Business
Crude Oil Price Increase: Worsening Inflation Imminent – IMF
The world’s foremost financial organisation, International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that rising oil prices may lead to high inflation and slow growth across the world.
It also stated that the rising oil prices may re-echo the 1970s, when geopolitical tensions caused fossil fuel prices to spike.
In a new report titled, ‘Lower oil reliance insulates world from 1970s-style crude shock’, which was made available to The Tide, IMF said the war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russia are causing substantial economic spillovers, notably for energy.
“For some, rising oil prices may echo the 1970s, when geopolitical tensions also caused fossil fuel prices to spike.
“Memories of the high inflation and slow growth that followed, known as stagflation, have fueled concerns about a possible repeat. Importantly, though, times have changed”, IMF stated.
It continued that Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, had risen to a seven-year high of about $100 before the Ukraine crisis pushed it above $130.
“The Central banks, too, have changed, since the 1970s. More are independent today, and the credibility of monetary policy has broadly strengthened over the intervening decades.
“We expect global growth to be close to the pre-pandemic average of 3.5 per cent, even after our April World Economic Outlook lowered projections, but it still could slow more than forecast, and inflation could turn out higher than expected”, it stated.
By: Corlins Walter
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Sugar Tax ‘ll Threaten Manufacturing Sector, Says CPPE
In a statement, the Chief Executive Officer, CPPE, Muda Yusuf, said while public health concerns such as diabetes and cardiovascular diseases deserve attention, imposing an additional sugar-specific tax was economically risky and poorly suited to Nigeria’s current realities of high inflation, weak consumer purchasing power and rising production costs.
According to him, manufacturers in the non-alcoholic beverage segment are already facing heavy fiscal and cost pressures.
“The proposition of a sugar-specific tax is misplaced, economically risky, and weakly supported by empirical evidence, especially when viewed against Nigeria’s prevailing structural and macroeconomic realities.
The CPPE boss noted that retail prices of many non-alcoholic beverages have risen by about 50 per cent over the past two years, even without the introduction of new taxes, further squeezing consumers.
Yusuf further expressed reservation on the effectiveness of sugar taxes in addressing the root causes of non-communicable diseases in Nigeria.
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