Business
Russia Grain Export Forecasts Cut As Drought Rages
A key lobby group on Monday became the latest body to downgrade Russia‘s 2010 crop prospects as the worst drought in 130 years threatened harvests in the major wheat exporter, sending key wheat prices to 22-month highs, Reuters reported on Monday.
Monday‘s jump in the United States’ wheat prices Wc1 followed a 42 per cent leap in wheat futures on the Chicago Board of Trade, the biggest monthly advance since 1959, as damage from drought and flooding threatened crops from the Black Sea grain breadbasket.
Benchmark November milling wheat BL2X0 on Euronext surged to a fresh contract high in opening trade.
While markets have focused intently on Russia, concerns have also started to creep on in the fate of crops in world number 4 exporter Australia, with wheat in a key state under threat from dry conditions.
The Russian Grain Union cut its 2010 grain crop forecast to between 72 million and 78 million tonnes from 81.5 million-85 million tonnes previously as a severe drought continued to advance in key producing regions.
President of the lobby group, Arkady Zlochevsky, also told reporters that the union expected Russia to export between 11 million and 19.5 million tonnes of grain, compared with a previous estimate of some 20 million tonnes in the current crop year.
“What we really want to get a grasp on is how much production has been lost, particularly in that Russian and FSU (former Soviet Union) region to figure out what will be the impact on trade and the current rally that we have seen,” Luke Mathews, a commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said.
Russia has ploughed capital into its grains infrastructure as part of a longer term strategy to dominate international wheat markets and a recent Egyptian tender has confirmed that Russian milling wheat remains competitive on regional markets.
But local Russian traders were discussing the possibility of export restrictions, reasearch group, SovEcon, which last week said drought could nearly halve grain exports to 12 million tonnes in the 2010/11 crop year, said.
Russian officials are very careful giving crop forecasts but last week the economy ministry admitted this year‘s grain crop might be less than 80 million tonnes, five million tonnes below the latest official forecast.
Russia , which harvested 97 million tonnes of grain in 2009 after 108 million tonnes in 2008, exported nearly 22 million tonnes of grain, including flour in grain equivalent last year, down from 23.5 million tonnes in the previous season.
Meanwhile wheat crops in Western Australia, the country‘s top exporting state were also under threat from dry weather but favourable conditions elsewhere could make up for any crop loss, analysts said.
Any indication that the crop in Australia , the world‘s fourth largest wheat exporting nation, is endangered could put further pressure on world market prices.
Last week, SovEcon said the drought might cut the Russian grain production even further — to less than 70 million tonnes.
Fear of Russian and other Black Sea defaults on key deals to major destinations, including the number one wheat importer Egypt due to the drought has dominated talk in markets as other origins such as the United States look to step into the breech.
Russian state grain trader, United Grain Company, on Monday denied that it had defaulted on wheat shipments to Egypt.
Business
FIRS Clarifies New Tax Laws, Debunks Levy Misconceptions
Business
CBN Revises Cash Withdrawal Rules January 2026, Ends Special Authorisation
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has revised its cash withdrawal rules, discontinuing the special authorisation previously permitting individuals to withdraw N5 million and corporates N10 million once monthly, with effect from January 2026.
In a circular released Tuesday, December 2, 2025, and signed by the Director, Financial Policy & Regulation Department, FIRS, Dr. Rita I. Sike, the apex bank explained that previous cash policies had been introduced over the years in response to evolving circumstances.
However, with time, the need has arisen to streamline these provisions to reflect present-day realities.
“These policies, issued over the years in response to evolving circumstances in cash management, sought to reduce cash usage and encourage accelerated adoption of other payment options, particularly electronic payment channels.
“Effective January 1, 2026, individuals will be allowed to withdraw up to N500,000 weekly across all channels, while corporate entities will be limited to N5 million”, it said.
According to the statement, withdrawals above these thresholds would attract excess withdrawal fees of three percent for individuals and five percent for corporates, with the charges shared between the CBN and the financial institutions.
Deposit Money Banks are required to submit monthly reports on cash withdrawals above the specified limits, as well as on cash deposits, to the relevant supervisory departments.
They must also create separate accounts to warehouse processing charges collected on excess withdrawals.
Exemptions and superseding provisions
Revenue-generating accounts of federal, state, and local governments, along with accounts of microfinance banks and primary mortgage banks with commercial and non-interest banks, are exempted from the new withdrawal limits and excess withdrawal fees.
However, exemptions previously granted to embassies, diplomatic missions, and aid-donor agencies have been withdrawn.
The CBN clarified that the circular is without prejudice to the provisions of certain earlier directives but supersedes others, as detailed in its appendices.
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