Opinion
Antics Of Advocacy
Many Nigerians would have heard about the flood disaster in Pakistan, resulting in the tragic death of over 1000 people as at the last day of August, this year. Threats to life can come from natural disasters and from human factors which include negligence and deliberate acts of criminality. In all cases of disasters and threats to life and human environments, there is usually a theory that every effect arises from some definite cause, whether it is known or unknown. Thus, no accidents in creation! There is a peculiar weakness in humans which makes it difficult to abide by the law and to do what is right and proper, unless there is a visible threat to life. That peculiar weakness can manifest as indolence, recalcitrance, lethargy, obtuseness and other excuses easily given for failure to do what ought to be done, or doing what ought not to be done. The result is that man suffers from the restlessness of anxiety or from the lethargy of boredom. Are we surprised that there is little virtue and little happiness in the world? Men suffer more from envy, cares, anxiety and secret vexations than from natural disasters.
In spite of optimism and the passion for maintaining that all is right when all goes wrong with us, there is a high level of frustration, hunger and loss which politics as practised in developing countries brings more of frustrations and misery for the masses, when the opposite should be the case. Many reasons may be given for the sad trend, but the evidence is that some radical measures are necessary for any improvement. One Inspector-General of the Nigeria Police, Etim Inyang, now late, proposed a sound philosophy necessary to instill discipline in the Nigerian society. It used to be known as Etim Inyang Doctrine among his peers, but unfortunately that philosophy has not been popularised and implemented in Nigeria. To say that “A bird that can sing but refuses to sing, should be made to sing, or removed from the position of a singing bird”, is to say that discipline and justice are necessary to build an ideal society. What we find in Nigeria include non-recognition of the “bird that can sing”, inability to encourage “a singing bird”, and continued toleration and retention of a “bird that refuses to sing”. Who you are and where you come from would count!
In all such cases there is a lack of political will to instill and implement discipline in a just and impartial manner, and a tendency towards nepotism, corrupt practices and resort to double standards. Many Nigerians refuse to obey the law, rules and regulation or do what ought to be done, because of a culture of impunity and arbitrariness. There are Nigerians who boast that they can do what they wish to do and get away without any penalty. It is sad that this sub-culture is common in Nigeria, and where penalty is exerted it can be cosmetic and a mockery of justice. From the culture of buck-passing to the decline of accountability and discipline, public officers are known to be clever prevaricators and equivocators. From politically influenced promotions, to malicious retirements, the civil service is not seen as strong and reliable structure for an effective social change. Decline in value and integrity is quite worrisome. Factors which frustrate and alienate citizens from government include unfairness in the dispensation of rewards and punishments, and injustices in the distribution of social amenities. Patriotism grows among citizens of a nation where leadership is exemplary, characterised by personal sacrifices for the sake of disadvantaged masses. Moreover nobility in leaders is demonstrated by anonymity and obscurity rather than noisy publicity and accolades over projects they are able to execute.
Challenges and problems arising from leadership failures and irresponsibility include diminution of patriotism among citizens, whereby corrupt practices become widespread. Thus toleration of leadership failures, coupled with pandering to weaknesses and indiscipline among the masses, the ground is prepared for increasing threats to social security. The situation can get to such an extent that anarchy grows in the society, with law enforcement agencies getting compromised. Especially when a nation evolves a precarious political economy, such as the case in Nigeria, to bring about an improved social system or change, would be hard.Those who got close to late Jerry Rawlings of Ghana and interviewed him on how a radical change came about in that country, would say that social cleansing follows social anarchy and obtuse leadership. While nobody prays for bloody social change, it is obvious that leaders who push the masses to the wall rarely know when to call themselves to order. Also the use of “stomach infrastructure” to divide the oppressed masses against themselves, is a ready means of self-preservation adopted by political leaders and gamblers. Similarly, oil block allocation is a vital trump card.
The impetus to dare, take risks and explore new grounds is inherent in human nature, and quite often great successes arise from going into ventures without fear. But in the politics of brigandage and primitive acquisition, the consequences go beyond inviting the wrath of the masses when they have taken enough bashing and abuses. It is obvious that what we have had in Nigeria under the guise of politics has been more of an organised plunder of public resources by fearless adventurers. References to “Abacha Loots” demonstrate the truth about an organised project of a looting spree. Where robbing and looting of public resources by a few strong and fearless persons do not result in bloody reactions from the masses, natural disasters do occur as warnings and threats to life. The purposes are usually to tame humans and curb the greed for material acquisition. A Russian social critic, P.D. Ouspensky, would tell us that disasters including wars, teach, not with sermons, but in practice, how very transient are all the blessings of this world, how very unstable is everything terrestrial and temporal. Moreover any nation where leaders become looters of public resources is usually a nation populated by inferior souls. Improvements in both material and inward status and standards often come when the masses have taken enough bashing, rubbish and bruises from myopic and irresponsible leaders. Sufferings and agonies give impetus and energy to bring radical changes for the better. What to guard against is the possibility of the oppressors taking over the project of a radical change.
By: Bright Amirize
Dr Amirize is a retired lecturer, Rivers State University.
