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The Middle East And Global Tsunami

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The extraordinary events in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya are the initial high tides of an eventual tsunami that will impact the world that globalists have so fervently promoted for decades, in ways not necessarily to their liking. The first wave has struck and is now retreating from the shore, but will shortly return with redoubled force, and what and who will be swept away and what will be left standing is anyone’s guess.

Per usual, America’s intelligence agencies on which $60 billion a year is lavished, or $200 for every man, woman and child in the United States, have given zero benefit to the American citizenry in anticipating events in the North African Magreb, as the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) along with America’s 15 other federal intelligence agencies were completely blindsided by the events, if public information is to be believed. If any comfort can be had in this, it is the fact that America’s favourite bête noire, al Qaida, much less other Islamic fundamentalists such as the Islamic Brotherhood in Egypt, were apparently caught flatfooted as well.

As “Beltwayistan” frantically tries to conceptualize events in North Africa now threatening the larger Muslim world, Washington’s pundit class has tried a number of insta-definitions to explain events.

First, it was an “Arab’ thing. Secondly, a “Muslim’ thing, where dark forces, epitomized by the Muslim Brotherhood and Al Qaida lurking in the wings, were standing poised to hijack events and turn Egypt and now Libya into an Islamic state, with de facto hostility to the West and in particular, towards America’s client state, Israel, threatening the 1979 Camp David accords.

To use an American English cliché, the “bottom line” is that what’s happened in Tunisia, Egypt and now Libya represent an ominous turn for Western (read American) interests in the Middle East. Like a Greenland glacier weakened by global warming, the Middle East system of stability carefully crafted by Western interest focused on the region’s energy reserves over the last 50 years has begun suddenly to fracture and crumble, and what will replace it is uncertain at best.

In reality, complex as the origins for the North African unrest are, major aspects of them are simply incomprehensible to American GS-17 “specialists” in Washington earning six-figure salaries, along with the hordes of denizens of the Dilbert cubicles cloistered in the NSA’s Fort Meade and the CIA’s Langley environs, sifting through the massive amounts of data hoovered in each day by the Echelon intelligence network.

What these “experts” have overlooked in their analysis over events are two critical issues – the massive poverty and income disparity of the states undergoing protests, but even more importantly, the presence of an aware youth, plugged into the digital age since childbirth, questioning the status quo.

Interestingly, and also largely overlooked by Western commentators, is that the region’s favorite bête noirs has been apparently totally blindsided by the recent events in the Magreb. For the Arab world, this includes the CIA and Israel’s Mossad, which are usually seen behind every political event in the region. While such information is tightly held, there is every indication at this stage that both intelligence agencies, vaunted for their abilities, particularly in their native countries, were caught totally flatfooted by the recent events in North Africa.

For the aforementioned two agencies, their initial attempts along with the Western media to portray events in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and now destabilizing Jordan, Yemen and Bahrain as part of a nefarious, long developed part of a master plan by Islamists to topple their respective regimes have similarly proven to be as false as those peddling them.

Islamic militants in recent events have been conspicuous by their absence, not in the vanguard of events mobilizing popular support streaming into the streets, nor taking advantage of the resultant political chaos to bring the masses over to their side in proclaiming that whatever succeeds the newly toppled old regime will have a predominantly Islamic tinge. Nowhere have these Western and Israeli fears been more assiduously stoked than in Egypt, where the deep rooted and long banned Islamic Brotherhood maintains a formidable presence.

Given the absence of the region’s favorite evil covert intelligence agencies as well as the West’s mirror imaged paramount and paranoid fears of covert Islamic fundamentalist jihadis, the causes for the unrest roiling North Africa must be sought elsewhere.

They lie in two root causes simply off the pundit’s and intelligence service’s radar – poverty and the emergence of a bright, computer literate generation, the first in world history, that sees its options for a decent livelihood, much less prosperity, blocked by a brutal plutocracy designed exclusively to profit the scions of the ruling class, while their corrupt governments buy off Western criticism by waving the specter of Islamic fundamentalism.

The catalyst? The suicide on 17 December of Tarek el-Tayyib Mohamed Ben Bouazizi, a Tunisian street vendor who set himself alight in the town of Sidi Bouzoud, a poverty stricken locale with an unemployment rate of 30 percent, after being harassed by officials who confiscated his pushcart’s wares of fruit and vegetables, harassing and humiliating him. Nothing to see here, move along.

