Editorial
Oil Theft: That Alleged Military’s Complicity
The Rivers State Governor, Sir Siminalayi Fubara, recently expressed deep concern over the persistent loss of crude oil and its resultant negative impact on the environment. He made allegation, stating that despite his administration’s strong dedication to combat illegal bunkering activities in the state, certain officers of the Nigerian Army were involved in compromising behaviours in specific areas such as Ahoada East and Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government Areas.
The governor conveyed this allegation during his meeting with the Chief of Army Staff, Lt.-Gen. Taoreed Abiodun Lagbaja, who paid a formal visit to the Government House in Port Harcourt. According to the governor, the implicated officers were affiliated with a specific company located in the Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government Area.
Fubara said, “One special problem that we have here is the issue of bunkering. In some parts of the state, in Ahoada East and Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni, most of the bunkering activities there, we believe, are subsisting because there is this cooperation between the Army and high-top oil companies. I am saying this because there is this road we are constructing in Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni, and each time the contractors approach this particular company to solicit cooperation to enable them to carry out their obligations, the military always attack the contractors.”
We commend the governor for bravely speaking out against the military’s involvement in the atrocious act, despite encountering stiff opposition to interventions. The governor’s claims have been verified and it is crucial that security agencies are compelled to disclose any member who may be collaborating with the perpetrators. The Federal Government must stay firm in its commitment, promptly fulfilling its responsibility to uncover any complicit official.
Fubara’s observation is supported by the remarks of prominent Niger Delta ex-militant leader, Asari Dokubo, who accused the Nigerian military of being responsible for a greater majority of oil theft in the country. Dokubo made this accusation following a private meeting with President Bola Tinubu in the latter’s office. He mentioned that the President had assured him of conducting an investigation into the allegations of extensive oil bunkering orchestrated by influential naval commanders who served as kingpins, and also pledged to take firm action to put an end to this ignominious practice.
The former militant leader asserted that the culpability for oil theft in the Niger Delta region lies not with the ordinary citizens, who lack the means to orchestrate such complex acts of theft. He contended that the manner in which the oil thieves have conducted their illicit activities had not only deprived the people of the Niger Delta of their means of sustenance, but also constitutes a grave crime against humanity.
To corroborate this claim, a House of Representatives committee is currently investigating the substantial oil theft in the Niger Delta after uncovering, through credible intelligence, collaboration between regulatory agencies and security agencies. The committee has said that it will examine the actions of marginal field operators who are accused of assisting in crude oil theft to compensate for production deficits. The lawmakers have already had discussions with security agencies and plan to also involve marginal field operators, as well as 14 production-sharing contract operators, and 57 joint venture operators in their investigations.
Oil theft in Nigeria is causing severe damage, with roughly 40 per cent of explored crude oil being lost due to theft and measurement inaccuracies caused by insufficient maintenance of metering facilities. The House has estimated that in 2021 alone, the country suffered a loss of $4billion, equivalent to a daily loss of 200,000 barrels. A recent statement from the National Security Adviser, Nuhu Ribadu, confirmed that a staggering 400,000 barrels are being stolen each day. Consequently, Nigeria is unable to meet its current OPEC production quota of 1.8 million barrels per day.
President Bola Tinubu should investigate Governor Fubara’s claims. The military should also conduct an internal investigation to identify any collaborators within its ranks, both current and retired. In 2022, the former Chief of Defence Staff, Lucky Irabor, expressed a commitment to investigating oil theft activities after visiting oil theft sites in Delta State with oil sector executives. His successor, Chris Musa, should ensure that this promise is upheld. The Nigerian Navy should take necessary steps to remove any officer found to be involved in these illicit activities.
The most perplexing aspect of Nigeria’s oil theft situation is the deliberate act of setting vessels ablaze, either onshore or at sea, along with the captured stolen crude oil. This is done without conducting comprehensive investigations, initiating legal proceedings, or obtaining court orders. The government should cease this peculiar and extravagant practice.
The impact of oil theft on the economy is enormous, considering that crude oil contributes to about 90 per cent of the country’s revenue. According to a study published in the European Modern Studies Journal, Nigeria has suffered substantial revenue losses due to oil theft. In 2019, the country lost $2.1billion, followed by $1.9billion in 2020, $7.2billion in 2021, and a staggering $22.4billion in 2022.
The government plays a critical role in safeguarding pipelines and other economic assets, and it is imperative that they strengthen their efforts in this regard. It is essential to identify and apprehend security operatives involved in oil theft, ensuring that they face prosecution for their actions. Any collaborators within the military’s ranks must be held accountable and brought to justice.
This is one best way to ensure that the fight against crude oil theft and illegal refining of petroleum products is eliminated, so as to save the nation of the excruciating pains it faces not just because of huge revenue losses but also the damage to the environment and the consequent health complications.
Editorial
2027: Beyond IGP’s Billboards Protection Order
As Nigeria moves toward the 2027 general elections and campaign activities intensify, violence against opposition politicians has become an issue that can no longer be overlooked. What should be a season of competing ideas is increasingly turning into a test of intimidation, and early signs suggest that those challenging the ruling establishment are the primary targets.
