that singular act that they were not going to go with President Goodluck Jonathan in his second term ambition.
Rivers State Governor Rotimi Amaechi who also defected to the APC was the only South-South Governor among the lot. After defecting to the APC, governor Rotimi Amaechi said he moved to the APC after the meeting they (the G.7 Governor) had with Buhari, Tinubu and interim national chairman of the APC, Chief Bisi Akande.
Governor Amaechi observed that though the reconciliation meeting between the President and the G7 governors was postponed, it was clear that the presidency was not ready for reconciliation.
Already the atmosphere in Rivers State has charged following the dissolution of Obio/Akpor Local Government Council by the State Governor, Rt. Hon. Amaechi as well as the crisis in the State House of Assembly and the unsuccessful plan to impeach the Speaker. Also there are several attacks on political opponents and disruption of political rallies. Few days ago Ahoada and Okehi High Courts were bombed.
At Ogu in Ogu/Bolo Local Government Council recently one of the five anti-Amaechi lawmakers, Mr Evans Bipi, has vowed not to sight any APC flag in the local government area or APC symbols. Both the Felix Obua-led PDP and the G. U. Ake-led PDP have started making statements capable of causing crisis in the state.
The Chairman of Ogu/Bolo local government area Moureen Tamuno has vowed that the APC flag must fly in her local government area unless Evans Bipi and his group wanted a repeat of what happened in 2013.
As the 2015 general elections draw nearer, especially in Rivers State, let the various political leaders and parties know that power belongs to God and God alone and that no matter the plans and calculations of man, God’s plan supersedes.
Let us not forget in a hurry the crisis that befell the state from 2002 to almost 2008, where the state lost over five thousand youths who could be future leaders.
Even as we approach 2015, let us understand and put it in consideration that only one person will govern the state as well as the nation.
Therefore, let all political leaders sheathe their sword and ensure peace because without peace there would be no meaningful development in our communities, state and the nation at large.
Amadi wrote from PH.
Fubara Amadi
Opinion
Wike VS Soldier’s Altercation: Matters Arising
The events that unfolded in Abuja on Tuesday November 11, 2025 between the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Chief Nyesom Wike and a detachment of soldiers guarding a disputed property, led by Adams Yerima, a commissioned Naval Officer, may go down as one of the defining images of Nigeria’s democratic contradictions. It was not merely a quarrel over land. It was a confrontation between civil authority and the military legacy that still hovers over our national life.
Nyesom Wike, fiery and fearless as always, was seen on video exchanging words with a uniformed officer who refused to grant him passage to inspect a parcel of land alleged to have been illegally acquired. The minister’s voice rose, his temper flared, and the soldier, too, stood his ground, insisting on his own authority. Around them, aides, security men, and bystanders watched, stunned, as two embodiments of the Nigerian state clashed in the open.
The images spread fast, igniting debates across drawing rooms, beer parlours, and social media platforms. Some hailed Wike for standing up to military arrogance; others scolded him for perceived disrespect to the armed forces. Yet beneath the noise lies a deeper question about what sort of society we are building and whether power in Nigeria truly understands the limits of its own reach.
It is tragic that, more than two decades into civil rule, the relationship between the civilian arm of government and the military remains fragile and poorly understood. The presence of soldiers in a land dispute between private individuals and the city administration is, by all civic standards, an aberration. It recalls a dark era when might was right, and uniforms conferred immunity against accountability.
Wike’s anger, even if fiery, was rooted in a legitimate concern: that no individual, however connected or retired, should deploy the military to protect personal interests. That sentiment echoes the fundamental democratic creed that the law is supreme, not personalities. If his passion overshot decorum, it was perhaps a reflection of a nation weary of impunity.
On the other hand, the soldier in question is a symbol of another truth: that discipline, respect for order, and duty to hierarchy are ingrained in our armed forces. He may have been caught between conflicting instructions one from his superiors, another from a civilian minister exercising his lawful authority. The confusion points not to personal failure but to institutional dysfunction.
It is, therefore, simplistic to turn the incident into a morality play of good versus evil.
