Business
Emerging Market Bond Handlers Recoup Losses
Emerging-Market bond investors recovered their losses from the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression as a rally in debt from Argentina to Ukraine pushed JPMorgan Chase & Co’s benchmark index to a record.
The index, which tracts total returns on the foreign-currency debt of developing nations, has soared 43 per cent from its 2008 low to 445.14 Friday, the highest since the index began in December 1993, JPMorgan’s guage had dropped to as low as 311.87 in October after Mortgage losses at US banks caused global credit markets to freeze and New York-based investment bank Lehman Brothers Holding Inc to collapse in September.
“It’s probably the strongest recovery we’ve had in history” said Nigel Rendell, a senior emerging-market strategist at RBC Capital Markets in London. “The question is if it’s sustainable I would be much more cautions going forward, because markets just don’t keep going up forever.”
Leaders of the world’s biggest-economies pledged more than $1 trillion in April to bolster developing-nation finances by tripling the amount the International Monetary Fund can lend to rescue crisis-stricken countries to $750 billion to shore up foreign-exchange reserves. Bonds issued by Pakistan and Ukraine have led this year’s rally after the countries received IMF financing.
While the index is at a record high, the extra yield investors demand to own emerging-market bonds instead of US Treasures is 2.58 percentage points wider than its record low on June 1, 2007. The so-called spready today narrowed 7 basis points to 4.07 percentage points.
Indonesia sold 35 billion yen ($374 billion) of 10-year Samurai bonds Friday, even after bomb blasts in Jakarta killed eight people, a banker involved in the transaction said. Hungary raised 1 billion euros ($1.4 billion) in its first international sale of bonds since an emergency bailout last year.
Developing-nation bonds have recovered losses faster than global equities and commodities. The Emerging Markets index of equities in 22 countries is 42 per cent below its peak on October 2007. while the World Index of 23 developed nations has dropped 41 per cent. The Reuter/Jefferies CRB Index of commodities is down 49 per cent from its high on July 2, 2008.
The last time emerging market bondholders suffered losses of at least 30 per cent was during the aftermath of Russia’s 1998 default on $40 billion of domestic debt. The index dropped 36 per cent from March through September of that year, and took 15 months to recoup its losses. That compares from the low in October.
We had a clear panic move in September and October of last year, said Luis Costa, an emerging-market debt strategist at commerzbank AG in London.
Business
Private sector gets N2.2tr credit in 30 days — CBN
Credit to Nigeria’s private sector rose to N83.26 trillion in June 2026 from N81.04 trillion in May, signifying a positive balance of N2.22 trillion month-on-month.
Year-on-year, the figure represents a nine per cent increase compared with the N76.13 trillion recorded in June 2025. The latest figures come as the CBN continues to balance efforts to control inflation with the need to support economic growth and expand credit to businesses.
The CBN data shows that credit to Nigeria’s private sector increased by approximately 2.74 per cent month-on-month between May and June 2026. Also, the CBN data noted that credit to the government fell slightly to N40.03 trillion from N40.38 trillion. Other assets, net, dropped to N10.76 trillion from N12.63 trillion.
The credit surge signifies sustained growth in lending to businesses and other private-sector borrowers during the month. The rise in private sector credit was recorded alongside an increase in net domestic credit, despite declines in credit to government and other assets.
Further analysis of the report says that compared with June 2025, private sector credit rose by about N7.13 trillion yea-on-year but net domestic credit increased by approximately N1.87 trillion during the month.
The CBN’s relatively tight monetary policy stance notwithstanding, more banks still loaded funds to the private sector within the period. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) held its 306th meeting on July 20 and 21.
The Committee reviewed recent developments in the global and domestic economies, assessed emerging risks to the outlook and considered their implications for monetary policy and retained all rates.
The Committee decided to retain the Monetary Policy Rate at 26.5 per cent; the Standing Facilities Corridor around the MPR at +50/-450 basis points and retain the Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR) for Deposit Money Banks at 45.00 per cent, Merchant Banks at 16.00 per cent, and non-TSA public sector deposits at 75.00 per cent.
The MPC decision means that credit extension in the private sector will likely continue to rise because of rising confidence in the sector and calls by stakeholders for banks to invest in the private scetor instead of government securities.
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