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New Nigeria Economic Update For 2022 Sees Growth
The Centre for the Study of the Economies of Africa (CSEA), an independent non-profit research organisation in Abuja, has released its Nigeria Economic Update Issue 4 for the year 2022.
The edition highlights the Monetary Policy Committee Retainment, a 13 per cent Growth of Monetary Supply in December 2021 and Nigeria’s Forecast Growth rate by the IMF at 2.7 per cent.
It reports that the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) retained the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 11.5 per cent, as well as all other monetary parameters, at the first meeting of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for 2022, held on the 24th and 25th of January.
Specifically, the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) was retained at 27.5 per cent, the Liquidity Ratio was retained at 30percent, and the asymmetric corridor of +100/-700 basis points around the MPR was also retained.
The decision to retain all the parameters was aimed at supporting the existing economic growth recovery and curbing the increase in prices.
However, inflation persistence in the country has continued to emanate from supply-side constraints which monetary policy may be unable to mitigate.
It, therefore, becomes necessary for the government to leverage fiscal policy in order to improve the ease of doing business and boost aggregate supply.
Unconventional monetary policies should also be scaled up to enhance productivity in both the agricultural and manufacturing sectors.
This in turn would ease the pressure on the exchange rate, which would further dampen price levels.
The issue also contains the CBN report of the broad money supply which increased by 13.8percent in December 2021.
The increase was reported to be driven by the growth in net domestic assets (NDA), which grew by 15.58percent in December 2021, whereas net foreign assets (NFA), the second component of broad money supply, grew by 6.06percent.
The growth in NDA was essentially credited to an increase in claims on the federal government and the private sector.
The rise in NFA and NDA indicates an increase in economic activity.
However, the rise in inflation rate in December 2021 may be partly due to the increase in broad money due to lag effects and bottlenecks associated with the increase in supply.
It, therefore, becomes necessary that the CBN interventions targeted to boost output be monitored to ensure that all beneficiaries of the bank’s real sector facilities utilise the funds as intended.
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