*********”**** What happened was an institutional embarrassment. Both men represented facets of the same failing system a polity still learning how to reconcile authority with civility, law with loyalty, and service with restraint.
In fairness, Wike has shown himself as a man of uncommon courage. Whether in Rivers State or at the FCTA, he does not shy away from confrontation. Yet courage without composure often feeds misunderstanding. A public officer must always be the cooler head, even when provoked, because the power of example outweighs the satisfaction of winning an argument.
Conversely, soldiers, too, must be reminded that their uniforms do not place them above civilian oversight. The military exists to defend the nation, not to enforce property claims or intimidate lawful authorities. Their participation in purely civil matters corrodes the image of the institution and erodes public trust.
One cannot overlook the irony: in a country where kidnappers roam highways and bandits sack villages, armed men are posted to guard contested land in the capital. It reflects misplaced priorities and distorted values. The Nigerian soldier, trained to defend sovereignty, should not be drawn into private or bureaucratic tussles.
Sycophancy remains the greatest ailment of our political culture. Many of those who now cheer one side or the other do so not out of conviction but out of convenience. Tomorrow they will switch allegiance. True patriotism lies not in defending personalities but in defending principles. A people enslaved by flattery cannot nurture a culture of justice.
The Nigerian elite must learn to submit to the same laws that govern the poor. When big men fence off public land and use connections to shield their interests, they mock the very constitution they swore to uphold. The FCT, as the mirror of national order, must not become a jungle where only the powerful can build.
The lesson for Wike himself is also clear: power is best exercised with calmness. The weight of his office demands more than bravery; it demands statesmanship. To lead is not merely to command, but to persuade — even those who resist your authority.
Equally, the lesson for the armed forces is that professionalism shines brightest in restraint. Obedience to illegal orders is not loyalty; it is complicity. The soldier who stands on the side of justice protects both his honour and the dignity of his uniform.
The Presidency, too, must see this episode as a wake-up call to clarify institutional boundaries. If soldiers can be drawn into civil enforcement without authorization, then our democracy remains at risk of subtle militarization. The constitution must speak louder than confusion.
The Nigerian public deserves better than spectacles of ego. We crave leaders who rise above emotion and officers who respect civilian supremacy. Our children must not inherit a nation where authority means shouting matches and intimidation in public glare.
Every democracy matures through such tests. What matters is whether we learn the right lessons. The British once had generals who defied parliament; the Americans once fought over states’ rights; Nigeria, too, must pass through her own growing pains but with humility, not hubris.
If the confrontation has stirred discomfort, then perhaps it has done the nation some good. It forces a conversation long overdue: Who truly owns the state — the citizen or the powerful? Can we build a Nigeria where institutions, not individuals, define our destiny?
As the dust settles, both the FCTA and the military hierarchy must conduct impartial investigations. The truth must be established — not to shame anyone, but to restore order. Where laws were broken, consequences must follow. Where misunderstandings occurred, apologies must be offered.
Let the rule of law triumph over the rule of impulse. Let civility triumph over confrontation. Let governance return to the path of dialogue and procedure.
Nigeria cannot continue to oscillate between civilian bravado and military arrogance. Both impulses spring from the same insecurity — the fear of losing control. True leadership lies in the ability to trust institutions to do their work without coercion.
Those who witnessed the clash saw a drama of two gladiators. One in starched khaki, one in well-cut suit. Both proud, both unyielding. But a nation cannot be built on stubbornness; it must be built on understanding. Power, when it meets power, should produce order, not chaos.
We must resist the temptation to glorify temper. Governance is not warfare; it is stewardship. The citizen watches, the world observes, and history records. How we handle moments like this will define our collective maturity.
The confrontation may have ended without violence, but it left deep questions in the national conscience. When men of authority quarrel in the open, institutions tremble. The people, once again, become spectators in a theatre of misplaced pride.
It is time for all who hold office — civilian or military — to remember that they serve under the same flag. That flag is neither khaki nor political colour; it is green-white-green, and it demands humility.
No victor, no vanquish only a lesson for a nation still learning to govern itself with dignity.
By; King Onunwor
Opinion
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Opinion
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