Business
S’Africa’s Debt May Rise To 44%
South Africa’s national debt is expected to balloon to 44 per cent of gross domestic product by 2015/16 before declining gradually, Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan said on Thursday.
Africa’s largest economy emerged from its first recession in 17 years last year, but still struggles with lackluster consumer spending, high unemployment and uncertainty about the outlook for Europe, its biggest trading partner.
South Africa’s consumer inflation slowed to a four-year low in May signifying prices are still depressed, and with consumer demand lagging behind an overall recovery, the central bank could cut rates further next month.
“It will not be possible to reduce government debt by 2013,” Gordhan said in a written reply to questions in parliament.
He said a marginal decline in non-interest expenditure, combined with rising budget revenue will cause a narrowing of the primary budget deficit over the next three years.
“As a result, our forecast is for debt to rise to 44 percent of the GDP in 2015/2016, after which it will begin to decline gradually,” Gordhan said.
He said government would manage finances to return to a “sustainable position” without penalising future generations with a debt burden.
“It must be borne in mind that a sustainable part of the debt is used to finance infrastructure (such as) electricity generation, dams and roads, that will last beyond the current generation,” Gordhan said.
South Africa will spend more than one trillion rand developing infrastructure over the next five years, Gordhan’s cabinet colleague and economic development minister Ebrahim Patel said in March.
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Blue Economy: Minister Seeks Lifeline In Blue Bond Amid Budget Squeeze

Ministry of Marine and Blue Economy is seeking new funding to implement its ambitious 10-year policy, with officials acknowledging that public funding is insufficient for the scale of transformation envisioned.
Adegboyega Oyetola, said finance is the “lever that will attract long-term and progressive capital critical” and determine whether the ministry’s goals take off.
“Resources we currently receive from the national budget are grossly inadequate compared to the enormous responsibility before the ministry and sector,” he warned.
He described public funding not as charity but as “seed capital” that would unlock private investment adding that without it, Nigeria risks falling behind its neighbours while billions of naira continue to leak abroad through freight payments on foreign vessels.
He said “We have N24.6 trillion in pension assets, with 5 percent set aside for sustainability, including blue and green bonds,” he told stakeholders. “Each time green bonds have been issued, they have been oversubscribed. The money is there. The question is, how do you then get this money?”
The NGX reckons that once incorporated into the national budget, the Debt Management Office could issue the bonds, attracting both domestic pension funds and international investors.
Yet even as officials push for creative financing, Oloruntola stressed that the first step remains legislative.
“Even the most innovative financial tools and private investments require a solid public funding base to thrive.
It would be noted that with government funding inadequate, the ministry and capital market operators see bonds as alternative financing.
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