Opinion
National Security And Politics Of Impeachment (1I)
Again, the payment of a ‘living wage’ should begin to apply in recruitment and remuneration of workers in Nigeria. Security is a sensitive duty which does not admit compromises. Regrettably, the situation we operate is such that the take-home pay of our security operatives can hardly take them home, which leaves them no other option than to resort to accepting bribes, conniving with criminal elements to commit abominable crimes, including kidnapping, and yielding to other corruptive influences which compromise security.
The Rivers State Governor, Rt. Hon. Chibuike Amaechi adopted an admirable strategy to evolve an acceptable sectoral blueprint for his government on assumption of office in 2008. He organized stakeholders’ summit in each of the sectors of the economy at which knowledgeable professionals, experts and citizens made contributions and submitted memoranda to enrich government policy in each sector.
This is what is recommended to the Federal Government to enable it evolve a 21st century security framework that would end the prevailing insecurity malaise in the country. Let’s have a national summit on security, and use the report to fashion out modern security strategy for the nation.
Again, corruption is at the base of the violence and insecurity in the country, and government must exhibit the political will to show zero tolerance for corruption. Clearly, in a country over-endowed like Nigeria, with a majority youth population, the present situation in which the wealth circulates among the corrupt few old folks who have been recycled time and again in government while the majority youths contend with unemployment, hunger and diseases can only make them vulnerable tools in the devil’s workshop.
The May edition of the international best selling TIME magazine, for instance, revealed that the World Bank reported that Nigeria’s generals and gangster politicians stole $300billion in the three decades to 2006. What patriotism does it show or what incentive does it give to the economy and future generations that this huge chunk of the nation’s wealth has been frittered away by a few? What sacrifice does the government want the youths to make in this circumstance?
When Nigeria is able to make politics less attractive, and show zero tolerance for corruption, then she will be on the road to national cohesion. This is because the primary purpose of every government is the welfare and security of its citizenry.
The 21st century security Nigeria urgently needs will also benefit from the anti-terrorism bill awaiting action at the National Assembly. Therefore, the leadership of the National Assembly must expedite action and pass the bill so as to facilitate the implementation of a security procedure and framework that is responsive, before miscreants and criminal adventurers overrun the nation.
It is hoped that the October 1 Abuja bombing incident will shake up the lawmakers from their lethargy, and make them pass the bill into law without further delay.
For now, let such people as Ciroma and Tanko Yakassai, who relish their unguarded outbursts, watch it! They should know that it is not enough for them to speak loudly of a perceived conviction just because they feel they have more stakes in the nation’s body polity. They don’t! Even the National Assembly members realize that they owe this nation a lot to show their maturity and untainted character in not just sympathizing with the president but also the families of the victims and injured because of the bomb blasts. That is the character of honourable and patriotic leaders. Not the type exhibited by Ciroma and his followers.
The reassurances and expressions of sympathy of the ex-militant leaders, who paid a solidarity visit to President Jonathan last week, should silence Ciroma and his cohorts. Even the solidarity visit of the Northern Political Summit otherwise called G20 should serve a note of warning to the Ciroma and his likes that they are on their own. I advise Ciroma not to play politics with such a serious tragedy in future.
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Opinion
Fuel Subsidy Removal and the Economic Implications for Nigerians
From all indications, Nigeria possesses enough human and material resources to become a true economic powerhouse in Africa. According to the National Population Commission (NPC, 2023), the country’s population has grown steadily within the last decade, presently standing at about 220 million people—mostly young, vibrant, and innovative. Nigeria also remains the sixth-largest oil producer in the world, with enormous reserves of gas, fertile agricultural land, and human capital.
Yet, despite this enormous potential, the country continues to grapple with underdevelopment, poverty, unemployment, and insecurity. Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS, 2023) show that about 129 million Nigerians currently live below the poverty line. Most families can no longer afford basic necessities, even as the government continues to project a rosy economic picture.
The Subsidy Question
The removal of fuel subsidy in 2023 by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has been one of the most controversial policy decisions in Nigeria’s recent history. According to the president, subsidy removal was designed to reduce fiscal burden, unify the foreign exchange rate, attract investment, curb inflation, and discourage excessive government borrowing.
