Opinion
Waiting For Tomorrow
There may be severe internal crisis rocking the boat of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). There may be mass exodus of the PDP members to other political parties. And there may be several mergers among the other political parties to fight the PDP in the 2011 general elections. But to all intents and purposes, the PDP still remains the most formidable political party for the 2011 presidential polls.
Thus, Nigerians are anxiously waiting for tomorrow when the ruling PDP will conduct its 2011 presidential primaries. With former military President, Ibrahim Babangida, National Security Adviser , Major General Aliyu Gusau, and Kwara State Governor, Bukola Saraki yielding to the Mallam Adamu Ciroma’s Northern Political Leaders Forum’s consensus candidate arrangement, the party’s presidential primary election has been narrowed down to President Goodluck Jonathan, Atiku Abubakar, Mrs Sarah Jibril and Adamu Dutsinma. Even so, Mrs. Sarah Jibril and Adamu Dutsinma may end up looking like spectators at the presidential primaries just like some of the aspirants at the governorship primaries of the party over the weekend.
So, strictly speaking, the two gladiators Nigerians will be watching tomorrow in the PDP primary election will be Dr. Goodluck Jonathan and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar.
It goes without saying that the passion and intrigues with which the two aspirants and their ardent supporters are fighting for their party’s presidential ticket have heated up the polity. Already, the zoning razzmatazz which has produced the Turakin Adamawa, Atiku Abubakar, candidate of the North has apparently polarised the country’s political space.
What an obstacle race for the two titans? It is hoped that by tomorrow they would have hurdled over the many barriers they and their zealous supporters planted on each others muddy track.
For instance, some Atiku Abubakar’s loyalists consisting of Ambassador Yahaya Kwande, Hon Dubem Onyia and Alhaji Lawal Kaita have gone to court to stop Goodluck Jonathan from contesting the tomorrow’s presidential primaries. Why? Because according to them, Dr. Jonathan’s resolve to contest the 2011 presidential election would harm the federal character principle and the PDP’s zoning arrangements.
In a similar vein, a loyalist of Dr. Goodluck Jonathan, Alhaji Sadiq Aliyu Jeda, had also sued the PDP, its National Chairman, Dr. Okwesilieze Nwodo and National Secretary, Alhaji Abubakar Kawu Baraje for granting Alhaji Atiku Abubakar readmission waiver to stand for election on the platform of the party. Alhaji Jeda had prayed the court to restrain PDP and/or any of its organs from availing Atiku Abubakar any eligibility to contest the presidential election on the party’s platform.
The contest between Dr. Goodluck Jonathan and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is a good example of the observation recorded by the British philosopher and mathematician, Bertrand Russell in his essay written in 1928. According to him, “Next to enjoying ourselves, the next greatest pleasure consists in preventing others from enjoying themselves, or, more generally, in the acquisition of power”.
But one of the essential qualities of a politician is faith in the future. So, even in the face of the court cases which have just been dismissed and other hurdles on their paths, the two consummate politicians have being soldiering on.
By now, the two major aspirants must have perfected their strategies and wits. They have received several endorsements from traditional rulers, socio-cultural organisations, political groups, geo-political zones, professional bodies, powerful and wealthy individuals, and religious organisations across the country. From media reports, Atiku Abubakar is certain that Goodluck Jonathan can not win the primaries with 61 percent of the delegates from the North and only 39 percent from the South. And since he (Atiku Abubakar) is the consensus candidate of the North, he believes strongly that his victory at the party’s presidential primaries tomorrow is assured.
Except that in politics, one day is a long time, tomorrow is just around the corner. Atiku Abubakar may be more tenacious and voluble but Goodluck Jonathan appears to have been prepared for this most exalted position in the land by providence. Effortlessly he has swum the murky waters of politics to his present station and has registered himself in the hearts of many Nigerians as a humble and reasonable leader who can make a remarkable difference in the socio-political temper of the country. Atiku Abubakar goes to the presidential primaries tomorrow as a Northern consensus candidate, but Goodluck Jonathan, though from a minority ethnic nationality, strides to the primaries carrying the national aura of peace, harmony, and oneness.
In the final analysis, the 2011 presidential election may boil down to a contest between Goodluck Jonathan and the other aspirants from just a few political parties. The prominent ones include the former Sokoto State Governor, Attahiru Bafarawa and former Chairman of EFCC, Mallam Nuhu Ribadu, of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), Retired General Muhammadu Buhari of Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), as well as Kano State Governor, Ibrahim Shekarau, Chief Harry Akande and the former National Republican Convention (NRC) presidential candidate, Alhaji Othman Tofa of ANPP.
Now, if the predictions of many that Atiku Abubakar will lose in the presidential primaries come true, will he lend his weight and support, in the interest of his party, to Goodluck Jonathan to battle the other candidates considering the volume of venom he has released in to the political ethers? On the other hand, if Atiku Abubakar surprisingly clinches his party’s presidential ticket, will Goodluck Jonathan bury the hatchet and embrace him for good. What the case will be, only time will tell.
But whoever wins the presidential primaries between the two gladiators, the validity and credibility of the victory will depend on the transparency and other democratic values the leadership of the party will inject into the exercise.
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