Except the Tunisian people did not. While the government clamped down on the Internet, tech-savvy young Tunisians quickly evaded the restrictions and furthermore, used cutting edge digital facilities such as Twitter and Facebook to spread the word about events. The anger and violence against President Ben Ali mounted to the point where he fled Tunisia for Saudi Arabia with his family on 14 January, which now seems a lifetime ago.

The Tunisian “jasmine revolution” and the subsequent events in Egypt and Libya now igniting unrest throughout the Middle East were instigated and largely belong to the dispossessed Twitter generation. This is a far larger development than is being portrayed with global implications. The pundits who have prattled on for years about “globalization” are now seeing the first stirrings of that and are furiously explaining away their lack of foresight as they assumed that globalization’s benefits would forever benefit the ruling classes while those at the bottom of the economic food chain would continue to remain, as they have for decades, quiescent and passive, awaiting the “trickle down” benefits from the tables of their masters which in fact never arrived. Reaganism on a global scale.

If poverty were the sole cause of social and political unrest, then as Karl Marx once observed, the poor would be in a constant state of turmoil. But millions of educated young Middle Easterners can now use the Internet and other digital media and have become aware of their situation and the grotesque financial inequities in their countries making their training largely worthless for finding employment, and unlike their parent’s generation, have mobilized for change.

What has largely been overlooked by Western intelligence agencies in their eagerness to find fundamentalists underpinning events in the Magreb is that the events of the last five weeks have not only been initiated by economic issues of extreme poverty, but the emergence of a global phenomenon largely overlooked up to now, the emergence of the world’s first totally computer literate generation, that can circumvent Internet restrictions.

The implications of the emergence of this generation, technologically literate and noting the disparity between their lives and the persistent, hypocritical bleatings of Washington about democracy have proven a potent mix and not only underlay today’s events, but are ominous harbingers for those affluent international plutocrats looting worldwide on the assumption that those young will forever passively accept the same conditions as their downtrodden parents.

Another extraordinary moment totally overlooked by the western media is how the events in Egypt represent al Jazeera’s coming of age. For media coverage of the events in North Africa, al Jazeera has consistently proven that it is the equal with any global television channel and deserving of wide dissemination. Tunisia, Egypt and Libya should prove their breakthrough moment for their brilliant and unwavering coverage of events, much as the 1991 Gulf War catapulted CNN into worldwide prominence.

“Walk like an Egyptian.” To those plutocratic governments that have asset-stripped their populations for decades for the benefit of their affluent ruling class, the watchword is now, “Be afraid, be very afraid.”

Long oppressed Middle Eastern peoples led by their tech-savvy youth have determined that their organized masses if tightly and consistently focused on Tahrir Square or elsewhere outweigh the repressive forces of the state if they are willing to accept casualties. Even beleaguered self-styled Libyan “King of Kings” ( or “Mad Dog,” if you prefer Reagan’s appellations) Moammar Qadaffi can’t kill them all.

As all repressive systems are ultimately based on the threat of using force to ensure the population’s passivity, this, along with the information age young spearheading the information revolution, are the true lessons of recent events in Tunisia, Egypt and Libya, while Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Yemen are on notice.

In America, technologically capable young people currently organize fun “flash mobs” or pants-less days – but certain elements deny them jobs for years and crush their employment opportunities while saddling them with decades of debt for their education, the future is not so bright.

As events in Wisconsin are proving, this is not solely an issue of the young, but of perceived assaults on declining standards of living imposed by spendthrift governments, as even America’s older working class is discovering ‘red lines.”

The turmoil transcends national boundaries – it is notable, though not reported in the American media, that Egyptian labor unions sent a message of solidarity after their protest began, thanking them for their earlier messages of solidarity, saying, “We stand with you now as you stood with us then.” America’s billionaires, relentlessly promoting globalization over the last three decades outsourcing American jobs abroad in search of increased Third World profits where labor is cheap, are now seeing some ‘blowback,” to use a CIA phrase.

We are all cheese-heads now. In the United States, 48 years after Dr. Martin Luther King delivered his stirring “I have a dream” speech at the base of the Lincoln Memorial, 45 per cent of young African-Americans have no jobs and the top hedge fund managers are paid, on average, $1 billion a year, a thoughtful American can only expect the mass protests against cuts in services and jobs in Wisconsin to spread.

And America’s propensity for eventual chaos is far higher than the Middle East, demonized in the press as a violent region, when one considers that America’s 300 million citizens have between 238 million and 276 million privately owned firearms.

