Oil & Energy
Brent Oil Rises Above $106
Brent crude was above 106
dollar a barrel last Thursday as global economic growth worries hurt demand.
The oil market has mostly escaped the recent selloff in risky assets, which was sparked by emerging markets turmoil and a mixed picture on global economic growth.
“Commodities have largely been unaffected by the emerging market turmoil so far.
Industrial metals are to be affected, while the energy market is getting support from the fact that the global economy presumably is back on the right track,” said Mark Keenan.
Keenan is head of commodities research in Asia at Societe Generale.
Brent crude was trading two cents higher at 106.27 dollars per barrel, having settled up 47 cents the session before.
U.S. crude rose 14 cents to 97.64 dollars a barrel, after closing up 19 cents.
The benchmark was supported as severe snow and ice storms in the Northeastern states boosted demand for heating fuels.
U.S. stocks of distillates fell 2.4 million barrels last week – more than expected.
Inventories of the fuels on the East Coast declined to their lowest level since April 2003 due to the continued cold spell, government data showed.
“While distillate stocks normally draw at this time of the year, since the start of the year they have done so at a greater-than-normal rate and from a particularly low base level,” Harry Tchilinguirian, said in a note.
Tchilinguirian is head of commodity markets at BNP Paribas.
Still, the country-wide drop in distillates should more be attributed to a rise in exports and a weekly decline in production than to cold weather, Tchilinguirian said.
Demand for jet fuel, however, could be hit with 2,880 flights cancelled on Wednesday throughout the U.S.
Oil markets were also supported by a pickup in the U.S. services sector in January, with steady strength in private-sector hiring.
Crude stocks at Cushing fell 1.6 million barrels to 40.3 million barrels last week, reflecting the start-up last month of TransCanada Corp’s 700,000 barrel-per-day Gulf Coast pipeline.
It had been expected to ease a glut at the Oklahoma storage hub.
Support for U.S. crude narrowed the gap to the international benchmark to 8.63 dollars per barrel on Thursday.
The spread touched 7.94 dollars per barrel on Wednesday, the narrowest since Oct. 10, before closing at 8.87 dollars per barrel.
The narrowing gap comes as many investors have pulled out of heavy speculation in the spread.
“We have seen a clear step back from the speculative community, including hedge funds, simply because they lost so much money on trading the spread.
“As a result, the spread is now more driven by fundamental factors, and this will keep volatility in the spread lower,” said Keenan, who expects the spread to narrow further.
“When you see a big increase in bets on either side of the current price, which usually suggests that the market will stay range bound.”
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