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Experts Seek Effective Fiscal-Monetary Policy To Tackle Recession
Some economists in the North-East have urged the Federal Government to formulate effective fiscal and monetary policies to prevent Nigeria from sliding into recession.
The experts including academics and financial analysts said the measure was imperative towards building a vibrant economy and sustain the gains recorded in the agriculture sector which enabled the country to withstand current global recession.
The experts spoke while responding to a survey by The Tide source on global economic recession in Bauchi, Damaturu, Gombe, Maiduguri and Yola.
Recession is a period of persistent economic downturn or low level of productivity.
Dr Binta Yahaya, an economist in Damaturu, Yobe, said several factors indicated that the world is sliding into recession.
She said, “in the UK and the U.S., rapid decline in productivity and high inflation rates have been reported.
“In Nigeria, there is too much money in circulation with low productivity level.
“Inflation is characterised by low per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The GDP drops for two consecutive quarters and may last for about 10 months”.
She suggested that fiscal and monetary policies which might not have immediate benefits must be formulated to control recession.
The expert said such policies and plans must envisage natural disasters such as floods and pandemics, adding that over reliance on importation must be checked.
Yahaya noted that failure to properly manage recession would lead to low wages, high unemployment rate and borrowing.
“If you look at the current debt profile and ratio in the country, it is alarming and can lead to more recessions in the future,” she warned.
Yahaya, however, noted that all economies experience recession from time to time, but what matters is the ability to adapt through effective plans and policies.
Prof. Ibrahim Hassan, Department of Economics, Modibbo Adama University (MAU), said the Russia-Ukraine war subjected many countries to recession.
According to him, the disruption in the global food and energy supply chain, low production and the loss of investors’ confidence exposed many economies to recession.
He noted that investors were withdrawing their potfolios due to the crisis which negatively affected world economy.
“In this country; we are battling with inflation which has to do with dwindling oil revenue and lack of stable prices in the international oil market.
“Presently; there is crisis in currency market and it is responsible for the hike in prices of food commodities,” he said, stressing that proactive measures are necessary to guard against plunging the country into recession.
He urged government to improve oil and energy supply to meet increasing demands, encourage productivity and boost its revenue base.
Also, Jorome Jaimu, a lecturer, Department of Economies, Adamawa State Polytechnic, Yola, said the redesigning of the Naira note would affect the economy and escalate pressure on the Foreign Exchange (FOREX) in the country.
“This will not be good for the economy of the country at the moment.
“However, people are bringing out hoarded Naira notes printed since 2015. So, in other away it is going to help the economy,”
Similarly, Alhaji Babagana, a Senior Lecturer, Borno State University, Maiduguri, opined that insecurity and oil vandalism posed serious threat to sustainable economic growth in the country.
The trend, he said, resulted to comatose economy and investment constrained, low productivity unemployment and poverty.
The don listed inflation; rising energy costs, FOREX scarcity, and Naira depreciation as factors bleeding the Nigerian economy.
In the same vein, Mr Usman Dutse, Dean, School of Business, Federal Polytechnic, Bauchi, said the trend exposed Nigeria’s economy to frigile condition as major economic indicators showed negative signs.
“Unemployment rate has increased to about 33.3 per cent and inflationary rate 20.7 per cent with N41 trillion debt profile.
“Poverty level has increased between 43 and 46 per cent and Naira is trading N850 to a dollar at parallel market.
“The cost of living has gone up and cost of production is also high,” he said.
To salvage the situation, Dutse advocated a consistent economic policies, reforms and plans by the government.
“All these things are happening because of the persistent neglect or lack of consistency in implementation of policies.
“There should be serious reform and attitudinal change from individuals, organisations and government agencies,” he said.
Corroborating the stance, Dr Mustapha Kabara, a Lecturer, Department of Economics and Development Studies, Federal University Kashere (FUK), Gombe, advocated austerity measures to cut domestic spending and ensure policy continuity to avert recession in the country.
This, he said, are part of the short term measures to improve the economy by ensuring effective control of the government’s spending.
According to him, with the dwindling income as a result of the different factors affecting oil production, it became imperative for the government to take adequate financial measures to avert recession.
“It is also imperative for the government to ensure harmonisation of fiscal and monetary policies.
“Unfortunately, what we have is a vibrant and strong monetary policy but the fiscal policy is not working.
“Government should come up with a good synergy between monetary and fiscal policy so that the policy will be able to touch positively the demand and the supply side,” he said.