As a prescient 23-year old from Hibbing, Minnesota, Bob Dylan warned an earlier generation 47 years ago about to embark on its misguided mission to safeguard and democratize in Vietnam, “There’s a battle outside and it is raging, It’ll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls, For the times they are a-changin’.”

America has older prophets on the current situation – as Thomas Jefferson observed, “A wise and frugal government, which shall leave men free to regulate their own pursuits of industry and improvement, and shall not take from the mouth of labor the bread it has earned – this is the sum of good government.”

Take heed, Governor Walker of Wisconsin and all the rest of you political leaders in Washington DC – or fuel up your learjets and head for the Cayman Islands.

Daly of the Global Intelligence Report, writes from Washington, DC, USA.

John Daly

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Oil & Energy

Resource Wars Are Here and Oil Is the First Casualty

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In just over a year, the world saw several instances of a choked supply of commodities indispensable for today’s economies and military capabilities.
From China’s restrictions on rare earths and critical minerals supply to the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz, policymakers and analysts began to realize that the control of oil, critical minerals, rare earths, and magnets is as important as building and maintaining stockpiles of advanced weapons. It also became clear that without these resources, defense and military capabilities could be weakened. The actual arms race goes hand in hand with the new battle for the resources that underpin economic, manufacturing, and advanced military development.
“Great-power competition has returned to basics: who controls the physical resources that modern economies and militaries run on,” Alice Gower, a partner at London-based political-risk advisory firm Azure Strategy, told the Wall Street Journal.
“Energy, critical minerals and industrial capacity are leverage, not just economic assets,” Gower added.
The war in the Middle East and the blockage at the Strait of Hormuz laid bare the reality of choked energy supply. The world’s most vital oil and LNG chokepoint, through which 20% of daily global trade flowed before the Iran war, has been essentially closed for most tanker traffic for more than three weeks.
The massive supply shock, the worst disruption in the oil market in history, showed that the world is dependent on energy resources, and that geography and actual physical supply matter. With so much oil and gas stranded in the Middle East, oil prices spiked to above $100 per barrel, natural gas prices in Europe doubled, and Asian spot LNG prices hit multi-year highs.
The precarious situation in the Middle East is reverberating across Asia, the region most dependent on oil and LNG supply from the Persian Gulf. Asian refiners pay sky-high premiums for non-Middle Eastern crude, many are considering cutting or have already cut processing rates, and countries have started to enact fuel-preserving measures, from four-day work weeks to bans on fuel exports.
In Europe, the gas refilling season will be the toughest yet, as Asia is outbidding Europe for spot LNG supply after Qatar’s LNG is effectively sidelined and full capacity may not return for up to five years following Iranian missile attacks last week.
Even the ‘energy independent’ United States, the world’s top oil producer, is not independent when it comes to global supply shocks of such magnitude.
The national average price of gasoline is approaching $4 per gallon nationwide, more than $1 a gallon compared to a month ago, before the start of the war.
Oil is a global resource, traded on a global market, and prices reflect fundamentals, although they have been driven by hectic trading activity on geopolitics in recent weeks. But the fundamentals show that there is no resource available to plug the gap that has opened in Middle Eastern supply. Producers are slashing output due to a lack of storage capacity, which further delays a rapid recovery in supply when this mess ends.
All this goes to show that whoever controls the Strait of Hormuz has enormous leverage on inflicting global economic pain.
While the world is focused on the Strait of Hormuz, the race for rare earths and critical minerals continues, with the U.S. and Western countries scrambling to dent China’s dominance.
Since China restricted exports of rare earth elements early in 2025, Western countries have raced to create mine-to-magnet supply chains to reduce dependence on Chinese supply in the key military and automotive industries.
China holds a 59% share of the mining of rare earths, 91% in refining, and a whopping 94% in magnet manufacturing, the International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates.
The U.S. has responded by taking stakes in minerals mining companies, the launch of a U.S. Strategic Critical Minerals Reserve, known as Project Vault, and is leading efforts to break the Chinese stronghold on the pricing of these minerals critical for the defense and auto industries and national security.
Chinese dominance could be eroded, but it would take years.
Still, rising neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) supply from countries like the U.S. and Australia is set to reduce China’s market share to 69% by 2030 from 90% in 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence (BI) said in new research this month.
“We’re seeing a surge in rare-earth investment as modern technologies demand more critical materials,” said Jack Baxter, Global Metals & Mining Analyst at BI and co-author of the report.
“That said, we anticipate a significant shortfall in supply due to trade uncertainties, with lead times as long as 10 years to get new material out of the ground,” Baxter added.
“This will give pricing power to the few producers that currently are able to supply critical materials outside of China, fracturing the globalized market.”
Amid fractured markets and high geopolitical uncertainty, one thing is certain – the next arms race, alongside the actual arms race, will be for control of key resources such as oil and critical minerals.
By Tsvetana Paraskova
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Oil & Energy

