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Fiscal Commission Rejects $73 Oil Benchmark
The Fiscal Responsibility Commission(FRC) has kicked against the proposal to set the 2015 budget benchmark for crude oil at $73 per barrel.
Addressing a press conference in Abuja yesterday Acting Chairman of FRC, Chief Victor Murako, said the Federal Government should be more realistic and set the benchmark at $60 per barrel.
Murako said instead of adopting the moving average as the method for arriving at the benchmark, the Federal Government should consider adopting an approach that determines savings accrueable to Excess Crude Account.
He advised the three tiers of government against depleting savings that had accrued in the ECA, adding that the times called for more savings rather than sharing what had been saved in the past.
The FRC boss said, “It should be noted that the oil slump has more than anything else, emphasised the need for more prudence and fiscal responsibility best practices on the part of the three tiers of government.
According to him, “Given the fact there may be no immediate end in sight to the oil price slump, there is need for the Federal Government to take a much lower and conservative oil benchmark price of about $60 per barrel rather than the proposed $73 per barrel to guard against all eventualities.
“While we appreciate the use of moving average of international oil price to determine the benchmark oil price in Nigeria, no time is more appropriate than now to revisit the method and come up with a more realistic approach,” he added.
He said, “Since 2008, the average savings into ECA was an average of $31.6 per barrel. The savings per barrel of oil into the ECA on annual basis were: 2008 – $42.1; 2009 – $18.9; 2010 – $30.9; 2011 – $34; 2012 – $31.8; and 2013 – $31.8. This gave an average savings of $31.6 over the six-year period.
“ The commission opines that the Federal Government should modify the moving average method of international price of oil in the determining of benchmark price to a predetermined savings accruable to the ECA. It is expected that government will consider a predetermined savings of between $15 and $30 per barrel of oil lifted,” the FRC boss said.
According to him, the benchmark price of oil should be the difference between the forecast average international price of oil and the predetermined savings into ECA.
Murako said the Federal Government would do well to plug leakages in the economy by giving due consideration to internally generated revenue, noting that all institutions should wake to their responsibilities by complying with the law and remitting their internally generated revenues as and when due.
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