Opinion
Monetary Policy Needs A Human Face
Elsewhere in the world, the conduct of monetary policy is a serious and exciting business, especially for the outside observers.
The process is remarkably transparent, highly accountable and for the bank watcher, fairly unpredictable. This is what makes it exciting.
In these places, the Central Bank meets regularly on dates published in advance. The Bank’s research into General Economic Phenomena as well as its complication of short term economic conditions are routinely made available to the investor-analyst community, the academia and indeed anyone who cares to know. In turning the bank regularly taps research from the private sector.
In the US, whose policy openness is the envy of many around the world even the minutes of Central Bank meetings are published for the benefit of the public (readers interested in the minutes of the US federal reserves, for example, may visit the following website: www.federal reserves.gor. At the same site may be found the famous “Beige Book”, which provides painstaking accounts of local economic conditions and forms a core component of the basis of monetary policy in America).
In countries such as US, central bankers are allowed a high (not absolute) degree of independence, while being held publicly accountable for their actions. Several times in the year, the Central Bank Governor must appear before parliament to report on his conduct of monetary policy. He is grilled endlessly, and his statements become the subject of public debate and analysis thereafter. The sum effect of all this is a process more reflective of, and responsive to, real life economic conditions than is the case elsewhere?
The process promotes market efficiency and helps business to plan better. Its impact on the economic fortunes of the public is more assessable. Not so in Nigeria. Here the secrecy surrounding the conduct of monetary policy is akin to the hematic repulsiveness of a monaster. We wake up one morning to hear on radio that our central bankers (whoever they are) have decided to raise or trim interest rates.
This is followed by clicked-filled press releases about moping up excess liquidity and an exchange rate stability that is increasingly becoming more apparent than real. The kind of openness and creativity that must inform monetary policy are woefully lacking in these releases and their underlying policies.
With rare expectations, such as the bank’s study of the impact of the energy crisis last year, the central bank produces no significant time relevant research on the Nigeria’s economy. Even the bank’s periodic compilation not creation of macro economic data is invariably so late as to be analytically worthless.
In an information age where timely, accurate and adequate information is the sine qua-non of an efficient organization, such tardiness represents a serious indictment of the bank of Nigeria, the premier financial institution of the country.
Esoteric and routinised theorizing about the economy at the expense of real-life issue has become, disturbingly, standard fare for the central bank. Yet, for monetary policy to be effective and for that matter relevant, it must speak to the concerns of ordinary Nigerians; it must be grounded in real issues such as economic output, job creation and wages growth. Whether or not the money stock expanded by 6 or 60 percent last year means nothing to the unemployed university graduate whose job prospects grow bleaker by the day or the civil servant whose take home pay can barely get him through his office door.
This means that the Central Bank must abandon theoretical posturing and bureaucratic clichés and move to anchor monetary policy in the real economy. Ideally, direct measures of economic output and jobs, for instance, will serve as a solid foundation for monetary policy.
But the institutions and procedures for the collection of such measures have been allowed to deteriorate so much over the years that we cannot reasonably rely on them in the foreseeable future.This is where creative policy research and policy making becomes essential.
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Empowering Youth Through Agriculture
Quote:”While job seeking youths should continuously acquire skills and explore opportunities within their immediate environment as well as in the global space through the use of digital platforms, government, corporate/ multinational organizations or the organised private sector should generate skills and provide the enabling environment for skills acquisition, through adequate funding and resettlement packages that will provide sustainable economic life for beneficiaries”.
The Governor of Rivers State, Sir Siminalayi Fubara, recently urged youths in the Rivers State to take advantage of the vast opportunities available to become employers of labour and contribute meaningfully to the growth and development of the State. Governor Fubara noted that global trends increasingly favour entrepreneurship and innovation, and said that youths in Rivers State must not be left behind in harnessing these opportunities. The Governor, represented by the Secretary to the State Government, Dr Benibo Anabraba, made this known while declaring open the 2026 Job Fair organised by the Rivers State Government in partnership with the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) in Port Harcourt. The Governor acknowledged the responsibility of government to create jobs for its teeming youth population but noted that it is unrealistic to absorb all job seekers into the civil service.
