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Fuel Scarcity: Any Hope In Sight?

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As the current fuel scarcity
which is causing untold hardship to Nigerians lingers, most citizens look up to God amidst contradictory rhetorics from appropriate quarters and ask: when will this seemingly unending suffering come to pass?
In the word of Mrs Dema Ogba, a director of NEDAL Oil Company Limited, “before this present down-turn, one good credit to the present administration led by President Goodluck Jonathan, which the critics of his administration could not take away from him, is his ability to win the battle against scarcity of fuel which had been the albatross of past administrations.” The director who expressed regret at the ugly situation urged the oil marketers, the government and other major stakeholders in the sector to expedite actions towards restoring normalcy.
In Abuja, Kano, Sokoto, Lagos, Enugu and even down to Port Harcourt, the oil city, the story remains the same: That long queues have remained unabated at the filling stations selling fuel, thereby forcing innocent Nigerians towards the black market where the price of a litre of fuel has jumped from the official pump price of N97 to N200.
The harsh situation, Chief Akpangbo Christopher noted, “has drawn out the worst from some unpatriotic Nigerians who are taking undue advantage to hike price, hoard the product and the next stage now would be to start mixing solutions with little fuel for money, and you know the resultant danger; explosion.
From Okehi, the Etche Local Government Council headquarters, to Mile III Park in Port Harcourt that used to cost N300.00 commercial drivers now charge N350.00 and above. From Mile III Park to Lagos Bus Stop that normally takes N50.00 is now going for N100.00 and such fare increase is noticeable in many other routes across the country.
Market women who bear the brunt of increased fare told The Tide that they have no option than to increase prices of their commodities to meet the situation and make profit.
Mr Yusuf Adedayo, a commercial driver in Ibadan said I have been queuing for fuel since 9.00am and only got fuel at 2.00pm at N120 per litre. How can I make profit when I charge the same fare?
Udochukwu Nnadi, a black marketer, however is happy with the scarcity. “It is good business because many people who can’t buy from the petrol stations have no option than to patronise us. I sell at N200 per litre and when I observe that you belong to the top class, I sell at N250.00 per litre.” Nnadi disclosed that he has made real money within the past two weeks and prays that the scarcity should last longer.”
The black marketer also said they work together with the filling station attendants such that they always have supply since they also benefit from the deal.
Irked by the unpatriotic activities of some marketers who resorted to adjustment of metres and hoarding of products, the Rivers State Commissioner for Energy, Hon. Okey Amadi sealed two filling stations belonging to Oando and Conoil.
Amadi explained that normal supply still comes from the refinery and private tank farms and blamed the situation on dubious marketers who were worsening the situation by hoarding, selling above official pump price and tampering with their metres.
The commissioner advised residents of the state against panic-buying and stressed the inherent danger in hoarding petrol in our homes.
“If you hoard petrol in your homes so that you will make more money in a period of anticipated high price, the danger is that the product can cause fire outbreak that also goes with loss of lives and property.”
The cause of the scarcity is shrouded in secrecy as there has not been a clear explanation so far.
It was widely suspected that National Union of Petroleum and National Gas Workers (NUPENG) was behind the scarcity. But authorities of NUPENG quickly cleared the case last week when the union said it has no hand in the scarcity.
NUPENG said it has a case with some oil multinationals over quota and casual workers and was picketing the multinationals.
However, Comrade Godwin Eruba, chairman of NUPENG in the South-South Zone suspected that the scarcity could be as a result of the federal government not renewing licensing issues with the marketers, hence they could not import the product as at when due.
Eruba had pleaded with the government authorities to expedite actions so that the licence controversy could be resolved and petrol imported into the country to enable Nigerians get enough for their use.
