Oil & Energy
Pipeline Closures Plunge Nigeria’s Oil Production
The ambitious target of the Federal Government to boost exploration, production and increase in oil reserves to 40 billion barrels, and output to 3 million per day is significantly challenged following incessant pipeline closure and maintenance work at major oil fields.
This has plunged Nigerian crude oil output to nearly three decades low in recent weeks.
An independent analyst, S&P Global Commodity Insights, quoted unnamed senior official from the Ministry of Petroleum Resources, who porportedly said the fields supplying Bonny Light and Qua Iboe, which are the two leading export grades, were closed for maintenance in May but regular supply was “gradually returning.”
Contrary to the reports, other sources within the oil industry said the Trans Forcados and Nembe Creek pipelines had been sabotaged, and the flow through them has been intermittent throughout the past month.
Despite being Africa’s largest oil producer, Nigeria has been contending with security, operational, and technical problems in its major oil infrastructure since early 2021, with Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission revealing that the country witnessed a 14 per cent month-on-month fall in crude and condensate production in May, translating to a 1.279 million b/d drop in output.
According to S&S Global estimates, the May month-on-month fall was the lowest in over three decades.
Nigeria’s crude and condensate production has dropped to almost 50 per cent of its production capacity, which is about 2.2 million barrels per day.
Most major oil fields, terminals, and facilities have encountered a barrage of problems, with the recent sustained attacks on oil facilities aggravating the situation.
Increasing cases of pipeline sabotage and insecurity in the Niger Delta are also slowing the growth outlook of Africa’s largest oil producer.
According to Platts Analytics, the Nigerian crude oil supply could rise to 1.5 million barrels per day from 1.4 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2022.
“Political risk may worsen ahead of the elections in early 2023. Production has averaged approximately 300,000 b/d below its OPEC+ quota since mid-2021 due to technical outages, theft, sabotage, and force majeur,” said Patts Analytics.
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Oil & Energy
Power Supply Boost: FG Begins Payment Of N185bn Gas Debt
In the bid to revitalise the gas industry and stabilise power generation, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has authorised the settlement of N185 billion in long-standing debts owed to natural gas producers.
The payment, to be executed through a royalty-offset arrangement, is expected to restore confidence among domestic and international gas suppliers who have long expressed concern about persistent indebtedness in the sector.
According to him, settling the debts is crucial to rebuilding trust between the government and gas producers, many of whom have withheld or slowed new investments due to uncertainty over payments.
Ekpo explained that improved financial stability would help revive upstream activity by accelerating exploration and production, ultimately boosting Nigeria’s gas output adding that Increased gas supply would also boost power generation and ease the long-standing electricity shortages that continue to hinder businesses across the country.
The minister noted that these gains were expected to stimulate broader economic growth, as reliable energy underpins industrialisation, job creation and competitiveness.
In his intervention, Coordinating Director of the Decade of Gas Secretariat, Ed Ubong, said the approved plan to clear gas-to-power debts sends a powerful signal of commitment from the President to address structural weaknesses across the value chain.
“This decision underlines the federal government’s determination to clear legacy liabilities and give gas producers the confidence that supplies to power generation will be honoured. It could unlock stalled projects, revive investor interest and rebuild momentum behind Nigeria’s transition to a gas-driven economy,” Ubong said.
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