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Experts Seek Effective Fiscal-Monetary Policy To Tackle Recession

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Some economists in the North-East have urged the Federal Government to formulate effective fiscal and monetary policies to prevent Nigeria from sliding into recession.
The experts including academics and financial analysts said the measure was imperative towards building a vibrant economy and sustain the gains recorded in the agriculture sector which enabled the country to withstand current global recession.
The experts spoke while responding to a survey by The Tide source on global economic recession in Bauchi, Damaturu, Gombe, Maiduguri and Yola.
Recession is a period of persistent economic downturn or low level of productivity.
Dr Binta Yahaya, an economist in Damaturu, Yobe, said several factors indicated that the world is sliding into recession.
She said, “in the UK and the U.S., rapid decline in productivity and high inflation rates have been reported.
“In Nigeria, there is too much money in circulation with low productivity level.
“Inflation is characterised by low per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The GDP drops for two consecutive quarters and may last for about 10 months”.
She suggested that fiscal and monetary policies which might not have immediate benefits must be formulated to control recession.
The expert said such policies and plans must envisage natural disasters such as floods and pandemics, adding that over reliance on importation must be checked.
Yahaya noted that failure to properly manage recession would lead to low wages, high unemployment rate and borrowing.
“If you look at the current debt profile and ratio in the country, it is alarming and can lead to more recessions in the future,” she warned.
Yahaya, however, noted that all economies experience recession from time to time, but what matters is the ability to adapt through effective plans and policies.
Prof. Ibrahim Hassan, Department of Economics, Modibbo Adama University (MAU), said the Russia-Ukraine war subjected many countries to recession.
According to him, the disruption in the global food and energy supply chain, low production and the loss of investors’ confidence exposed many economies to recession.
He noted that investors were withdrawing their potfolios due to the crisis which negatively affected world economy.
“In this country; we are battling with inflation which has to do with dwindling oil revenue and lack of stable prices in the international oil market.
“Presently; there is crisis in currency market and it is responsible for the hike in prices of food commodities,” he said, stressing that proactive measures are necessary to guard against plunging the country into recession.
He urged government to improve oil and energy supply to meet increasing demands, encourage productivity and boost its revenue base.
Also, Jorome Jaimu, a lecturer, Department of Economies, Adamawa State Polytechnic, Yola, said the redesigning of the Naira note would affect the economy and escalate pressure on the Foreign Exchange (FOREX) in the country.
“This will not be good for the economy of the country at the moment.
“However, people are bringing out hoarded Naira notes printed since 2015. So, in other away it is going to help the economy,”
Similarly, Alhaji Babagana, a Senior Lecturer, Borno State University, Maiduguri, opined that insecurity and oil vandalism posed serious threat to sustainable economic growth in the country.
The trend, he said, resulted to comatose economy and investment constrained, low productivity unemployment and poverty.
The don listed inflation; rising energy costs, FOREX scarcity, and Naira depreciation as factors bleeding the Nigerian economy.
In the same vein, Mr Usman Dutse, Dean, School of Business, Federal Polytechnic, Bauchi, said the trend exposed Nigeria’s economy to frigile condition as major economic indicators showed negative signs.
“Unemployment rate has increased to about 33.3 per cent and inflationary rate 20.7 per cent with N41 trillion debt profile.
“Poverty level has increased between 43 and 46 per cent and Naira is trading N850 to a dollar at parallel market.
“The cost of living has gone up and cost of production is also high,” he said.
To salvage the situation, Dutse advocated a consistent economic policies, reforms and plans by the government.
“All these things are happening because of the persistent neglect or lack of consistency in implementation of policies.
“There should be serious reform and attitudinal change from individuals, organisations and government agencies,” he said.
Corroborating the stance, Dr Mustapha Kabara, a Lecturer, Department of Economics and Development Studies, Federal University Kashere (FUK), Gombe, advocated austerity measures to cut domestic spending and ensure policy continuity to avert recession in the country.
This, he said, are part of the short term measures to improve the economy by ensuring effective control of the government’s spending.
According to him, with the dwindling income as a result of the different factors affecting oil production, it became imperative for the government to take adequate financial measures to avert recession.
“It is also imperative for the government to ensure harmonisation of fiscal and monetary policies.
“Unfortunately, what we have is a vibrant and strong monetary policy but the fiscal policy is not working.
“Government should come up with a good synergy between monetary and fiscal policy so that the policy will be able to touch positively the demand and the supply side,” he said.
In the long run, Kabara said as the country prepares for election, it was desirable to ensure continuation of good policies of the incumbent administration for sustainable social and economic development.
“Inherited policy that are good can be fine-tune but not to be discarded as creating new ones is not healthy for the country, especially in an emerging economy like ours”.
He, therefore, suggested implementation of consistent policies, reforms and plans by the government.
For his part, Dr Abdulmajid Jamal, observed that Nigeria is moving towards self sustained economy in terms of food production.
According to him, with the country moving towards self-sufficiency in food production, it wasn’t going into recession anytime soon.
Jamal, who is a Chief Lecturer, Economic Department, School of General Studies, Abubakar Tatari Ali Polytechnic (ATAP), Bauchi, decried heavy dependence of the country on importation of many items.
He said: “We are lucky becasue food is excluded from our importation. In most cases, we only import few things in food items.
“The major import that consumes our money was rice and now the economy is producing enough for local consumption. The import is far less even though it’s through smuggling.
“So, the country is moving towards self sustained economy in terms of food production but in terms of other things, we are not.
“We are moving towards food sufficiency but if care is not taken, we will lose that because the farmers are now heavily in use of herbicides, insecticides and chemicals”.
He noted that heavy application of chemicals would deteriorate soil fertility and make it barren not to produce effectively.
The practice, he said, contributed to global warming, devastating effects on the ecosystem and low production output.
He further attributed the inflation in the country to importation of raw materials for manufacturing industries due to high FOREX.