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Opinion
Fuel Subsidy Removal and the Economic Implications for Nigerians
From all indications, Nigeria possesses enough human and material resources to become a true economic powerhouse in Africa. According to the National Population Commission (NPC, 2023), the country’s population has grown steadily within the last decade, presently standing at about 220 million people—mostly young, vibrant, and innovative. Nigeria also remains the sixth-largest oil producer in the world, with enormous reserves of gas, fertile agricultural land, and human capital.
Yet, despite this enormous potential, the country continues to grapple with underdevelopment, poverty, unemployment, and insecurity. Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS, 2023) show that about 129 million Nigerians currently live below the poverty line. Most families can no longer afford basic necessities, even as the government continues to project a rosy economic picture.
The Subsidy Question
The removal of fuel subsidy in 2023 by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has been one of the most controversial policy decisions in Nigeria’s recent history. According to the president, subsidy removal was designed to reduce fiscal burden, unify the foreign exchange rate, attract investment, curb inflation, and discourage excessive government borrowing.
While these objectives are theoretically sound, the reality for ordinary Nigerians has been severe hardship. Fuel prices more than tripled, transportation costs surged, and food inflation—already high—rose above 30% (NBS, 2023). The World Bank (2023) estimates that an additional 7.1 million Nigerians were pushed into poverty after subsidy removal.
A Critical Economic View
As an economist, I argue that the problem was not subsidy removal itself—which was inevitable—but the timing, sequencing, and structural gaps in Nigeria’s implementation.
- Structural Miscalculation
Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries remain nonfunctional. By removing subsidies without local refining capacity, the government exposed the economy to import-price pass-through effects—where global oil price shocks translate directly into domestic inflation. This was not just a timing issue but a fundamental policy miscalculation.
- Neglect of Social Safety Nets
Countries like Indonesia (2005) and Ghana (2005) removed subsidies successfully only after introducing cash transfers, transport vouchers, and food subsidies for the poor (World Bank, 2005). Nigeria, however, implemented removal abruptly, shifting the fiscal burden directly onto households without protection.
- Failure to Secure Food and Energy Alternatives
Fuel subsidy removal amplified existing weaknesses in agriculture and energy. Instead of sequencing reforms, government left Nigerians without refinery capacity, renewable energy alternatives, or mechanized agricultural productivity—all of which could have cushioned the shock.
Political and Public Concerns
Prominent leaders have echoed these concerns. Mr. Peter Obi, the Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, described the subsidy removal as “good but wrongly timed.” Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party also faulted the government’s hasty approach. Human rights activists like Obodoekwe Stive stressed that refineries should have been made functional first, to reduce the suffering of citizens.
This is not just political rhetoric—it reflects a widespread economic reality. When inflation climbs above 30%, when purchasing power collapses, and when households cannot meet basic needs, the promise of reform becomes overshadowed by social pain.
Broader Implications
The consequences of this policy are multidimensional:
- Inflationary Pressures – Food inflation above 30% has made nutrition unaffordable for many households.
- Rising Poverty – 7.1 million Nigerians have been newly pushed into poverty (World Bank, 2023).
- Middle-Class Erosion – Rising transport, rent, and healthcare costs are squeezing household incomes.
- Debt Concerns – Despite promises, government borrowing has continued, raising sustainability questions.
- Public Distrust – When government promises savings but citizens feel only pain, trust in leadership erodes.
In effect, subsidy removal without structural readiness has widened inequality and eroded social stability.
Missed Opportunities
Nigeria’s leaders had the chance to approach subsidy removal differently:
- Refinery Rehabilitation – Ensuring local refining to reduce exposure to global oil price shocks.
- Renewable Energy Investment – Diversifying energy through solar, hydro, and wind to reduce reliance on imported petroleum.
- Agricultural Productivity – Mechanization, irrigation, and smallholder financing could have boosted food supply and stabilized prices.
- Social Safety Nets – Conditional cash transfers, food vouchers, and transport subsidies could have protected the most vulnerable.
Instead, reform came abruptly, leaving citizens to absorb all the pain while waiting for theoretical long-term benefits.
Conclusion: Reform With a Human Face
Fuel subsidy removal was inevitable, but Nigeria’s approach has worsened hardship for millions. True reform must go beyond fiscal savings to protect citizens.
Economic policy is not judged only by its efficiency but by its humanity. A well-sequenced reform could have balanced fiscal responsibility with equity, ensuring that ordinary Nigerians were not crushed under the weight of sudden change.
Nigeria has the resources, population, and resilience to lead Africa’s economy. But leadership requires foresight. It requires policies that are inclusive, humane, and strategically sequenced.
Reform without equity is displacement of poverty, not development. If Nigeria truly seeks progress, its policies must wear a human face.
References
- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). (2023). Poverty and Inequality Report. Abuja.
- National Population Commission (NPC). (2023). Population Estimates. Abuja.
- World Bank. (2023). Nigeria Development Update. Washington, DC.
- World Bank. (2005). Fuel Subsidy Reforms: Lessons from Indonesia and Ghana. Washington, DC.
- OPEC. (2023). Annual Statistical Bulletin. Vienna.
By: Amarachi Amaugo
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