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Nigeria, Obasanjo And A Third Force

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Former President Olusegun Obasanjo raised political dust of monumental proportion when he advised President Muhammadu Buhari to drop his 2019 re-election bid in a letter that was released to the press recently. In the same letter, the erstwhile ruler wrote off the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), in favour of a Third Force Movement in the form of a Coalition of Nigerians that share his vision.
As if acting from a prepared script, it took only a couple of days for the Nigeria Coalition Movement (CNM) to be officially launched in Abuja, the nation’s capital city with people like Olagunsoye Oyinlola, Donald Duke and Ahmadu Ali at the forefront. While Nigerians were still speculating about the conspicuous absence at the event, Chief Obasanjo (OBJ) is also known, enrolled into the movement the arrow heads of the Abuja episode superintended over in Abeokuta, capital of Ogun State, Chief Obasanjo’s home state in a matter of hours.
Nigerians have since been divided on whether or not the Third Force Movement is a viable political option that cannot only wrest power at the centre in 2019 but also lead the country out of its current socio-political and economic woods.
Two political activists in their own rights bare their minds on the vexatious issue in Port Harcourt during an interview with The Tide: Excerpts.
Dr. Emmanuel Iruayenama, Management Consultant and Public Affairs Analyst
I’m not sure that what he means is a political party, but if it’s a political party, then it is part of the failures of the existing political parties. Perhaps, what it simply means is conscientised set of Nigerians that will guide either the ruling or any other party that comes to win at every point in time at the national stage.
If, on the other hand, it is a political party he is tinkering with, first, I have had cause to look at who Obasanjo is vis the statement he is making and the persons he expects to form that third force.
However, if it’s a political party, he is tinkering with, it is only going to be one of the existing failed political parties. I don’t see a third force working in Nigeria as it is today. That is, if it’s going to be a political party, it’s not going to work. It is a waste of time.
My thinking is that it is a conscientised set of persons coming around to help shape already existing party in power or a party that would come to power. If that is it, then people could be drawn from all existing political parties to see how they can support government in power; to see how they can direct thinking in government. But to say he wants to form a new political party, I wish him the best, but I know it has failed before arrival.
So far it is laughable. No new persons; seen people. I even saw one Mr. Fixer. For me, they are a group of persons who have failed in the existing political parties and are merely looking for where they can hide their heads. Nigerians know them, so it won’t work.

Andy Akpotive, Public Affairs Commentator
It’s very impossible for man and indeed any being created by God to stop an idea whose time has come. For me, there couldn’t be a better time for this idea to take expression in our country than now.
For too long, we have been managed by people who are completely clueless about what administration of a state should be like. For too long we have had a group of people who at best are supposed to be at the garage, administering the affairs of this country. We have had square pegs in round holes and round pegs in square holes.
So, for the very first time, those who are instrumental to the current destiny that we share as Nigerians, some of them have been able to say that ‘before we die, let us rewrite some of these ills, some of these evils that we have helped to perpetrate.’
One of such persons is actually Olusegun Obasanjo. For me, that man is beyond an enigma; that man is a movement. So, today he is saying that ‘if I have been instrumental to how it came the first, the second time, the third time, I have one more chance, particularly because I’m at the exit lounge right now much more than I was twenty years ago, I have this option to change and turn things around.’
So, for me, this is something that indeed is very exciting, it’s an idea whose time has come so we need to talk about people who are youth, people who are visionary, who have the passion to revolutionise the things that affect us as a people, people who are passionate about putting Nigeria on the map of countries that are developed, countries that are progressive, we can have them come and take center stage and begin to drive this car and leave this place to the destination we need to get to.
As it stands at the moment, it is a movement but it is most definitely going to evolve into that which will create the opportunity for the people whom it supports to get into elective positions. What I am saying is that, most definitely, it will evolve into a political party or it could join itself with other political parties of like minds and throw up candidates that, according to the vision, will be able to give us the ideal that we want from a state.
It is pseudo political party so that he is able to fix the super structure and attract the best of people to give the political party the needed experience. I have no doubt that it is going to evolve into a political party or at worst join with other political parties to support certain people who carry the DNA of the new Nigeria that we aspire to be.
The question is, is it going to be different from the way the APC is currently constituted as a political party that has strange bed fellows? Would it not be something that is going to move in that direction? However, the difference with this one is that it will be a political party that is structured for the youth.
Today, we have a government that is at best a gerontocracy, a government of the old ruling the young. We have a government of people who used certain ideals, knowledge, principles over forty years ago are made to superintend over challenges that would require 2030 wisdom to address.
So, we are talking about an Obasanjo and Olagunsoye Oyinlola who understand that ‘our time is down, our time indeed is out but we can provide the structure for the youth to run on, we can provide the board that can spring the youths to the highest heights so that when we’re long gone, seeing that we’re at the departure lounge, the children that are left behind will say that we were a part of the failure and we were also a part of the success story of the Nigerian project.

 

Opaka Dokubo

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Senate Receives Tinubu’s 2026-2028 MTEF/FSP For Approval

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The Senate yesterday received the 2026-2028 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper from President Bola Tinubu, marking the formal launch of the 2026 federal budget cycle.

In a letter addressed to the upper chamber, Tinubu said the submission complies with statutory requirements and sets out the fiscal parameters that will guide the preparation of the 2026 Appropriation Bill.

