Business
Nigeria Maintains Stable Rating
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Nigeria’s long term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at ‘BB-’ and BB’ respectively. The report released at the weekend put the country’s outlook as stable and affirmed the short-term foreign currency IDR at ‘B’ and the currency ceding at ‘BB’-.
“Nigeria’s strong sovereign balance sheet is the main support to its ratings. Although weakened by a major reserve loss since September 2008, its balance sheet still stands out amongst its rating peers”, says Veronica Lalema, a director in Fitch’s Sovereign Department.
According to the report, banking consolidation achieved in 2005 resulted in a well-capitalised banking system, which together with Nigeria’s strong overall and public net external creditor position and low government debt, have helped cushion the economy against the collapse in oil prices, the global recession, a reversal of capital flows and the banking sector’s exposure to a sharp fall in equity prices, “with some signs of global stabilisation now apparent and a recovery in oil prices, Nigeria look likely to weather the stocks,” adds Kalema.
Nigeria’s 2009 budget was predicted on a crude oil benchmark of $45 to the barrel, even though Fitch put a forecast of $55. Oil currently sells at around $70 per barrel, even though this is hampered by the Niger Delta crisis which has reduced output to about 1.3 million barrels per day from the 2.3 million per day budget outlook.
The Fitch report recognised that this shortfall would be augmented by the higher-than-budgeted oil price, reduced disbursements from the Excess Crude Account (ECA) and likely under-execution of the Federal Government (FG) budget.
“The domestic debt market provides financing flexibility for the Federal Government and a few sub-nationals that have started to tap it to fund development spending. Nevertheless, sub-nationals face a serious revenue squeeze, and there is a risk that this will result in further disbursements from the ECA,” the report added.
It noted that Nigeria’s rating are hampered by data weaknesses and lack of transparency in several key areas including public finances, the balance of payments, international reserves and the banking system. Improvements are essential to enhancing credit worthiness.
“Following an average of 6.0 per cent growth in 2004-2008, in 2009 growth will slow to around 3.0 per cent, reflecting much lower fiscal spending, private credit growth, remittances and oil prices.
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Blue Economy: Minister Seeks Lifeline In Blue Bond Amid Budget Squeeze

Ministry of Marine and Blue Economy is seeking new funding to implement its ambitious 10-year policy, with officials acknowledging that public funding is insufficient for the scale of transformation envisioned.
Adegboyega Oyetola, said finance is the “lever that will attract long-term and progressive capital critical” and determine whether the ministry’s goals take off.
“Resources we currently receive from the national budget are grossly inadequate compared to the enormous responsibility before the ministry and sector,” he warned.
He described public funding not as charity but as “seed capital” that would unlock private investment adding that without it, Nigeria risks falling behind its neighbours while billions of naira continue to leak abroad through freight payments on foreign vessels.
He said “We have N24.6 trillion in pension assets, with 5 percent set aside for sustainability, including blue and green bonds,” he told stakeholders. “Each time green bonds have been issued, they have been oversubscribed. The money is there. The question is, how do you then get this money?”
The NGX reckons that once incorporated into the national budget, the Debt Management Office could issue the bonds, attracting both domestic pension funds and international investors.
Yet even as officials push for creative financing, Oloruntola stressed that the first step remains legislative.
“Even the most innovative financial tools and private investments require a solid public funding base to thrive.
It would be noted that with government funding inadequate, the ministry and capital market operators see bonds as alternative financing.
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