Opinion
Managing High Cost Of Debt Servicing
The World Bank’s recent expression of concern about Nigeria’s increasing debt servicing cost in relation to dwindling revenue echoes the worries of most government officials and revenue generating agencies.
In its recent Global Economic Prospects Report, the international financial body noted with dismay that the current optimism over Nigeria’s economic recovery is tempered by huge debt servicing and foreign exchange controls.
Specifically, the bank observed that the cost of servicing Nigeria’s debts on both the domestic and external fronts has risen tremendously, in contrast to the revenue earned by government. The major concern, the bank further stressed, is the possible unsustainability of such debt servicing, adding that why the debt servicing cost in other economies remains sustainable, that of Nigeria is being dragged down by forex depreciation and increased recourse in non-concessional borrowing for infrastructure development.
Available statistics seem to validate the Word Bank’s concern about Nigeria’s debt servicing cost. For example, the Federal Government’s interest to revenue ratio rose from 33 percent in 2015 to 59 percent in 2016. While government’s income for last year was under N6 billion, it spent a hefty N1.475 trillion on debt servicing between January and December, 2016. Out of this amount, N1.004 trillion was used to service local debts, while N86 billion was cleared as interest on capitalized loans. No doubt, the cost of servicing debts remains progressively high, while collectible revenue continues to depreciate.
Out of the present N7.44 trillion federal budgets, N2.2 trillion, or 23 percent of aggregate spending, is voted for debt servicing. In 2014 and 2015, it was N71.2 billion and N94.3 billion, respectively, out of a budget of N4.91 trillion. Consequently, the World Bank has advised that if the Nigerian economy which went into recession last year must recover, government must take appropriate measures on public debt management in order to roll over risks that in turn could hamper economic recovery.
Data from the Debt Management Office (DMO) are also in line with the World Bank’s warning. According to the DMO, the Federal Government has in four years (2012-2016), cleared interest amounting to N4.8 trillion to banks and other investors. This is interest of loans to government from the domestic market; vides Federal Government of Nigeria Bonds and Treasury Bills issued by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
The crucial question is: How can Nigeria stop its debt servicing costs from spirally out of control? First, government should be more cautious in borrowing. The Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun, who had recently said Nigeria would no longer borrow to fund the budget, recanted before the month of July ran out. She, afterward, said the country would continue to borrow to fund the projected N2.56 trillion fiscal deficits in the 2017 Budget.
Earlier, government had planned to borrow $2 billion from International Lenders such as the World Bank and the Africa Development Bank (AfDB). The loans had been stalled following government’s refusal to impose key fiscal reforms such as allowing the foreign exchange rate to float freely.
Reducing borrowing is a better way to reduce the cost of debt servicing. Caution should, indeed, be the watchword because the cost of servicing the nation’s debt has become alarming.
Efforts should equally be geared towards improving revenue generation as it is the most realistic way to reduce the debt service and revenue ratio. In this regard, a clearer and more coherent approach is expedient. The Economic Recovery Growth Plan (ERGP) articulates this choice, and this is the time to rev up the non-oil revenue drive.
Above all, the debt service ratio will start to reduce through a package of spending that will stimulate private consumption and investment by business. Capital expenditure, which takes 30 percent of the 2017 budget, needs to be sustained throughout the four year duration of the ERGP (2016-2020). Indeed, improving the national revenue base are keys to avoiding reliance on borrowing to fund capital intensive projects.
I, therefore, urge the Federal Government to leverage on the modest progress already being made by non-oil revenue collecting agencies such as the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) and the Customs Service. On-going efforts to expand our Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio are also welcome.
Nigeria’s tax to GDP ratio, which currently stands at six percent, is one of the lowest in the world. At least, 15 percent of tax to GDP ratio is required in the effort to revert from the current recession and jumpstart growth.
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Empowering Youth Through Agriculture
Quote:”While job seeking youths should continuously acquire skills and explore opportunities within their immediate environment as well as in the global space through the use of digital platforms, government, corporate/ multinational organizations or the organised private sector should generate skills and provide the enabling environment for skills acquisition, through adequate funding and resettlement packages that will provide sustainable economic life for beneficiaries”.
The Governor of Rivers State, Sir Siminalayi Fubara, recently urged youths in the Rivers State to take advantage of the vast opportunities available to become employers of labour and contribute meaningfully to the growth and development of the State. Governor Fubara noted that global trends increasingly favour entrepreneurship and innovation, and said that youths in Rivers State must not be left behind in harnessing these opportunities. The Governor, represented by the Secretary to the State Government, Dr Benibo Anabraba, made this known while declaring open the 2026 Job Fair organised by the Rivers State Government in partnership with the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) in Port Harcourt. The Governor acknowledged the responsibility of government to create jobs for its teeming youth population but noted that it is unrealistic to absorb all job seekers into the civil service.