He explained that the MTEF/FSP outlines the macroeconomic assumptions, revenue projections, and spending priorities that will shape Nigeria’s fiscal direction over the next three years.

The letter was read during plenary by the Deputy President of the Senate, Senator Barau Jibrin (APC, Kano North), who urged lawmakers to expedite consideration of the document.

“It is with pleasure that I forward the 2026 to 2028 Medium-Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper for the kind consideration and approval of the Senate.

“The 2026 to 2028 MTEF and FSP were approved during the Federal Executive Council meeting of December 3, 2025, and the 2026 budget of the Federal Government will be prepared based on the parameters and fiscal assumptions therein,” the President stated.

Last week, the Federal Executive Council approved the fiscal projections, pegging the oil benchmark price at $64.85 per barrel and adopting a budget exchange rate of ?1,512/$1 for 2026—figures expected to significantly shape revenue forecasts and expenditure planning.

After reading the President’s letter, Jibrin referred the document to the Senate Committee on Finance, chaired by Senator Sani Musa (APC, Niger East), with a directive to submit its report by Wednesday, December 17.

The Senate adjourned shortly after to allow committees to commence scrutiny of the fiscal framework and continue the ongoing screening of ambassadorial nominees.

Tinubu’s communication to the Senate came less than 24 hours after he transmitted the same MTEF/FSP documents to the leadership of the House of Representatives.

The letter was read on the House floor by the Deputy Speaker, House of Representatives, Benjamin Kalu, who also urged timely legislative action as required by law.

The MTEF and FSP are statutory instruments mandated by the Fiscal Responsibility Act and serve as the blueprint for Nigeria’s annual budgets.

They outline the government’s fiscal stance, macroeconomic assumptions, revenue frameworks, projected deficits, and sectoral priorities over a three-year period.

The Tide reports that approval by the National Assembly is a prerequisite for the executive to present the Appropriation Bill for the next fiscal year.

 

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Withdraw Ambassadorial List, It Lacks Federal Character, Ndume Tells Tinubu 

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The senator representing Borno South in the National Assembly, Ali Ndume, has criticized President Bola Tinubu’s list of ambassadorial nominees, insisting it breaches the federal character principle and should be withdrawn ahead of this week’s screening by the Senate.

In a statement on Saturday, the former Senate Leader stated that the allocation of nominees across states and geopolitical zones falls short of the constitutional requirement for fair representation in the composition of the Federal Government.

The ex-Senate Whip warned that allowing the list to pass could deepen ethnic suspicion at a time when the administration should be consolidating national unity.

He highlighted disparities in the spread of nominees, noting that while some states have three or four slots, others have none. He also cited the inclusion of Senator Adamu Garba Talba from Yobe, who reportedly died in July.

“The entire North-East states have seven nominees in the list. Further checks revealed that the South-West geo-political zone has 15 nominees, while North-West and South-East have 13 and 9, respectively.

“North-Central region has 10 nominees in the list of career and non-career ambassadorial nominee while South-South parades 12 nominees,” Senator Ndume said.

According to him, such imbalances could heighten tensions and undermine Section 14(3) of the Constitution.

“My sincere appeal to President Tinubu is to withdraw this list. At this critical juncture in his administration, he should avoid missteps that could undermine national unity and foster ethnic distrust.

“I know him to be a cosmopolitan leader who is at home with every segment and stakeholder in the country. He should withdraw that list and present a fresh set of nominees that will align with the spirit of the Constitution on the Federal Character Principle,” Senator Ndume added.

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PDP Vows Legal Action Against Rivers Lawmakers Over Defection 

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The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has condemned the latest defection announced by some members of the Rivers State House of Assembly, describing the move as a “defection from APC to APC” and an assault on democratic integrity.
In a statement issued on Saturday, the National Publicity Secretary of the PDP, Comrade Ini Ememobong, said the lawmakers had previously defected from the party, recanted their action, and have now “announced the same defection for the second time.”
According to Comrade Ememobong, the development comes as no surprise to the party.
“We have seen on various media platforms news of the redefection of some members of the Rivers State House of Assembly, who, for a second time, announced their defection from our party,” he said. “We recall that they had done so earlier and later recanted. These are people whom the world is aware are doing the bidding of their paymaster and demigod.”

He accused the legislators of undermining the sanctity of the legislature and acting as instruments of destabilization.

“The members of the Rivers State House of Assembly have, by their actions since they assumed office, shown that they are political puppets and a clog in the wheels of democratic progress,” Comrade Ememobong stated, adding that “They will go down in history as enemies of democracy and those who made mockery of the legislature.”

The PDP spokesperson added that the lawmakers’ conduct fits a pattern of political absurdity.

“So the easiest way to describe their action is a defection from APC to APC,” he said.

Comrade Ememobong announced that the party would deploy constitutional provisions to reclaim its mandate from those who have “ignobly and surreptitiously” abandoned the platform on which they were elected.

“Consequently, the PDP will take legal steps to activate the provision of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria (1999 as amended) to recover the mandate gained under the banner of our party which these people have now switched to another platform,” he said.

He urged party members in Rivers State to remain calm and steadfast.

“We urge all party members in Rivers State to remain faithful and resolute, as efforts are underway to rebuild the party along the path of inclusiveness, fairness and equity,” Comrade Ememobong assured.

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