Opinion
Still On Muslim-Muslim Ticket
Of all that has been said about the presidential candidate of the APC, Bola Tinubu’s choice of a fellow Muslim as his running mate in next year’s election, the views of the renown Senior Advocate of Nigeria and Human rights activist, Ebun-Olu Adegboruwa, stands out.
Speaking during a national television programme, Ebun-Olu Adegboruwa listed some costly implications of the Muslim – Muslim ticket thus: others don’t matter. Shows absence of consideration for unity and plurality; desperation and over-ambition. We just want power at all costs and we don’t care what others think or do; we can win the elections without you, especially by other means other than by open ballot; it is a cruel affirmation of supposed superiority complex, that one religion determines electoral victory. That the presidential candidate of the APC is not acceptable to Northern Muslims; that Nigeria is not a secular state but rather being ruled to satisfy certain religious tendencies; that certain political tendencies and interests do not trust others to accommodate them if they are entrusted with power whereas they have been in power and accommodated by others…
Indeed, it is incomprehensible how a political party and an individual that claim to love the country and that are interested in the unity of the country, would go for a president and a vice president of the same religion at this time the country is widely divided along ethnic, sectional and religious lines. How can a person who said he has prepared for over 30 years to be the president of Nigeria and whose aim is to establish just, capable, and compassionate governance for the people of Nigeria close his eyes against equity, justice and fairness in the first national decision he has to make as a future leader? (If he wins)
The incumbent president is a Muslim and should APC win 2023 presidency, Nigeria will be democratically handing over power from one Muslim to another in a multi religious country, meaning that a Muslim will be on the saddle for an unbroken 16years or more going by some speculative plans of some selfish Nigerians and some people see nothing wrong with that?
“All my life, my decisions regarding the team around and supporting me have always been guided by the principles of competence, innovation, compassion, integrity, fairness, and adherence to excellence”, said Tinubu. A familiar rhetoric of Nigeria’s selfish and self-centered leaders who would always relegate religious sentiments when it is convenient for their particular goals. Pray, is it only among the northern Muslims that such competence can be found, not minding the plurality of this country with regards to region, religion and other issues presently?
I doubt if there is any Nigerian that does not know what this is all about. It is all about winning next year’s presidential election. Some APC loyalists call it political dexterity, a smart strategy to clinch the most coveted political position in the land. It is well within the right of Tinubu and APC to choose electoral votes over the wellbeing and unity of Nigeria. In the words of the National President of Middle Belt Forum, Dr. Bitrus Pogu, “There are so many suspicious things going on which point accusing fingers to this government, of being complicit or at least being lenient towards the insurgency which is predominantly of Islamic origin. And for this same political party to now foist a Muslim-Muslim ticket, I think is an unfortunate development.”
As have been asked severally, are Tinubu and Northern Muslims saying that Muslims do not have confidence in northerners and southerners of other religions and cannot vote for them yet they want these people to support and cast their votes for northern Muslims? If a political party in the future decides to toe the current APC’s line and float a Christian-Christian ticket will the Muslims dance at it? Yes, one may agree with the APC presidential candidate and some other analysts that Nigeria being a secular state, according to the constitution, competence, should trump religious, ethnic, sectional considerations in politics; that Nigeria stands to benefit more if responsibilities, duties and offices are assigned to qualified, competent Nigerians, irrespective of their tribe or religion, who are passionate, hard working and have the capacity to deliver on the mandate.
However, these are ideals that we all wish will be the lot of Nigeria one day. But as the situation is currently in the nation where people from a certain part of the country and a certain religion dominate all levels, agencies parastatlals, where they exhibit entitlement mentality with the bogus claim that they have the population and are born to rule; with the pain and agony across the country occasioned by killings, kidnappings and other criminal acts unleashed on Nigerian citizens by Boko Haram, herdsmen militia, ISWAP and other insurgent groups mainly of Islamic origin, it will be suicidal and very insensitive of a person who desires to lead the nation not to put the opinion of the diverse ethnic and religious groups into consideration in whatever actions he takes.
The drafters of the 1999 Constitution of Nigeria apparently foresaw the danger of ethnic, regional or religious dominance when in Section 14 (3) (4) they provided for federal character, a principle that was introduced to engender a feeling of inclusiveness, such that all the people that make up the country will have the feeling that they are part of the country. It states: “The composition of the government of the federation or any of its agencies and the conduct of its affairs shall be carried out in such a manner as to reflect the federal character of Nigeria and the need to promote national unity, and also to command national loyalty, thereby ensuring that there shall be no predominance of persons from a few states or from a few ethnic or other sectional groups in that government or in any of its agencies.” The same thing is applicable to the states.
Therefore, as it stands now, what we need in this country is healing and reconciliation. Forcing, legislating oneness in the country or treating some ethnic groups and religions as if their views and interests do not matter will only end up widening the gap and creating more distrust among the citizens. Our leaders and politicians should stop increasing the tension in the land through their selfish acts and speeches.
Nigerians should rise to the call to take back this country from the egocentric politicians who do not mean well for the country and the suffering citizens. The beauty of democracy is that at the end of a political session, the citizens have the opportunity of making a change in the government and electing the right people to lead them. The time is here again. 2023 is by the corner. As the Catholic Bishop of Sokoto, Mathew Hassan Kukah admonished, “If people feel unhappy with the kind of choices that have been made, that is why we are democrats, you can’t force it. We outsiders cannot force a choice of any candidate. “It is now left for you to look at the choices that have been made. And there is no guarantee that all Christians will vote for Christians and all Muslims will vote for Muslims.”