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You Failed Nigerians, Falana Slams Power Minister

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Human rights lawyer, Femi Falana, SAN, has passed a vote of ‘no confidence’ in the Federal Government, saying that the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, has failed Nigerians.

Falana was reacting to Adelabu’s appearance before the Senate to defend the increase in the electricity tariff and what Nigerians would pay on Monday.

The rights activists also claimed that the move is a policy imposed on the Nigerian government by the International Monetary Funds (IMF) and the World Bank.

Speaking on the Channels TV show on Monday night, Falana said, “The Minister of Power, Mr Adebayo Adelabu has failed to address the question of the illegality of the tariffs.

“Section 116 of the Electricity Act 2023 provides that before an increase can approved and announced, there has to be a public hearing conducted based on the request of the DISCOS to have an increase in the electricity tariffs. That was not done.

“Secondly, neither the minister nor the Nigeria Electricity Regulatory Commission has explained why the impunity that characterised the increase can be allowed.”

Falana also expressed worry over what he described as impunity on the part of the Federal Government and electricity regulatory commission.

““I have already given a notice to the commission because these guys are running Nigeria based on impunity and we can not continue like this. Whence a country claims to operate under the rule of law, all actions of the government, and all actions of individuals must comply with the provisions of relevant laws.

“Secondly, the increase was anchored on the directives of the commission that customers in Band A will have an uninterrupted electricity supply for at least 20 hours a day. That directive has been violated daily. So, on what basis can you justify the increase in the electricity tariffs”, Falana queried.

The human rights lawyer alleged that the Nigerian government is heeding an instruction given to her by the Bretton Wood institutions.

He alleged, “The Honourable Minister of Power is acting the script of the IMF and the World Bank.

“Those two agencies insisted and they continue to insist that the government of Nigeria must remove all subsidies. Fuel subsidy, electricity subsidy and what have you; all social services must be commercialised and priced beyond the reach of the majority of Nigerians.

“So, the government cannot afford to protect the interest of Nigerians where you are implementing the neoliberal policies of the Bretton Wood institutions.”

The Senior Advocate of Nigeria accused Western countries led by the United States of America of double standards.

According to him, they subsidize agriculture, energy, and fuel and offer grants and loans to indigent students while they advise the Nigerian government against doing the same for its citizens.

Following the outrage that greeted the announcement of the tariff increase, Adelabu explained that the action would not affect everyone using electricity as only Band A customers who get about 20 hours of electricity are affected by the hike.

Falana, however, insisted that neither the minister nor the National Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has justified the tariff increase.

The senior lawyer said that Nigerian law gives no room for discrimination against customers by grading them in different bands.

He insisted that the government cannot ask Nigerians to pay differently for the same product even when what has been consistently served to them is darkness.

Following the outrage over the hike, Adelabu on Monday appeared at a one-day investigative hearing on the need to halt the increase in electricity tariff by eleven successor electricity distribution companies amid the biting economic situation in Nigeria.

However, Falana said that nothing will come out of the probe by the Senate.

He advised that the matter has to be taken to court so that the minister and the Attorney General of the Federation can defend the move.

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1.4m UTME Candidates Scored Below 200  -JAMB 

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The Joint Admissions and Matriculation Board (JAMB) on Monday, released the results of the 2024 Unified Tertiary Matriculation Examination, showing that 1,402,490 candidates out of  1,842,464 failed to score 200 out of 400 marks.

The number of candidates who failed to score half of the possible marks represents 78 per cent of the candidates whose results were released by JAMB.

Giving a breakdown of the results of the 1,842,464 candidates released, the board’s Registrar, Prof. Ishaq Oloyede, noted that, “8,401 candidates scored 300 and above; 77,070 scored 250 and above; 439,974 scored 200 and above while 1,402,490 scored below 200.”

On naming the top scorers for the 2024 UTME, Oloyede said, “It is common knowledge that the Board has, at various times restated its unwillingness to publish the names of its best-performing candidates, as it considers its UTME as only a ranking examination on account of the other parameters that would constitute what would later be considered the minimum admissible score for candidates seeking admission to tertiary institutions.

“Similarly, because of the different variables adopted by respective institutions, it might be downright impossible to arrive at a single or all-encompassing set of parameters for generating a list of candidates with the highest admissible score as gaining admission remains the ultimate goal. Hence, it might be unrealistic or presumptive to say a particular candidate is the highest scorer given the fact that such a candidate may, in the final analysis, not even be admitted.