“As a government, we recognise our duty to provide employment opportunities for our teeming youths. However, we also understand that not all youths can be accommodated within the civil service. This underscores the need to encourage entrepreneurship across diverse sectors and to partner with other stakeholders, including the youths themselves, so they can transition from being job seekers to employers of labour,” he said. It is necessary to State that Governor Fubara has not only stated the obvious but was committed to drive youth entrepreneurship towards their self-reliance and the economic development of the State It is not news that developed economies of the world are skilled driven economies. The private sector also remains the highest employer of labour in private sector driven or capitalist economy though it is also the responsibility of government to create job opportunities for the teeming unemployed youth population in Nigeria which has the highest youth unemployed population in the subSahara Africa.
The lack of job opportunities, caused partly by the Federal Government’s apathy to job creation, the lack of adequate supervision of job opportunities economic programmes, lack of employable skills by many youths in the country have conspired to heighten the attendant challenges of unemployment. The challenges which include, “Japa” syndrome (travelling abroad for greener pastures), that characterises the labour market and poses threat to the nation’s critical sector, especially the health and medical sector; astronomical increase in the crime rate and a loss of interest in education. While job seeking youths should continuously acquire skills and explore opportunities within their immediate environment as well as in the global space through the use of digital platforms, government, corporate/ multinational organizations or the organised private sector should generate skills and provide the enabling environment for skills acquisition, through adequate funding and resettlement packages that will provide sustainable economic life for beneficiaries.
While commending the Rivers State Government led by the People First Governor, Sir Siminilayi Fubara for initiating “various training and capacity-building programmes in areas such as ICT and artificial intelligence, oil and gas, maritime, and the blue economy, among others”, it is note-worthy that the labour market is dynamic and shaped by industry-specific demands, technological advancements, management practices and other emerging factors. So another sector the Federal, State and Local Governments should encourage youths to explore and harness the abounding potentials, in my considered view, is Agriculture. Agriculture remains a veritable solution to hunger, inflation, and food Insecurity that ravages the country. No doubt, the Nigeria’s arable landmass is grossly under-utilised and under-exploited.
In recent times, Nigerians have voiced their concerns about the persistent challenges of hunger, inflation, and the general increase in prices of goods and commodities. These issues not only affect the livelihoods of individuals and families but also pose significant threats to food security and economic stability in the country. The United Nations estimated that more than 25 million people in Nigeria could face food insecurity this year—a 47% increase from the 17 million people already at risk of going hungry, mainly due to ongoing insecurity, protracted conflicts, and rising food prices. An estimated two million children under five are likely to be pushed into acute malnutrition. (Reliefweb ,2023). In response, Nigeria declared a state of emergency on food insecurity, recognizing the urgent need to tackle food shortages, stabilize rising prices, and protect farmers facing violence from armed groups. However, without addressing the insecurity challenges, farmers will continue to struggle to feed their families and boost food production.
In addition, parts of northwest and northeast Nigeria have experienced changes in rainfall patterns making less water available for crop production. These climate change events have resulted in droughts and land degradations; presenting challenges for local communities and leading to significant impact on food security. In light of these daunting challenges, it is imperative to address the intricate interplay between insecurity and agricultural productivity. Nigeria can work toward ensuring food security, reducing poverty, and fostering sustainable economic growth in its vital agricultural sector. In this article, I suggest solutions that could enhance agricultural production and ensure that every state scales its agricultural production to a level where it can cater to 60% of the population.
This is feasible and achievable if government at all levels are intentional driving the development of the agricultural sector which was the major economic mainstay of the Country before the crude oil was struck in commercial quantity and consequently became the nation’s monolithic revenue source. Government should revive the moribund Graduate Farmers Scheme and the Rivers State School-to-Land agricultural programmes to operate concurrently with other skills acquisition and development programmes. There should be a consideration for investment in mechanized farming and arable land allocation. State and local governments should play a pivotal role in promoting mechanized farming and providing arable land for farming in communities. Additionally, allocating arable land enables small holder farmers to expand their operations and contribute to food security at the grassroots level.
Nigeria can unlock the potential of its agricultural sector to address the pressing needs of its population and achieve sustainable development. Policymakers and stakeholders must heed Akande’s recommendations and take decisive action to ensure a food-secure future for all Nigerians.
By: Igbiki Benibo
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