Reports also said that the Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR) had attributed the current fuel scarcity across the country to the non-renewal of contracts of some independent marketers to import the product.
According to a source, the Zonal Operational Controller of DPR in Abuja, Mr Aliyu Halidu, who represents his director at the budget defence session before the Senate Committee on Petroleum (Downstream), the non-payment of subsidy fund to the marketers by the government had also hindered the importation of product, resulting in shortage in supply.
Halidu was reported to have urged the lawmakers to expedite action on the process of legislating on bunkering, in addition to resuscitating other laws which could facilitate elimination of illegal bunkering from the system.
He also urged the Senate to expedite action on the passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) to help strengthen the DPR’s regulatory powers, according to the report.
But surprisingly, DPR authorities came up with a refutal denying claims that it attributed the current fuel scarcity to delays in the signing of contract for importation of petroleum products.
A statement issued by the Zonal Operational Controller, Mr Aliyu Halidu in Abuja office of DPR said that the agency did not discuss any issue of contract signing or illegal bunkering during the budget defence before the Senate Committee on Petroleum Resources (Downstream).
“The issue of renewal of contracts for the importation of petroleum was never discussed during the budget defence before the committee because we are not in the position to say that.”
The issue is not whether DPR authorities chose to swallow their vomit when the heat from above came up, or not, but that acute fuel shortage hit the nation and DPR should advance a convincing reason if actually they should earn their monthly pay.
The Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency (PPRA) said the reappearance of long queues at filling stations across the country is artificial and uncalled for.
The PPRA spokesperson, Mr Lanre Oladele told newsmen in Abuja that there was no basis for the scarcity currently being experienced adding that there was enough stock to keep the country going for days and that with the release of allocation of licences to marketers for the first quarter of 2014, there was no reason for the fuel scarcity.
He particularly described the claim that the scarcity was due to the delay in the release of import allocation to marketers as false and unfounded and stressed that the last allocation was enough to sustain the market till when the next allocation would be released.
But to some Nigerians, the allegations and contradictory rhetorics do not solve the nation’s practical challenges. Mrs Nkiru Emecheta, a student of the University of Science and Technology, Port Harcourt advised that “stakeholders should still continue to hide their secrets but find solutions to the embarrassing petroleum scarcity which they know to be real.”
There have been calls for transparency in the nation’s oil sector where most of the activities are shrouded in official secrecy.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its concluding statement of the 2014 Articles IV Consultative Discussion of February 21, 2014, urged Nigeria not only to strengthen transparency and governance of its oil sector but also to advance policies that could focus on rebuilding external and fiscal buffers.
IMF forecast that the nation’s economic growth will accelerate this year to 7.3 per cent, motivated by sectors outside oil and energy industry which accounts for more than 90 per cent of the nation’s revenue.
Respite appears to have come as the federal government a couple of days ago announced that enough products have been imported into the country giving assurance that before the last weekend, there would be petrol across the nation.
But PENGASSAN industrial relations office dismissed the federal government assurances, saying even if there is fuel in all the depots across the nation, it will still take about more than two weeks to get the product to the filling stations in different parts of Nigeria.
“I’ve not seen the situation normalising before two weeks because if today there is fuel in all the depots, before they start loading and start distributing and off loading at all filling stations, I think it will take about two weeks.
PENGASSAN attributed the scarcity to delay in supply and urged Nigerians to avoid panic-buying because of its attendant dangers.

