City Crime
Italy’s PM To Resign Over Financial Crisis
Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi said he would resign after the country’s budget is passed. The 75-year old Berlusconi has been a dominant force since forming the Forza Italia party in 1994, and his pending departure marks the end of an era for Italian politics.
But while the political spectacle that came with Berlusconi could now fade, the financial show might be just beginning. The pricing – set by traders who are selling Italy’s bonds – hit 7.3% by mid morning after breaking through 7% a short while earlier. “It’s like tectonic plates,” a desk analyst told CNN. “You have this pressure and then it breaks.”
To put Italy’s bond yields in context: Ireland bond yields were just over 8% before the country was bailed, Greek yields touched 10% and Portugal’s hit 9%.
Italy and Spain – the eurozone’s third and fourth largest economies – are those often referred to as too big to fail. So far, the eurozone countries and the European Central Bank have actively kept the bloc’s struggling economies afloat.
But their powers may be limited when it comes to Italy. The numbers are huge, and the political – and financial – capacity to continue supporting the bloc’s weak will face a mighty test should Italy stumble.
The numbers are brutal. Italy’s economy makes up 17% of the eurozone. Combined, Greece, Ireland and Portugal – the countries currently living off Europe’s bailout fund and the International Monetary Fund – make up less than 6%.
Italy’s debt stands at €1.9 trillion ($2.6 trillion), or 120% of gross domestic product. Compare that to the combined Greece, Ireland and Portugal’s debt – around €640 billion as at full year 2010, according to Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.
Italy faces around €380 billion in bond repayments and deficit costs by the end of 2012, according to Evolution Securities’ analyst Elizabeth Afseth. Its next major payment is €26 billion, due in February next year. With its funding costs now over 7%, that could prove an huge hurdle.
The oft-quoted 7% figure is, by and large, arbitrary. It is regarded as the level at which countries can no longer fund themselves – but depends on how long it stays at that level and how much the country needs to raise.
Vitally, however, it is a measurement of confidence and that – in these volatile markets – matters. When yields hit 7% it is extremely difficult to pull them back. According to Afseth, it is seen by investors as a “point of no return.”
And Italy’s situation is probably worse than the bond yields suggest, with the ECB’s intervention keeping the price of its funding down. According to Evolution Securities, the ECB began buying Italian and Spanish bonds on August 8 this year, after yields hit 6.08%. The following week, the ECB settled €22 billion of purchases. Last week, the bank settled €9.52 billion in purchases – the bulk of which were most likely Italian bonds, according to Afseth.
While the ECB – whose presidency has just been taken up by Italy’s Mario Draghi – has proved a key player in the survival of the eurozone to date, its patience appears to be growing thin. This week Yves Mersch, the governor of Luxembourg’s central bank and a member of the ECB’s governing council, told Italy’s La Stampa the bond buys should be “limited in quantity and in time.”
He said if the bank’s interventions are being undermined by a lack of effort from national governments, “we should ask ourselves about the problem of incentives.”
If Italy is forced to turn to Europe’s bailout fund, the outcome looks ugly. The fund is being enlarged to a lending capacity of €440 billion. Of that, around €140 billion has been committed to the bailouts of Greece, Ireland and Portugal, according to Afseth.
That leaves €300 billion – a sum that Italy would suck up, before needing more.
Plans to leverage the bailout fund, part of the triple-pronged attack on the crisis revealed after European leaders’ crisis meeting in October, will also suffer from the market’s plummeting confidence.
And so the markets watch and wait, as Italy’s “too big to fail” economy teeters on its financial tightrope.
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RSG Tasks Federal Government On Maternal Deaths
The Rivers state Government has urged the Federal Government to address the high rate of maternal deaths in the country.
Permanent Secretary, Rivers State Ministry of Health, Dr Mekele Comfort Igwe, made the call while declaring open a four-day capacity building workshop in Port Harcourt, recently.
The workshop, which was organised by the State Ministry of Health with support from the Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, was aimed at developing realistic and effective operational health plans for 2026 that will shape the state’s health budget and improve public health outcomes.
Themed “Realistic and Effective 2026 Annual Operational Plan That Informs Health Budget for the People of Rivers State,” the training brought together selected health managers across the State to enhance their capacity in evidence-based health planning under Nigeria’s Sector-Wide Approach.
Igwe stressed the need for the country to address the issue of maternal mortality, describing the present ranking of Nigeria as the global capital for maternal deaths as a poor assessment of the nation’s health sector.
He described the workshop as a critical step in addressing the state health challenge through strategic planning and collaborative problem solving.
“Today marks another step in our journey towards effective health planning for the people of Rivers State. This workshop builds on the foundation laid by the Master Trainers’ training held in Abuja from June 30 to July 4. We are here to cascade that knowledge to ensure more people are equipped for the tasks ahead,”she said.
She reaffirmed the state’s commitment to the Nigeria Health Sector Renewal Initiative and praised development partners for their continued support.
“I thank all our development partners for their unwavering commitment and financial support under the new funding arrangement.
“Their intervention has been crucial in helping us survive our worst health challenges,” she added.
Also speaking at the event, Dr. Dozie Nwokedi, a representative from the Federal Ministry of Health and Social Welfare, reiterated the Federal Government’s commitment to transforming the health sector through the Renewed Hope Agenda of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
Nwokedi stated that the ongoing reforms are aimed at reducing physical and financial burdens on Nigerians seeking healthcare, increasing health insurance coverage, and promoting the local production of medical consumables and equipment.
“We are here to support Rivers State in strengthening the capacity of its health workforce.
“The goal is simple: save lives, reduce pain, and provide quality healthcare for all Nigerians. These reforms are built on a strategic blueprint that includes four pillars, three enablers, 27 priority initiatives, and 265 interventions,” he said.q
Also speaking at the workshop, the Director of Health Planning, Research, and Statistics in the Rivers State Ministry of Health, Dr. Juhanne Woke, explained the rationale behind holding the workshop in July, noting that it aligns with the national health planning framework.
“This program is a vital part of preparing for the 2026 health sector budget. By Quarter 3 of each year, we are expected to begin planning using data and evidence generated within the current year,” Dr. Woke said.
She called on participants not to lose faith in the system despite past frustrations.
“I know some of us may be weary with the thought of ‘same old garbage in, garbage out.’ But I urge you to believe that meaningful change starts small. Let us all pull in one direction towards better health outcomes,” she added.
John Bibor
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