“As a government, we recognise our duty to provide employment opportunities for our teeming youths. However, we also understand that not all youths can be accommodated within the civil service. This underscores the need to encourage entrepreneurship across diverse sectors and to partner with other stakeholders, including the youths themselves, so they can transition from being job seekers to employers of labour,” he said. It is necessary to State that Governor Fubara has not only stated the obvious but was committed to drive youth entrepreneurship towards their self-reliance and the economic development of the State It is not news that developed economies of the world are skilled driven economies. The private sector also remains the highest employer of labour in private sector driven or capitalist economy though it is also the responsibility of government to create job opportunities for the teeming unemployed youth population in Nigeria which has the highest youth unemployed population in the subSahara Africa.
The lack of job opportunities, caused partly by the Federal Government’s apathy to job creation, the lack of adequate supervision of job opportunities economic programmes, lack of employable skills by many youths in the country have conspired to heighten the attendant challenges of unemployment. The challenges which include, “Japa” syndrome (travelling abroad for greener pastures), that characterises the labour market and poses threat to the nation’s critical sector, especially the health and medical sector; astronomical increase in the crime rate and a loss of interest in education. While job seeking youths should continuously acquire skills and explore opportunities within their immediate environment as well as in the global space through the use of digital platforms, government, corporate/ multinational organizations or the organised private sector should generate skills and provide the enabling environment for skills acquisition, through adequate funding and resettlement packages that will provide sustainable economic life for beneficiaries.
While commending the Rivers State Government led by the People First Governor, Sir Siminilayi Fubara for initiating “various training and capacity-building programmes in areas such as ICT and artificial intelligence, oil and gas, maritime, and the blue economy, among others”, it is note-worthy that the labour market is dynamic and shaped by industry-specific demands, technological advancements, management practices and other emerging factors. So another sector the Federal, State and Local Governments should encourage youths to explore and harness the abounding potentials, in my considered view, is Agriculture. Agriculture remains a veritable solution to hunger, inflation, and food Insecurity that ravages the country. No doubt, the Nigeria’s arable landmass is grossly under-utilised and under-exploited.
In recent times, Nigerians have voiced their concerns about the persistent challenges of hunger, inflation, and the general increase in prices of goods and commodities. These issues not only affect the livelihoods of individuals and families but also pose significant threats to food security and economic stability in the country. The United Nations estimated that more than 25 million people in Nigeria could face food insecurity this year—a 47% increase from the 17 million people already at risk of going hungry, mainly due to ongoing insecurity, protracted conflicts, and rising food prices. An estimated two million children under five are likely to be pushed into acute malnutrition. (Reliefweb ,2023). In response, Nigeria declared a state of emergency on food insecurity, recognizing the urgent need to tackle food shortages, stabilize rising prices, and protect farmers facing violence from armed groups. However, without addressing the insecurity challenges, farmers will continue to struggle to feed their families and boost food production.
In addition, parts of northwest and northeast Nigeria have experienced changes in rainfall patterns making less water available for crop production. These climate change events have resulted in droughts and land degradations; presenting challenges for local communities and leading to significant impact on food security. In light of these daunting challenges, it is imperative to address the intricate interplay between insecurity and agricultural productivity. Nigeria can work toward ensuring food security, reducing poverty, and fostering sustainable economic growth in its vital agricultural sector. In this article, I suggest solutions that could enhance agricultural production and ensure that every state scales its agricultural production to a level where it can cater to 60% of the population.
This is feasible and achievable if government at all levels are intentional driving the development of the agricultural sector which was the major economic mainstay of the Country before the crude oil was struck in commercial quantity and consequently became the nation’s monolithic revenue source. Government should revive the moribund Graduate Farmers Scheme and the Rivers State School-to-Land agricultural programmes to operate concurrently with other skills acquisition and development programmes. There should be a consideration for investment in mechanized farming and arable land allocation. State and local governments should play a pivotal role in promoting mechanized farming and providing arable land for farming in communities. Additionally, allocating arable land enables small holder farmers to expand their operations and contribute to food security at the grassroots level.
Nigeria can unlock the potential of its agricultural sector to address the pressing needs of its population and achieve sustainable development. Policymakers and stakeholders must heed Akande’s recommendations and take decisive action to ensure a food-secure future for all Nigerians.
By: Igbiki Benibo
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