“However, owing to public demand and to avoid a repeat of the Mmesoma saga as well as provide a guide for those, who may want to award prizes to this set of high-performing candidates, the Board appeals to all concerned to always verify claims by candidates before offering such awards.”

Oloyede also noted that the results of 64,624 out of the 1,904,189, who sat the examination, were withheld by the board and would be subject to investigation.

He noted that though a total of 1,989,668 registered, a total of 80,810 candidates were absent.

“For the 2024 UTME, 1,989,668 candidates registered including those who registered at foreign centres. The Direct Entry registration is still ongoing.

“Out of a total of 1,989,668 registered candidates, 80,810 were absent. A total of 1,904,189 sat the UTME within the six days of the examination.

“The Board is today releasing the results of 1,842,464 candidates. 64,624 results are under investigation for verification, procedural investigation of candidates, Centre-based investigation and alleged examination misconduct”, he said.

Oloyede also said the Board, at the moment, conducts examination in nine foreign centres namely: Abidjan, Ivory Coast; Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; Buea, Cameroon; Cotonou, Republic of Benin; London, United Kingdom; Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; and Johannesburg, South Africa.

“The essence of this foreign component of the examination is to market our institutions to the outside world as well as ensuring that our universities reflect the universality of academic traditions, among others. The Board is, currently, fine-tuning arrangements for the conduct of the 2024 UTME in these foreign centres,” he explained.

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Ex-CBN Director Admits Collecting $600,000 Bribe For Emefiele 

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A former Director of Information Technology with the Central Bank of Nigeria, John Ayoh, has alleged that he collected on behalf of the former governor of the apex bank, Godwin Emefiele, a sum of $600,000 in two installments from contractors.

Ayoh, the second witness of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), disclosed this on Monday while recounting instances where he facilitated the delivery of money to Emefiele, claiming it was for contract awards.

Under cross-examination at the Ikeja Special Offences Court in Lagos by the defence counsel, Olalekan Ojo (SAN), Ayoh admitted to facilitating the alleged bribery under pressure.

The embattled former governor of the apex bank is having many running legal battles both in Abuja and Lagos and is being tried by the EFCC at the Special Offences Court over alleged abuse of office and accepting gratification to the tune of $4.5 billion and N2.8bn.

He was arraigned on April 8, 2024, alongside his co-defendant, Henry Isioma-Omoile, on 26 counts bordering on abuse of office, accepting gratifications, corrupt demand, receiving property, and fraudulently obtaining and conferring corrupt advantage.

Emefiele’s defence, however, challenged the court’s jurisdiction over constitutional matters, urging the quashing of counts one to four and counts eight to 24 against him.

Ayoh, who was led in evidence by the EFCC prosecution counsel, Rotimi Oyedepo (SAN), said the first money he collected on Emefiele’s behalf was $400,000 which his assistant, John Adetola, came to collect at his house in Lekki, Lagos State.

He further told the court that the second bribe of $200,000 was collected at the headquarters of CBN, at the Island office.

He said the money was brought in an envelope, adding that when the delivery person, Victor, was on the bank’s premises, he contacted Emefiele, who insisted on receiving the package directly from Ayoh without involving third parties.

He said when he went to deliver the package, he saw many bank CEOs waiting to see the former apex bank governor.

When questioned if he had ever been involved in any criminal activity, he responded in the negative but admitted that he had facilitated the commission of crime unknowingly.

“I believe I did admit in my statement that I was forced to commit the crime. I don’t know the exact word I used in my statement, but I said we were all forced with tremendous pressure to bend the rules,” he said.

When asked if he opened the envelopes he collected on the two occasions and counted the money to confirm the amount, he was negative in his reply, adding that he did also write in his statement that the money was given to influence the award of contracts.

On whether the EFCC arrested him, the witness said he was invited on February 20, 2024, and returned home after he was granted bail.

Earlier, Emefiele asked the court to quash counts one to four and counts eight to 24 against him, as the court lacks the jurisdiction to try him.

Speaking through his counsel, Ojo, he said counts one to four were constitutional matters, which the court lacked the jurisdiction to determine.

In his argument, citing Sections 374  of the Administration of Criminal Justice Act and 386(2), the defence counsel told Justice Rahman Oshodi that Emefiele ought not to be arraigned before the court on constitutional grounds.

He, therefore, urged the court to resolve the objection on whether the court had the jurisdiction to try the case or not.

The second defendant’s counsel, Kazeem Gbadamosi (SAN), also relied on the submissions of Ojo.

The EFCC counsel, Oyedepo, however, objected, as he asked the court to disregard the decision of the Court of Appeal relied upon by Ojo, saying that the Court of Appeal could not set aside the decision of the Supreme Court on any matter.

Ruling on the submissions of the counsel, Justice Oshodi said he would give his decision on jurisdiction when he delivered judgment as he adjourned till May 3.

He also directed the EFCC to serve the defence proof of evidence on witness number six and his extrajudicial statement.

 

 

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