Opinion
Nigeria’s Economy: Challenges And Possible Solution
An economy is a depiction and value of the holistic national resources and their implicit and explicit phenomenal interrelationship in engendering production of goods and services, distribution of goods and services, flexibility and accessibility of the aggregate market system and the capability of the money supply indices for acquisition and utilisation to facilitate the course of consumption and sustain the econominal value system of the government, the private sector and the economic units of the nation. According to D.D.S Amachree (1992), man consumes nothing but utility. Of course, it is the utility derived from the goods and services that revitalises and motivates the economic units to be more productive, and realise robust income per capita for the enhancement of the gross domestic product (GDP).Over the years, Nigeria’s economy has totally dispersed from consistent positive growth and development.
This is because the dedicated economic policies which are the fiscal and the monetary policies earmarked to engender all encompassing growth and development are all in shambles . This is consequent upon the existence of the lack of synergy between the policy makers, the inapplicable proportional content and nature of the theoretical and empirical framework composition of the policies and the existence of disharmonious and divergent policy objectives amongst the monetary and fiscal policies authorities. Seemingly, the yearnings of all Nigerians are to encounter an improved economic system that will boost the living standard of all Nigerians, which will equally reflect on the GDP vis-a-vis the rigorous improvement in the income per capita via the implementation of fantastic fiscal and monetary policies which are in commensurate level with the policy objectives and specifications.
The ripple effect of this is to have an extensive prevalence of low interest rate(MPR) with a robust cash reserve and liquidity in the financial systems which will in turn foster investment opportunities and a drastically low risk factors implication. Other potential economic indices that could be achieved in this context entails, rigorously reduced government debts, zero budget deficit , consistent single –digit inflation, a rebounds on the currency naira, effective financial market system, infrastructural development, human capital development, improved foreign reserve, dependable foreign direct investment, job creation and employment opportunities, objectivity in the distribution of national income and resources, robust internal control systems with concrete accounting information systems in the public and civil services, attractive foreign relations and foreign policies, etc. However, these aforementioned economic growth and development indices and factors are contemporarily dismal, not depicted and somewhat limited in terms of making an holistic view of the Nigeria economy. Based on this premise, as an accountant, financial analyst, researcher, effective thinker, and a patriotic citizen, I found it more imperative to disclose certain findings which I achieved in the course of my research recently, which has utter bearings with the current economic challenges in Nigeria. These findings are: A mathematical and economic model was achieved to mitigate the current incessant increase in government debt and budget deficit. A mathematical /economic/financial model was achieved to eliminate the incessant depreciation of the Nigerian currency (Naira) to a dollar, pounds and other foreign currencies.
It is evident that for the past decades, based on the concrete implementation of the fiscal and monetary policies by the British Government, the pound is invariably increasing by at least 13.50per cent (13.50%d”xe”27.50 per cent) which means x is greater than or equal to 13.50 per cent and x is less than or equal to 27.50 percent, from the value of the dollar to the value of Naira and also from the value of the pounds to the value of Naira. The above estimation or independent variable measurement is an inequality expression. For instance whenever the dollar is equivalent to N750, the pound is equivalent to N850 or more which is a difference of N 100 or more and of course this stability or static trend continues whether the naira appreciates or depreciates subsequently. This constancy or stability or static context is what my research finding is capable of addressing to make the Naira on a drastically reduced fixed rate with the foreign currencies, especially dollar and pound with a mathematical economic/financial model for a very short-term period and afterwards the Naira will begin to appreciate eventually to be at par and above par with the dollar and the pound which is a depreciation to the foreign currencies while the Naira will be successively appreciating. In order to achieve this, an ideal policy which is expressed in acronym “The COSUDTAPA” concept model, and policy should be adopted. Curbing the inflation to a single-digit through formulation of fiscal and monetary policies which have more of empirical framework than theoretical framework in order to curtail the attitudinal excesses of the dominant strata whereby stimulating growth and development in the economy.
These policies are to be captioned by acronyms for effective and holistic visibility, monitoring, analysis and evaluation in the course of implementation. Formulation of all encompassing monetary and fiscal policies framework that is capable of bringing the Nigerian economy to the global limelight. The holistic perception of this is that, for a nation to achieve its economic potential objectives and goals, it requires an uneasy commitments from all the distinguished economists based on the government provisions and objectivity to acknowledge and collaborate with the economists in proffering solutions to the economic challenges, irrespective of the magnitude of the economic decline and the economists limitations. This is so because it is evident that no government can do it alone anywhere across the globe without the inclusion of the economists and financial analysts. According to Mr. D.D.S. Amachree (1992, Kalabari National College, Buguma) “economics is a common sense but the common sense of the economists is not common”.
By: Charles Brown
Brown is a financial, data analyst and author.
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