While these objectives are theoretically sound, the reality for ordinary Nigerians has been severe hardship. Fuel prices more than tripled, transportation costs surged, and food inflation—already high—rose above 30% (NBS, 2023). The World Bank (2023) estimates that an additional 7.1 million Nigerians were pushed into poverty after subsidy removal.
A Critical Economic View
As an economist, I argue that the problem was not subsidy removal itself—which was inevitable—but the timing, sequencing, and structural gaps in Nigeria’s implementation.
- Structural Miscalculation
Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries remain nonfunctional. By removing subsidies without local refining capacity, the government exposed the economy to import-price pass-through effects—where global oil price shocks translate directly into domestic inflation. This was not just a timing issue but a fundamental policy miscalculation.
- Neglect of Social Safety Nets
Countries like Indonesia (2005) and Ghana (2005) removed subsidies successfully only after introducing cash transfers, transport vouchers, and food subsidies for the poor (World Bank, 2005). Nigeria, however, implemented removal abruptly, shifting the fiscal burden directly onto households without protection.
- Failure to Secure Food and Energy Alternatives
Fuel subsidy removal amplified existing weaknesses in agriculture and energy. Instead of sequencing reforms, government left Nigerians without refinery capacity, renewable energy alternatives, or mechanized agricultural productivity—all of which could have cushioned the shock.
Political and Public Concerns
Prominent leaders have echoed these concerns. Mr. Peter Obi, the Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, described the subsidy removal as “good but wrongly timed.” Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party also faulted the government’s hasty approach. Human rights activists like Obodoekwe Stive stressed that refineries should have been made functional first, to reduce the suffering of citizens.
This is not just political rhetoric—it reflects a widespread economic reality. When inflation climbs above 30%, when purchasing power collapses, and when households cannot meet basic needs, the promise of reform becomes overshadowed by social pain.
Broader Implications
The consequences of this policy are multidimensional:
- Inflationary Pressures – Food inflation above 30% has made nutrition unaffordable for many households.
- Rising Poverty – 7.1 million Nigerians have been newly pushed into poverty (World Bank, 2023).
- Middle-Class Erosion – Rising transport, rent, and healthcare costs are squeezing household incomes.
- Debt Concerns – Despite promises, government borrowing has continued, raising sustainability questions.
- Public Distrust – When government promises savings but citizens feel only pain, trust in leadership erodes.
In effect, subsidy removal without structural readiness has widened inequality and eroded social stability.
Missed Opportunities
Nigeria’s leaders had the chance to approach subsidy removal differently:
- Refinery Rehabilitation – Ensuring local refining to reduce exposure to global oil price shocks.
- Renewable Energy Investment – Diversifying energy through solar, hydro, and wind to reduce reliance on imported petroleum.
- Agricultural Productivity – Mechanization, irrigation, and smallholder financing could have boosted food supply and stabilized prices.
- Social Safety Nets – Conditional cash transfers, food vouchers, and transport subsidies could have protected the most vulnerable.
Instead, reform came abruptly, leaving citizens to absorb all the pain while waiting for theoretical long-term benefits.
Conclusion: Reform With a Human Face
Fuel subsidy removal was inevitable, but Nigeria’s approach has worsened hardship for millions. True reform must go beyond fiscal savings to protect citizens.
Economic policy is not judged only by its efficiency but by its humanity. A well-sequenced reform could have balanced fiscal responsibility with equity, ensuring that ordinary Nigerians were not crushed under the weight of sudden change.
Nigeria has the resources, population, and resilience to lead Africa’s economy. But leadership requires foresight. It requires policies that are inclusive, humane, and strategically sequenced.
Reform without equity is displacement of poverty, not development. If Nigeria truly seeks progress, its policies must wear a human face.
References
- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). (2023). Poverty and Inequality Report. Abuja.
- National Population Commission (NPC). (2023). Population Estimates. Abuja.
- World Bank. (2023). Nigeria Development Update. Washington, DC.
- World Bank. (2005). Fuel Subsidy Reforms: Lessons from Indonesia and Ghana. Washington, DC.
- OPEC. (2023). Annual Statistical Bulletin. Vienna.
By: Amarachi Amaugo
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