Business
LNG Price Crashes By 50% – Report
As the price of crude oil
dropped from $115 per barrel in June 2014 to less than $60 in December, a new report by Wood Mackenzie indicates that the spot price of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) also crashed from a peak of over $20 per million British Thermal Unit (mmbtu) in February 2014 to less than $10 per mmbtu in November 2014.
Since October 12, 1964, when Methane Princess delivered the first LNG cargo to United Kingdom’s Canvey Island regasification terminal, the LNG business has expanded from a single trade between Algeria and the UK to over 400 trade routes involving 45 countries.
Also from October 1999 when Nigeria exported its first cargo through the Bonny Island plant of the Nigeria. LNG Limited, the company has since shipped over 3,000 cargoes to its customers in Europe, America and Asia, converting over four trillion cubic feet of associated gas to LNG and National Gas Liquids (NGLs) for both export and domestic uses.
The LNG produced from NLNG’s six trains had accounted for about 10 per cent of the global LNG market and this growth between 1996 and 2008 earned NLNG, the record as the fastest growing LNG produced in the world.
To strengthen global market share and possibly occupy the second-largest LNG exporter after Qatar, the country had targeted to build Olokola LNG and Brass LNG projects as well as additional train seven on NLNG.
However, rather than pushing ahead with these projects, uncertainty of the operating environment made investors to put these projects on hold.
Nigeria’s lost opportunities went else where as LNG from other countries especially in Europe’s North Sea, Indonesia, Malaysia, Qatar and Algeria got the global market and weakened Nigeria’s market share, reducing it from 10 per cent to seven per cent.
Wood Mackenzie said in its annual review released last week that as the LNG industry celebrated its 50th anniversary in 2014, the industry may have matured, but still not short of surprises.
According to the report, lower demand from Asia contributed to the crash in LNG spot prices last year by about 50 per cent. While 30 mmtpa of new production capacity took Final Investment Decision (FID) in 2014.
Wood Mackenzie’s Principal Analyst, Mr Giles Farrer, said global LNG production was up by five million metric tones per annum (mmtpa) to 246 mmtpa and overall trade was boosted by higher levels of re-exports.
Edun made the call while speaking at the 2025 Fellowship Investiture of the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) in Lagos, where he reaffirmed the federal government’s commitment to sustaining ongoing reforms and expanding access to finance as key drivers of economic growth beyond four per cent.
“We all know that monetary policy under Cardoso has stabilised the financial system in a most commendable way. Of course, it is a team effort, and those eye-watering interest rates have to be paid by the fiscal side. But the fight against inflation is one we all have to participate in,” he said.
The minister stressed the need for banks to broaden credit access and finance innovation-driven enterprises that can create jobs for young Nigerians.
“The finance and banking industry has more work to do because we must finance their ideas, deepen the capital and credit markets down to SMEs. They should not have to go to Silicon Valley,” he said.
The minister who described the private sector as the engine of growth, said the government’s reform agenda aims to create an enabling environment where businesses can thrive, access funding, and contribute meaningfully to job creation.
The facility, known as the Nigeria Actions for Investment and Jobs Acceleration (P512892), is a Development Policy Financing (DPF) operation scheduled for World Bank Board consideration on December 16, 2025.
According to the Bank’s concept note , the financing would comprise $500m in International Development Association (IDA) credit and $500m in International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) loan.
If approved, it would be the second-largest single loan Nigeria has received from the World Bank under President Bola Tinubu’s administration, following the $1.5 billion facility granted in June 2024 under the Reforms for Economic Stabilisation to Enable Transformation (RESET) initiative.
The World Bank said the new programme aims to support Nigeria’s shift from short-term macroeconomic stabilisation to sustainable, private sector–led growth.
“The proposed Development Policy Financing (DPF) supports Nigeria’s pivot from stabilization to inclusive growth and job creation. Structured as a two-tranche standalone operation of US$1.0 billion (US$500 million IDA credit and US$500 million IBRD loan), it seeks to catalyse private sector–led investment by expanding access to credit, deepening capital markets and digital services, easing inflationary pressures, and promoting export diversification,” the document read.
The document further stated that Nigeria’s private sector credit-to-GDP ratio stood at only 21.3 per cent in 2024, significantly below that of emerging-market peers, while capital markets remain shallow, with sovereign securities dominating the bond market.
To address these weaknesses, the DPF will support the implementation of the Investment and Securities Act 2025, operationalisation of credit-enhancement facilities, and introduction of a comprehensive Central Bank of Nigeria rulebook to strengthen risk-based regulation and consumer protection.
The operation also includes measures to deepen digital inclusion through the passage of the National Digital Economy and E-Governance Bill 2025, which will establish a legal framework for electronic transactions, authentication services, and digital records.
Beyond the financial and digital sectors, the programme targets reforms to lower production and living costs by tackling Nigeria’s restrictive trade regime. High tariffs and import bans have long driven up consumer prices and constrained competitiveness, particularly for manufacturers and farmers.
Under the proposed reforms, Nigeria would adopt AfCFTA tariff concessions, rationalise import restrictions, and simplify agricultural seed certification to increase the supply of high-quality varieties for maize, rice, and soybeans. The World Bank projects that these measures will help reduce food inflation, attract private investment, and enhance export potential.
The operation is part of a broader World Bank FY26 package that includes three complementary projects—Fostering Inclusive Finance for MSMEs (FINCLUDE), Building Resilient Digital Infrastructure for Growth (BRIDGE), and Nigeria Sustainable Agricultural Value-Chains for Growth (AGROW)—all focused on expanding access to finance, strengthening institutions, and mobilising private capital.