Transcorp Energy, Renewvia Partner On Renewable Energy Gap

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Transcorp Energy Limited and Renewvia Solar Nigeria Limited have signed a Memorandum of Understanding to jointly develop renewable energy projects across Nigeria.
The move is aimed at addressing the persistent power deficit that has crumble businesses in the nation.
The agreement also outlines a longer-term plan to expand operations across Africa, positioning both firms to tap into growing demand for clean and reliable electricity.
The partnership would target commercial, industrial and residential consumers, as well as underserved communities, through a mix of off-grid and grid-connected energy solutions.
Beyond electricity provision, the collaboration would explore the aggregation and monetisation of Renewable Energy Credits generated from the projects, adding a commercial layer to the clean energy rollout.
The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Transcorp Energy, Chris Ezeafulukwe, said the initiative aligns with the company’s broader strategy to expand access to sustainable power.
He noted that combining grid and decentralised energy systems would enable the company to deliver reliable electricity directly to end-users across different segments of the economy.
Chief Executive Officer of Renewvia, Trey Jarrard, described Nigeria as a critical market for the company’s African ambitions.
According to him, the partnership provides a platform to scale operations rapidly by leveraging established infrastructure and local expertise, while delivering cost-effective and resilient energy solutions.
Both companies said the agreement lays the foundation for a scalable pan-African renewable energy business, capable of supporting diverse markets and accelerating the continent’s transition to cleaner power sources.
The collaboration comes amid increasing pressure on governments and private sector players to deploy sustainable energy solutions to bridge electricity gaps, reduce reliance on fossil fuels, and support economic growth across Africa.
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Oil & Energy

IYC Tasks Niger Delta Governors On  Oil Field Bidding  ….Decries Exclusion of Host Communities

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The Ijaw Youth Council (IYC) Worldwide has raised concerns over the continued exclusion of host communities from the governance of oil resources, urging Niger Delta governors to take decisive steps by bidding for oil blocs and marginal fields.
The council warned that failure to act would allow external interests to continue dominating the region’s oil assets, despite their location within host communities.
Secretary-General of the council, Maobuye Nangi-Obu, started this at the stakeholders’ meeting organised by the Pipeline Infrastructure Nigeria Limited , with participants drawn from Rivers, Abia and Imo States, in Port Harcourt, recently.
“It is time for state governments in the Niger Delta, especially Rivers State, to form oil companies that can bid for marginal fields within their territories”, he said.
Nangi-Obu expressed concern over the reported listing of about 25 marginal oil fields for allocation, noting that many were located in host communities but allegedly being assigned to non-indigenes.
In his words “They sit in Abuja and decide what happens in our region, yet we are not part of the oil governance of our own resources”.
He explained that marginal fields, though considered uneconomical by major oil firms, remain viable for indigenous operators, adding that their allocation had continued to fuel grievances in the Niger Delta.
The IYC scribe also warned of the implications of directional drilling, describing it as a growing threat to host communities.
“There could be oil wells in your community, and somebody elsewhere could be drilling that oil without your knowledge,” he cautioned.
On environmental concerns, Nangi-Obu condemned the persistent gas flaring in the region, blaming both international and local operators for failing to invest in gas processing infrastructure.
He, however, commended Pipeline Infrastructure Nigeria Limited for its engagement with host communities.
“Pipeline Infrastructure Nigeria Limited is doing the right thing by engaging stakeholders. Not all companies are doing what they are doing,” he stated.
Traditional rulers at the meeting, further acknowledged improvements linked to the company’s activities in their areas.
The Eze Ekpeye-Logbo, King Kevin Anugwo, represented by Dr Patricia Ogbonnaya, noted that “aquatic life that disappeared due to pollution is gradually returning,” attributing the development to improved environmental conditions.
Similarly, Chairman of the K-Dere Council of Chiefs, Chief Batom Mitee, said, “There is now peace in our community,” stressing,  increased oil production must translate into tangible benefits for host communities.
By: King Onunwor
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