The Governor of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Mr Godwin Emefiele, says easing the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) will pull real lending rates to a negative territory.
Emefiele said this while addressing newsmen last Tuesday in Abuja, on the outcome of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Meeting. He said that any reduction in MPR would be a disincentive to investments in the country.
He said that disincentives to investment would hurt the stability that had been achieved in the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market and there was need to ensure this would not happen.
“That is the rationale and the actions of the MPC will be reflected in whatever direction we think is good for Nigerians.
“As Nigerians, we should understand that there is a need for a low interest rate because we know that it will make it easy for people who want to borrow money at a low rate.
“We know easing will inject liquidity in the system.
“But we are saying that inflation rate at 16 per cent at the moment is still considered very high in the light of studies that have been conducted.
“Studies conducted have shown that there are acceptable modules for computing the inflation threshold and these modules have computed inflation threshold for Nigeria at a range of between 10 to 12 per cent.
“And what that means is that when inflation is above 12 per cent, no matter the action that you take to stimulate growth it will retard growth,’’ he said.
Emefiele said that the important thing to do was to reverse the trend in inflation and expressed delight at the effort made so far at reducing the rate from 18.8 down to 16.1 per cent. He expressed optimism that the rate of inflation would continue to trend downwards in the nearest future.
On the banks’ complaints about liquidity mop-up, the CBN governor said bankers were economic agents interested in making profits.
He said the CBN, however, as a regulator faced with the various data confronting it, had a role to play in stabilizing the economy.
“And doing our work means we must continue to do what we have done to continue to achieve the sliding trend in inflation and stabilise the foreign exchange market.
“That is what we are doing by injecting dollars into the market and we will continue to do so until we get to a point where the MPC thinks is the right direction.
“The CBN remains a player in the market and from time to time, given our sensibility on where we think the market should be, we will intervene.
“And that is why you have seen our level of intervention in the last five or six months and I want to seize this opportunity to say that the intensity for that intervention will continue,’’ Emefiele said.