In the long run, Kabara said as the country prepares for election, it was desirable to ensure continuation of good policies of the incumbent administration for sustainable social and economic development.
“Inherited policy that are good can be fine-tune but not to be discarded as creating new ones is not healthy for the country, especially in an emerging economy like ours”.
He, therefore, suggested implementation of consistent policies, reforms and plans by the government.
For his part, Dr Abdulmajid Jamal, observed that Nigeria is moving towards self sustained economy in terms of food production.
According to him, with the country moving towards self-sufficiency in food production, it wasn’t going into recession anytime soon.
Jamal, who is a Chief Lecturer, Economic Department, School of General Studies, Abubakar Tatari Ali Polytechnic (ATAP), Bauchi, decried heavy dependence of the country on importation of many items.
He said: “We are lucky becasue food is excluded from our importation. In most cases, we only import few things in food items.
“The major import that consumes our money was rice and now the economy is producing enough for local consumption. The import is far less even though it’s through smuggling.
“So, the country is moving towards self sustained economy in terms of food production but in terms of other things, we are not.
“We are moving towards food sufficiency but if care is not taken, we will lose that because the farmers are now heavily in use of herbicides, insecticides and chemicals”.
He noted that heavy application of chemicals would deteriorate soil fertility and make it barren not to produce effectively.
The practice, he said, contributed to global warming, devastating effects on the ecosystem and low production output.
He further attributed the inflation in the country to importation of raw materials for manufacturing industries due to high FOREX.
Vice President Kashim Shettima has arrived in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, for an official State visit at the invitation of the Prime Minister, Dr. Abiy Ahmed.
Upon arrival yesterday, Shettima was received at the airport by the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ethiopia, Dr. Gedion Timothewos, and other members of the Ethiopian and Nigerian diplomatic corps.
Senior Special Assistant to the Vice President on Media and Communication, Stanley Nkwocha, revealed this in a statement he signed yesterday, titled: “VP Shettima arrives in Ethiopia for official state visit.”
During the visit, Vice President Shettima will participate in the official launch of Ethiopia’s Green Legacy Programme, a flagship environmental initiative.
The programme designed to combat deforestation, enhance biodiversity, and mitigate the adverse effects of climate change targets the planting of 20 billion tree seedlings over a four-year period.
In line with strengthening bilateral ties in agriculture and industrial development, the Vice President will also embark on a strategic tour of key industrial zones and integrated agricultural facilities across selected regions of Ethiopia.
News
RSG Tasks Farmers On N4bn Agric Loan ….As RAAMP Takes Sensitization Campaign To Four LGs In Rivers
The Rivers State Government has called on the people of the state especially farmers to access the ?4billion agricultural loans made available by the State and domiciled in the Bank of Industry.
This is as the State Project Implementation Unit (SPIU) of Rural Access and Agricultural Marketing Project (RAAMP), a World Bank project, took its sensitization campaign to Opobo/Nkoro, Andoni, Port Harcourt City and Obio/Akpor local government areas.
The campaign was aimed at enlightening community dwellers and other stakeholders in the various local government areas on the RAAMP project implementation and programme activities.
The Permanent Secretary, Rivers State Ministry of Agriculture, Mr Maurice Ogolo, said this at Opobo town, Ngo, Port Harcourt City and Rumuodumanya, headquarters of the four local government areas respectively, during the sensitization campaign.
Ogolo said apart from the ?4billion, the government has also made available fertilizers and other farm inputs to farmers in the various local government areas.
The Permanent Secretary who is the Chairman, State Steering Committee for the project, said RAAMP will construct roads that will connect farms to markets to enable farmers and fishermen sell their farms produce and fishes.
He also said rural roads would be constructed to farms and fishing settlements, and warned against any act that will lead to the cancellation of the projects in the four local government areas.
According to him, the World Bank and Federal Government which are the financiers of the programme will not condone such acts like kidnapping, marching ground and other acts inimical to the successful implementation of the projects in their respective areas.
At PHALGA, Ogolo asserted that the city will benefit in the areas of roads and bridge construction.
He noted that RAAMP was thriving in both the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja; Lagos and other states in the country, stressing that the project should also be given the seriousness it deserves in Rivers State.
Speaking at Opobo town, the headquarters of Opobo/Nkoro Local Government Area, the project coordinator, RAAMP, Mr.Joshua Kpakol, said the programme would reduce poverty in the state.