It was, therefore, welcome news when the Inspector-General of Police, Olatunji Disu, warned politicians, political thugs and others against destroying, defacing or removing campaign posters, banners and billboards. In a statement issued in Abuja by the Force Public Relations Officer, CSP Ani Iniedu, the police condemned such acts as political intolerance, directed Commissioners of Police in all 36 States and the Federal Capital Territory to take preventive measures, and warned that sponsors would also face prosecution. The police rightly described such vandalism as a criminal act that undermines parties’ and candidates’ freedom to canvass for votes.
But billboards are replaceable; human lives are not. While applauding the IGP’s stance, we urge him to extend the same stern warning and enforcement zeal to thugs who assault opposition members during campaigns. A police force that punishes the tearing of a poster but ignores the breaking of a skull will have its priorities questioned. Allowing such attacks to continue could erode the foundations of our democracy.
Consider the African Democratic Congress (ADC) presidential campaign flag-off in Sokoto State on November 4, 2026. The party alleged that the State Government denied it access to public facilities, sealed its campaign venue and pressured hotels to reject its delegates, forcing it to hold the rally at its secretariat. The Sokoto authorities, however, denied instructing hotels to turn guests away. More seriously, two suspected ADC supporters were reportedly shot along the Sokoto–Wurno Road while travelling to the venue, allegedly by operatives of the Sokoto State Community Guards.
Whatever the truth of these competing accounts, a shooting demands more than press statements. It requires a transparent, independent investigation and prosecution where warranted. Sokoto was not an isolated incident. The following day in Birnin Kebbi, the ADC presidential campaign convoy was reportedly attacked by armed gangs. Amnesty International said vehicles were vandalised, people assaulted with cutlasses and roads blocked, while the party’s Kebbi governorship candidate, Abubakar Malami, alleged that media equipment was destroyed and tear gas deployed. His convoy had suffered a similar attack in the city in September 2025.
The Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) has suffered similar attacks. On November 4, hoodlums stoned the motorcade of its presidential candidate, Peter Obi, and running mate, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, at Watt Market roundabout in Calabar, Cross River State. Police reported arresting a 27-year-old suspect, Victor Edet, although it remains unclear whether he has been arraigned. The State Government has denied suggestions that ruling-party supporters were responsible. Worse, in Asaba, Delta State, one person was killed and five injured when suspected thugs attacked an NDC rally. A death at a political rally is no longer a warning; it is a damning indictment of the prevailing political climate.
Even critics of the establishment who are not frontrunners have not been spared. Omoyele Sowore, presidential candidate of the African Action Congress (AAC), was attacked by suspected thugs at a restaurant in Ado-Ekiti on October 30. He alleged that the assailants were linked to the Ekiti State Government House and that the Department of State Services leaked his location. Both the State Government and the security service denied involvement, while the police reported a minor injury and a discreet investigation. These conflicting accounts make an independent, publicly reported inquiry indispensable.
What deepens the concern is the Federal Government’s apparent silence. We are unaware of any specific, forceful condemnation of these assaults, even as All Progressives Congress (APC) rallies appear to proceed nationwide without incident. Such silence can easily be misconstrued as complicity, regardless of intent.
According to the Centre for Democracy and Development, 109 election-related deaths were recorded in the build-up to the 2023 polls. The Kimpact Development Initiative separately documented 238 incidents and 24 deaths during the general elections. Beyond Nigeria, Kenya’s 2007–08 post-election violence claimed more than 1,000 lives, according to the Waki Commission. Ghana, by contrast, enacted the Vigilantism and Related Offences Act in 2019 to curb party vigilante groups, a model worth studying.
The remedies are neither exotic nor expensive. The IGP should extend his directive to cover assaults on individuals and disruptions of rallies, while establishing a dedicated investigative unit to probe the Sokoto shooting and the attacks in Kebbi, Calabar, Asaba and Ado-Ekiti. It should publish the status of each case within a fixed period. Suspects must be prosecuted and their sponsors, regardless of party or position, brought to justice. State-backed security outfits, including the Community Guards, should be audited and barred from partisan duties.
The Federal Government must speak and act unequivocally. President Tinubu should specifically condemn attacks on opposition candidates and direct all security agencies to guarantee equal protection for every party. Governors must ensure equal access to public facilities for registered parties. The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), which has warned of fines and imprisonment under the Electoral Act 2026 for inflammatory campaign conduct, should enforce the Code of Conduct for Political Parties. Working with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security, it should publish a joint security plan covering campaigns, polling, and collation. Parties must discipline their supporters, courts expedite electoral-violence trials, and civil society and the media maintain a public record of incidents and their outcomes.
The credibility of the 2027 elections is at stake. An election is credible only when every contender can campaign, travel, assemble and speak freely, without fear. Without a free opposition, there can be no meaningful democracy. Nigeria is not a one-party State, and law enforcement agencies must demonstrate their neutrality through action, not communiqués. The campaign atmosphere is too tense to be left to chance. Billboards deserve protection, certainly, but citizens deserve it far more.
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