Business
Non-Oil Export Falls By 24% To $4.46bn
Nigeria’s Non-Oil exports earnings fell by 24 per cent, year-on-year (YoY) to $4.46 billion in nine months to September 30, 2023, defying various efforts of the government to enhance this critical source of foreign exchange.
The figure was $5.88 billion in the corresponding period of 2022.
While the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) blamed the decline on lower commodity prices in the global market, experts attributed the decline to cancellation of non-oil export focused policies by the new government.
The Tide’s source’s findings from the quarterly economic reports of the apex bank also showed a steady decline in Non-Oil exports on a quarterly basis.
In the first quarter, Q1’23, Non Oil exports fell by 11.8 per cent, quarter-on-quarter, QoQ, to $1.72 billion from $1.95 billion in Q4’22. The decline continued in the second quarter, Q2’23 by another 2.3 per cent, QoQ to $1.68 billion. Non Oil exports further declined by 3.5 per cent, QoQ to $1.06 billion in Q3’23.
Consequently, quarterly earnings from Non Oil exports fell by $890 million in nine months to $1.06 billion in Q3’23 from $1.95 billion in Q4’22.
As a result, the share of Non-Oil exports in the nation’s total export fell to 7.7 per cent in Q3’23, representing a 5.7 percentage points decline from 13.4 per cent in Q4’23.
Commenting, a renowned economist, Marcel Okeke, said the decline in non-oil export earnings should be expected given the cancellation of policies to encourage repatriation of non-oil exports as well as recent forex reforms of the CBN.
Okeke, who is also former Chief Economist of Zenith International Bank, Plc, said: “The change in government led to so many changes in policies that drive all business activities, including non-oil export.
“For instance, the new President Tinubu administration practically threw away the baby with the bath water, when it stopped the CBN’s Race to $200 billion, RT200, under which the apex bank set a target of having about $200 billion repatriated from non-oil export within a time frame of two to three years.
“The new leadership at the CBN cancelled this initiative without any replacement. So, for upwards of six months now, there’s hardly any industry initiative to encourage non-oil export. It’s individual banks that are doing their thing in their silos.
On his part, Nnamdi Nwizu, Co-Founder, Comercio Partners Limited, an investment banking firm, said that the decline in Non Oil exports reflects a confluence of challenges that have persisted despite concerted efforts to stimulate growth.
Highlighting the challenges, Nwizu said: “One significant factor contributing to this decline is the presence of structural impediments within the Nigerian economy. Insufficient infrastructure, including transportation and logistics networks, hinders the efficient movement of goods and increases transaction costs for exporters.
“Moreover, regulatory bottlenecks and bureaucratic complexities persist, creating obstacles for businesses seeking to navigate the export process.
“In some cases, these challenges may discourage potential exporters or slow down the exportation process, affecting the overall performance of the non-oil sectors”.
“Simultaneously, there should be a focused effort to streamline and simplify export-related regulations and bureaucratic processes to make them more business-friendly.
On the international front, fostering diplomatic relationships and engaging in trade negotiations can open new markets and increase demand for Nigerian exports”.
Business
Nigeria’s Gold, Other Solid Minerals Being Stolen – NEC
The National Economic Council has expanded the mandate of its Ad-hoc Committee on Crude Oil Theft Prevention and Control to cover illegal mining.
This is just as the council raised the alarm that the nation’s solid minerals, including gold, are being mined and stolen.
Imo State Governor, Hope Uzodimma, who chairs the committee, disclosed this while briefing State House correspondents after the 153rd NEC meeting chaired by Vice President Kashim Shettima at the Presidential Villa, Abuja, yesterday.
Uzodimma said the expanded mandate is part of the government’s efforts to curb resource theft and increase revenue from Nigeria’s solid minerals sector.
“The National Economic Council Ad-hoc Committee on Crude Oil Theft Prevention and Control, which I chair, presented an interim report today to the Council.
“NEC received our report with satisfaction and expanded our Terms of Reference to now also take interest in solid minerals, because our solid minerals are being mined and stolen and not adding to national revenue,” said Uzodma.
He noted that the expanded role would enable the committee to coordinate with the Ministry of Solid Minerals Development and other federal and subnational institutions to combat widespread illegal gold mining and other forms of mineral smuggling that have deprived the country of much-needed foreign exchange.
“Going forward, our committee, working with other government agencies, will look at how to ensure that the revenue of the country arising from solid minerals like gold and other forms of solid minerals are not allowed to be stolen,” the governor added.
NEC’s Ad-hoc Committee on Crude Oil Theft Prevention and Control was first established under former President Muhammadu Buhari in August 2022.
It was reconstituted under President Bola Tinubu in December 2023 with Uzodinma as chairman.
The committee was initially mandated to address the challenge of crude oil theft and pipeline vandalism.
Its creation followed rising oil theft that had crippled national production and forced international oil companies to shut down key pipelines.
At the time, oil production had crashed to around 700,000–800,000 barrels per day, far below Nigeria’s OPEC quota, costing the government billions of dollars in lost export revenue.
Uzodimma explained that through what he called a “collaborative approach” involving regulators, operators, and the security forces, the committee had helped raise daily crude oil production to over 1.7 million barrels per day in the past 22 months.
The governor stated, “Before May 29, 2023, when President Bola Tinubu was sworn in, our crude oil production was around 700,000 to 800,000 barrels a day.
“Working with stakeholders, the regulators, operators in the industry, and the Navy, we were able to involve all the governors of crude oil-producing states and raise different security organisations.
“You would agree with me that as I speak, daily production is now in excess of 1.7 million barrels a day, and cases of pipeline vandalism and vandalisation of oil assets have also been on the decline.”
The council, he said, was satisfied with the progress and decided to deploy the same model of intergovernmental coordination, private-sector partnership, and multi-agency surveillance to the mining sector, plagued by resource theft.
“We are determined to ensure that crude oil production and gas are properly preserved for the benefit of our citizens.
“Now, with this new directive, we will also protect our gold and solid mineral assets,” Uzodinma added.
Nigeria’s illegal mining economy, particularly in gold, lithium, and other high-value minerals, has grown into a multibillion-naira shadow industry.
According to data from the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, the country loses an estimated $9bn annually to illegal mineral extraction and smuggling.
The Federal Government has linked several unlicensed mining operations to armed groups in the North-West and North-Central regions, where gold has become a source of illicit financing for bandits.
A 2023 NEITI audit also showed that over 80 per cent of mining activities in Nigeria were conducted informally, without licenses or environmental oversight.
In September 2024, the Ministry of Solid Minerals Development revoked over 900 dormant licences and announced plans for a national gold reserve policy. But enforcement remains difficult, with weak surveillance, limited manpower, and overlapping regulatory mandates.
According to Uzodimma, the expanded mandate aims to integrate the fight against illegal mining into the broader national resource protection framework previously used in the oil sector.
“We have done well,” he claimed, adding, “Among other things, we recommended that NNPC, working with security agencies and their consultants, should strengthen security in all the creeks and extend coverage to offshore regions. That will help in curtailing and supervising illegal entries and exits of vessels into our export terminals. This same spirit will now guide our solid minerals sector.”
The committee is expected to submit its first progress report on the expanded mandate at the next NEC meeting in November.
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