Aviation
Air Passenger Traffic To Increase By Double In 2032
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), says airline passenger travels will double by the next 20 years.
The Acting Administrator of FAA, Michael Huerta in a statement said more people would be flying more miles this year and expressed optimism that the trend would continue in the years ahead.
According to him, the US airlines will carry 732 million passengers this year, 746 million next year and eventually 1.2 billion in 2032.
For FAA, the forecast is a talking point in support of the agency’s efforts to develop Next Gen, a satellite-based air traffic control system that will replace the nation’s aging, ground based system. Using GPS technology the system will presumably increase capacity and reduce gridlock by allowing planes to fly closer together and transit airports more efficiently.
Some aviation experts however questioned the validity of FAA’s numbers as well as the agency’s rationale.
“I think that ‘the air traffic will double” statement is a good way for FAA to say this is why we need Next Gen”, said Tom Reich, director of air service development at Avport, an airport management and consulting company.
Other observers however, agreed with FAA, citing micro-economic factors – the backlog of airplane orders at Airbus and Boeing, for example – and larger ones pegged to the global economy.
“Look at the aircraft orders at Boeing and Airbus. If you wanted to order an airplane from Boeing right now, you wouldn’t get it for seven years”, said Steve Cowell of SRC Aviation.
At the same time, socio-economic factors point to a parallel increase in passenger demand, said Mark Kiefer of Mark Kiefer Consulting.
“The propensity for our travel increases – and increases markedly – with increases in income. The short-term outlook may be anaemic but eventually we’ll return to more normal levels of growth”.
Handling that growth, whether it doubles or not will be the real challenge, and while Next Gen may counter congestion in the skies, it won’t have impact on crowd traversing the nation’s airports.
“The story on the ground is more mixed. There are certain airports that we already know are chronically congested and have real physical constraints. La Guardias, for example is already maxed out ad is not going to get any bigger”, said Kiefar.
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Aviation Professionals Want Agencies Boards’ Inauguration
As a measure to curb corruption and restore accountability, the Association of Nigeria Aviation Professionals (ANAP), has called on the Minister of Aviation and Aerospace Development, Festus Keyamo, to push for the urgent formation and inauguration of governing boards for all other aviation agencies.
ANAP’s Secretary General, AbdulRasaq Saidu, made this call at the weekend when interacting with aviation correspondents, in reaction to recent inauguration of Board of the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria (FAAN).
Keyamo had recently inaugurated the FAAN board, more than six months after its members were appointed by President Bola Tinubu, where Dr. Umar Ganduje was named Board Chairman, with FAAN’s Managing Director, Olubunmi Kuku, as the Vice Chairman.
Other board members include representatives from the Ministries of Justice, Defence, Tourism, and Aviation, as well as professionals from the Nigerian College of Aviation Technology, and FAAN’s legal department.
The ANAP scribe there urged the aviation Minister not to stop at FAAN but to ensure that all aviation parastatals are given functional boards to restore order and credibility to the sector.
He, however, commended Keyamo for recently inaugurating the board of the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria but stressed that more needed to be done.
Saidu also warned that the continued delay in constituting boards for other aviation agencies creates room for unchecked abuses, including illegal contracts, fraudulent employment practices, and mismanagement.
“The absence of governing boards violates the enabling Acts that established these agencies. Only properly constituted boards can enforce discipline, ensure due process in decision-making, and provide oversight to prevent corruption”, Saidu said.
He emphasised that the aviation unions, including ANAP, have consistently raised concerns about poor governance and lack of transparency within the aviation system.
He called on President Bola Tinubu to act swiftly by appointing board members for all relevant agencies, in the interest of fairness and aviation safety.
Saidu also tackled the former Minister of Aviation, Senator Hadi Sirika, for failing to inaugurate any boards during his eight-year tenure, despite appointments being made by former President Muhammadu Buhari.
“ANAP raised the alarm several times under Sirika’s leadership, but nothing changed. That lapse has continued under the current administration, and it must be addressed now”, Saidu stated.
By: Corlins Walter
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