Whoever believes the Muslim-Muslim APC ticket is not right, be him Christian, Muslim, Northerner or Southerner, should speak through their votes during next year’s election. (Hoping the polls will be free and fair). Nigeria will certainly be great again.
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Opinion
Fuel Subsidy Removal and the Economic Implications for Nigerians
From all indications, Nigeria possesses enough human and material resources to become a true economic powerhouse in Africa. According to the National Population Commission (NPC, 2023), the country’s population has grown steadily within the last decade, presently standing at about 220 million people—mostly young, vibrant, and innovative. Nigeria also remains the sixth-largest oil producer in the world, with enormous reserves of gas, fertile agricultural land, and human capital.
Yet, despite this enormous potential, the country continues to grapple with underdevelopment, poverty, unemployment, and insecurity. Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS, 2023) show that about 129 million Nigerians currently live below the poverty line. Most families can no longer afford basic necessities, even as the government continues to project a rosy economic picture.
The Subsidy Question
The removal of fuel subsidy in 2023 by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has been one of the most controversial policy decisions in Nigeria’s recent history. According to the president, subsidy removal was designed to reduce fiscal burden, unify the foreign exchange rate, attract investment, curb inflation, and discourage excessive government borrowing.
While these objectives are theoretically sound, the reality for ordinary Nigerians has been severe hardship. Fuel prices more than tripled, transportation costs surged, and food inflation—already high—rose above 30% (NBS, 2023). The World Bank (2023) estimates that an additional 7.1 million Nigerians were pushed into poverty after subsidy removal.
A Critical Economic View
As an economist, I argue that the problem was not subsidy removal itself—which was inevitable—but the timing, sequencing, and structural gaps in Nigeria’s implementation.
- Structural Miscalculation
Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries remain nonfunctional. By removing subsidies without local refining capacity, the government exposed the economy to import-price pass-through effects—where global oil price shocks translate directly into domestic inflation. This was not just a timing issue but a fundamental policy miscalculation.
- Neglect of Social Safety Nets
Countries like Indonesia (2005) and Ghana (2005) removed subsidies successfully only after introducing cash transfers, transport vouchers, and food subsidies for the poor (World Bank, 2005). Nigeria, however, implemented removal abruptly, shifting the fiscal burden directly onto households without protection.
- Failure to Secure Food and Energy Alternatives
Fuel subsidy removal amplified existing weaknesses in agriculture and energy. Instead of sequencing reforms, government left Nigerians without refinery capacity, renewable energy alternatives, or mechanized agricultural productivity—all of which could have cushioned the shock.
Political and Public Concerns
Prominent leaders have echoed these concerns. Mr. Peter Obi, the Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, described the subsidy removal as “good but wrongly timed.” Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party also faulted the government’s hasty approach. Human rights activists like Obodoekwe Stive stressed that refineries should have been made functional first, to reduce the suffering of citizens.
This is not just political rhetoric—it reflects a widespread economic reality. When inflation climbs above 30%, when purchasing power collapses, and when households cannot meet basic needs, the promise of reform becomes overshadowed by social pain.
Broader Implications
The consequences of this policy are multidimensional:
- Inflationary Pressures – Food inflation above 30% has made nutrition unaffordable for many households.
- Rising Poverty – 7.1 million Nigerians have been newly pushed into poverty (World Bank, 2023).
- Middle-Class Erosion – Rising transport, rent, and healthcare costs are squeezing household incomes.
- Debt Concerns – Despite promises, government borrowing has continued, raising sustainability questions.
- Public Distrust – When government promises savings but citizens feel only pain, trust in leadership erodes.
In effect, subsidy removal without structural readiness has widened inequality and eroded social stability.
Missed Opportunities
Nigeria’s leaders had the chance to approach subsidy removal differently:
- Refinery Rehabilitation – Ensuring local refining to reduce exposure to global oil price shocks.
- Renewable Energy Investment – Diversifying energy through solar, hydro, and wind to reduce reliance on imported petroleum.
- Agricultural Productivity – Mechanization, irrigation, and smallholder financing could have boosted food supply and stabilized prices.
- Social Safety Nets – Conditional cash transfers, food vouchers, and transport subsidies could have protected the most vulnerable.
Instead, reform came abruptly, leaving citizens to absorb all the pain while waiting for theoretical long-term benefits.
Conclusion: Reform With a Human Face
Fuel subsidy removal was inevitable, but Nigeria’s approach has worsened hardship for millions. True reform must go beyond fiscal savings to protect citizens.
Economic policy is not judged only by its efficiency but by its humanity. A well-sequenced reform could have balanced fiscal responsibility with equity, ensuring that ordinary Nigerians were not crushed under the weight of sudden change.
Nigeria has the resources, population, and resilience to lead Africa’s economy. But leadership requires foresight. It requires policies that are inclusive, humane, and strategically sequenced.
Reform without equity is displacement of poverty, not development. If Nigeria truly seeks progress, its policies must wear a human face.
References
- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). (2023). Poverty and Inequality Report. Abuja.
- National Population Commission (NPC). (2023). Population Estimates. Abuja.
- World Bank. (2023). Nigeria Development Update. Washington, DC.
- World Bank. (2005). Fuel Subsidy Reforms: Lessons from Indonesia and Ghana. Washington, DC.
- OPEC. (2023). Annual Statistical Bulletin. Vienna.
By: Amarachi Amaugo
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