 

NNPC Mega Station in Abuja.

NNPC Mega Station in Abuja.

Chris Oluoh

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NCDMB Unveils $100m Equity Investment Scheme, Says Nigerian Content Hits 61% In 2025 ………As Board Plans Technology Challenge, Research and Development Fair In 2026

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The Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB), has unveiled a $100 million Equity Investment Scheme among a raft of fresh initiatives to bolster indigenous capacity and participation in the oil and gas industry.
Executive Secretary of the Board, Engr. Felix Omatsola Ogbe, disclosed this while delivering his keynote address at the opening of the 14th Practical Nigerian Content Forum, held in Yenagoa, Bayelsa State.
Ogbe said the $100 million Equity Investment Scheme would provide equity financing to high-growth indigenous energy service companies, while diversifying the income base of the Nigerian Content Development Fund (NCDF).
In furtherance of the scheme, a memorandum of understanding (MOU) was signed at the event between Engr. Ogbe and the Managing Director of the Bank of Industry, Dr. Olasupo Olusi toward the management of the scheme, which is a new product of the Nigerian Content Intervention Fund (NCI Fund).
The NCDMB Scribe also announced that 61 per cent Nigerian Content level has already been attained in the oil and gas sector by the third quarter of 2025 from projects being monitored by the Board.
Ogbe further expressed the board’s readiness to onboard a new set of Project 100 Companies after the successful implementation of approved interventions relating to the first set of Project 100 Companies, launched in 2019, for which an exit plan is slated for April 2026.
The ‘Project 100 Companies’, TheTide learnt, is an initiative of the Ministry of Petroleum Resources and the NCDMB under which 100 indigenous companies in the oil and gas industry were nurtured and empowered to higher levels of competitiveness through capacity building and access to market opportunities.
The NCDMB helmsman also said the Board has concluded plans to launch its NCDMB Technology Challenge in the first quarter of 2026 and to hold a Research and Development Fair in the second quarter of 2026.
In addition to its ongoing initiatives, the board further stated that a review of its seven current guidelines would be undertaken between the first and second quarter of 2026.
“The Board has completed the framework for issuance of NCDF Compliance Certificate, an instrument to confirm that a company in the oil and gas industry has complied with the one per cent remittance obligations.
“The Certificate will become effective on Ist January 2026 and would be required to obtain key permits and approvals from the Board”, Ogbe said.
In his address, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), Rt. Hon. Ekperikpe Ekpo, said the theme of the PNC Forum, “Securing Investments, Strengthening Local Content, and Scaling Energy Production,” captures Nigeria’s national priorities that guide interventions by the Board and his Ministry.
He insisted that investment remains the lifeblood of the energy sector, and that the Board and the Ministry were committed to providing stable policies, transparent processes, and market-driven incentives, to attract long-term capital,  assuring that the ministry would continue to strengthen local capacity across fabrication, engineering, technology services, manufacturing of components, and research and development.
On his part, the Minster of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, noted with satisfaction that a decade-long stagnation in the oil and gas industry was overcame with the enactment of the long-delayed Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), 2021, and Presidential Directives issued by the Administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in March 2024.
He said Nigeria has regained investor-confidence as signalled by the recent surge in FIDs and the increase of oil rigs from 14 to over 60, with 40 currently in active service.
“Our investment climate now is globally competitive, our fiscal terms are globally competitive. Our policies must be seen to be consistent at all times. The Federal Government is prepared to support Nigerian Content and the oil and gas industry, but then, things have to be done responsibly., he said.
In a goodwill message, the Managing Director, BOI, Dr. Olasupo Olusi, said that the collaboration between the NCDMB and BOI marked a significant expansion of a longstanding relationship, while assuring that through the $100 million NCIF Equity Investment Fund, the Bank of Industry would deploy equity and quasi-equity capital to support high-potential Nigerian companies to complement traditional debt financing and strengthening access to the long-term risk capital required for scale, competitiveness, and value creation.
“With a single obligor limit of $5 million, the Fund is designed to catalyze multiple high-impact investments while maintaining strong governance and prudent risk management”, the BOI Managing Director said.
On her part, the Special Adviser to the President on Energy, Mrs. Olu A. Verheijen, commended the NCDMB for sustaining the PNC Forum, which she said, accelerates change, drives competitiveness, and pushes the industry toward global standards.
She urged stakeholders to remain intentional and not incidental about in-country value addition, as they chart the path toward building a resilient, competitive industrial base in Nigeria.
By;  Ariwera Ibibo-Howells, Yenagoa
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Power Supply Boost: FG Begins Payment Of N185bn Gas Debt

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In the bid to revitalise the gas industry and stabilise power generation, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has authorised the settlement of N185 billion in long-standing debts owed to natural gas producers.

The N185 billion legacy government obligations to gas producers for past supplies had strained cash flow and hindered operations, discouraged further exploration and production, and reduced gas supply for power generation, thereby worsening Nigeria’s power shortages and unreliable electricity supply.

The payment, to be executed through a royalty-offset arrangement, is expected to restore confidence among domestic and international gas suppliers who have long expressed concern about persistent indebtedness in the sector.

Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, said the move, endorsed by the National Economic Council (NEC) headed by Vice President, Kashim Shettima, marked one of the most significant interventions in Nigeria’s energy sector in recent years.
In a statement issued by the his Spokesman, Louis Ibrahim, Ekpo described the approval as a “decisive step towards revitalising Nigeria’s gas sector and strengthening its power-generation capacity in a sustainable manner,”
While noting that the intervention aligned with the ‘Decade of Gas’ initiative, which aims to unlock more than 12 billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) of gas supply by 2030, Ekpo said clearing the arrears would deliver wide-ranging benefits, beginning with restoring investor confidence in the sector.

