Oil & Energy
Brent Rises Close to $106
Brent crude rose to 106 dollars last Thursday, while comments by the U.S. Federal Reserve downplaying the risk of a double-dip recession in the world’s biggest economy renewed hopes of oil demand recovery.
Fed chief, Ben Bernanke’s comments helped improve sentiment across financial markets by alleviating fears the global economy might deteriorate further.
But oil supply worries were stoked by a deadly bombing in Syria and an attack on Israeli tourists in Bulgaria that plunged the Middle East deeper into crisis.
Brent crude gained for a seventh straight day, rising to 106.01 dollars, its highest since May 30. U.S. oil gained 76 cents to 90.62 dollars and also touched a seven-week high.
“U.S. crude rising above 90 dollars implies that overall sentiment is turning positive,” said Tetsu Emori, a Tokyo-based commodities fund manager at Astmax Investments.
Brent has gained 20 per cent from the lows touched in June.
The contract had slumped since the year’s high of more than 128 dollars in March.
It was weighed down by worries that demand growth would slow further as a debt crisis in Europe threatened to engulf the United States and emerging economies.
Sentiment has improved this month on investor optimism and the worst may be over for the global economy.
“A firmer tone of macro economic data flow and the lack of any substantial weakening in global oil data have affected market.
‘’Again, the lack of any obvious prompt surplus in physical markets have all combined to help accentuate the positive in the market,” analysts at Barclays said in a report.
“However, in the context of a global financial and economic structure that is still muddling through, there does remain a strong possibility of some further intense mood swings in the oil market.
A decline in the dollar is also supporting oil. The dollar index slipped 0.19 per cent on Thursday.
The greenback has been under pressure on expectations the Fed would opt for a third round of bond purchases, or quantitative easing, to support the economy.
A weakness in the currency boosts dollar-denominated commodities such as oil.
Brent will gain further to 107.78 dollars per barrel as it has broken above a resistance at 103.22 dollars.
Meanwhile, U.S. oil will rise to 90.88 dollars per barrel as it has also broken past a resistance, according to Media technical analyst Wang Tao.
‘’A surge in Middle East tension provoked supply concerns, however,’’ he added.
Oil also drew support on fears the 16-month revolt against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad would worsen after a bomber killed and wounded his security chiefs and rebels closed in on the center of Damascus.
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