According to him, both fishermen and farmers will maximally benefit from the programme.
At Ngo which is the headquarters of Andoni Local Government Area, Kpakol said roads will be constructed to all remote fishing settlements.
He said Rivers State is lucky to be among the states implementing the project, and stressed the need for the people to embrace it.
Meanwhile, Kpakol said at PHALGA that RAAMP is a project that will transform the lives of farmers, traders and other stakeholders in the area.
He urged the stakeholders to spread the information to their various communities.
However, some of the stakeholders at Opobo town complained about the destruction of their farms by bulls allegedly owed by traditional rulers in the area, as well as incessant stealing of their canoes at waterfronts.
At Ngo, Archbishop Elkanah Hanson, founder of El-Shaddai Church, commended the World Bank and the Federal Government for bringing the projects to Andoni.
He stressed the need for the construction of roads to fishing settlements in the area.
Also, a former Commissioner for Agriculture in the state and Okan Ama of Ekede, HRH King Gad Harry, noted that storage facilities have become necessary for a successful agricultural programme.
Harry also stressed the need for the programme to be made sustainable.
In their separate speeches, the administrators of Andoni and Opobo/Nkoro Local Government Areas, pledged their readiness to support the programme.
At Port Harcourt City, the Administrator, Dr Arthur Kalagbor, represented by the Head of Local Government Administration, Port Harcourt City, Mr Clifford Paul, said the city would support the implementation of the programme in the area.
Also, the administrator of Obio/Akpor Local Government Area, Dr Clifford Ndu Walter, represented by Mr Michael Elenwo, pledged to support the programme in his local government area.
Among dignitaries at the Obio/Akpor stakeholders engagement is the chairman, Rivers State Traditional Rulers Council and paramount ruler of Apara Kingdom, HRM Eze Chike Wodo, amongst others.
John Bibor
President Bola Tinubu has ordered the commencement of personnel audit and skill gap analysis across all cadres of federal civil servants.
The president gave this directive in Abuja, yesterday, while speaking at the International Civil Service Conference, reaffirming his resolve to achieve efficiency and professional service delivery in the civil service.
“I have authorized the comprehensive personnel audit and skill gap analysis across the federal civil service to deepen capacity. I urge all responsible stakeholders to prioritize timely completion of this critical exercise, to begin implementing targeted reforms, to realize the full benefit of a more agile, competent and responsive civil service,” the president announced.
Tinubu further directed all Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs), to prioritise data integrity and sovereignty in national interest.
He called for the capture, protection and strategic publication of public sector data in line with the Nigeria Data Protection Act of 2023.
“We must let our data speak for us. We must publish verified data assets within Nigeria and share them internationally recognized as fruitful. This will allow global benchmarking organisation to track our progress in real time and help us strengthen our position on the world stage. This will preserve privacy and uphold data sovereignty,” Tinubu added.
President Tinubu hailed the federal civil service as the “engine” driving his Renewed Hope Agenda, and the vehicle for delivering sustainable national development.
He submitted that the roles of civil servants remain indispensable in modern governance, declaring that in the face of a fast-evolving digital and economic landscape, the civil service must remain agile, future-ready, and results-driven.
“This maiden conference is a bold step toward redefining governance in an era of rapid transformation. An innovative Civil Service ensures we meet today’s needs and overcome tomorrow’s challenges.
“It captures our collective ambition to reimagine and reposition the civil service. In today’s rapid, evolving world of technology, innovation remains critical in ensuring that the civil service is dynamic, digital” the President said.
Head of the Civil Service of the Federation, Didi Walson-Jack in her welcome address told the President that his presence and strong words of commendation at the conference has renewed the morale and mandate of public servants across the country.
Walson-Jack described Tinubu as the backbone of driving transformation in the Nigerian civil service, and noted that the takeaways from past study tours undertaken to understudy the civil service in Singapore, the UK and US under her leadership, is already yielding multiplier effects.
Walson-Jack assured Tinubu that her office, in collaboration with reform-minded stakeholders, will not relent in accelerating the implementation of the Federal Civil Service Strategy and Implementation Plan, FCSSIP 25.
She affirmed that digitalisation, performance management, and continuous learning remain key pillars in strengthening accountability, transparency, and service delivery across MDAs.
Walson-Jack reaffirmed that the civil service is determined to exceed expectations by embedding a culture of innovation, ethical leadership, and citizen-centred governance in the heart of public administration.