According to him, settling the debts is crucial to rebuilding trust between the government and gas producers, many of whom have withheld or slowed new investments due to uncertainty over payments.

Ekpo explained that improved financial stability would help revive upstream activity by accelerating exploration and production, ultimately boosting Nigeria’s gas output adding that Increased gas supply would also boost power generation and ease the long-standing electricity shortages that continue to hinder businesses across the country.

The minister noted that these gains were expected to stimulate broader economic growth, as reliable energy underpins industrialisation, job creation and competitiveness.

In his intervention, Coordinating Director of the Decade of Gas Secretariat, Ed Ubong, said the approved plan to clear gas-to-power debts sends a powerful signal of commitment from the President to address structural weaknesses across the value chain.

“This decision underlines the federal government’s determination to clear legacy liabilities and give gas producers the confidence that supplies to power generation will be honoured. It could unlock stalled projects, revive investor interest and rebuild momentum behind Nigeria’s transition to a gas-driven economy,” Ubong said.

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The AI Revolution Reshaping the Global Mining Industry

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The global mining industry is undergoing a rapid digital transformation, driven by the dual pressures of the energy transition and increasingly complex extraction environments. A new market report projects the global Artificial Intelligence (AI) in mining market will nearly quadruple in value over the next seven years, reaching $9.93 billion by 2032.
This surge in adoption comes as miners face a “perfect storm” of challenges: declining ore grades, labor shortages, and an insatiable global appetite for the critical minerals required to power electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy grids.
According to data released this week, the market for AI in mining is valued at approximately $2.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to expand at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 21.1 percent through 2032.
While the mining sector has historically been viewed as slow to modernize, the need for efficiency is forcing a change. The integration of autonomous haulage systems, predictive maintenance analytics, and “digital twins”—virtual replicas of physical mine sites—is shifting from pilot projects to standard operational necessity.
The “Operations & Process Optimization” segment is currently the dominant application, expected to account for more than 35 percent of the market in 2025. This technology allows companies to squeeze higher yields out of lower-quality rock, a capability that is becoming essential as easily accessible high-grade deposits are depleted worldwide.
The driving force behind this investment is the global scramble for critical minerals. The report highlights that the metal mining segment held the largest market share in 2024, directly correlated to the demand for lithium, copper, cobalt, and nickel—the backbone of the green energy economy.
“Metal mining operations involve highly complex processes—from ore body modeling and exploration to drilling, blasting, grinding, and material movement,” the report notes.
“AI supports these functions through predictive analytics… enabling cost reduction and higher yield recovery.”
For Western nations, this technological pivot also holds geopolitical weight. With China currently dominating the processing of rare earth elements, Western mining majors are under pressure to ramp up domestic production and efficiency to secure supply chains for battery manufacturing and clean energy infrastructure.
Beyond productivity, the industry is leveraging AI to address its most persistent operational risk: safety. The “Safety, Security & Environmental” segment is projected to record the highest growth rate during the forecast period.
Mining remains one of the world’s most hazardous heavy industries. Companies are increasingly deploying AI-powered video analytics and real-time worker tracking to prevent accidents involving heavy machinery and to monitor for gas leaks or ventilation failures in underground operations.
Furthermore, stricter Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria from investors are pushing miners to adopt AI for environmental compliance. New tools allow operators to monitor tailings dams for stability, track emissions in real-time, and optimize water usage, ensuring that the intensifying race for minerals does not come at the cost of environmental stewardship.
Geographically, the Asia Pacific region commanded the largest share of the AI in mining market in 2024 and is expected to maintain the highest growth rate.
This dominance is underpinned by massive production volumes in China and Australia. Major industry players in the region, including BHP and Rio Tinto, have been early adopters of autonomous technologies. In Western Australia, for example, autonomous haulage trucks and drill rigs are already commonplace, moving millions of tons of iron ore with minimal human intervention.
China’s adoption is further accelerated by government support for “smart mining” initiatives aimed at modernizing its vast coal and mineral sectors to reduce fatalities and improve environmental performance.
As the world moves toward 2032, the “mine of the future” will likely bear little resemblance to the labor-intensive operations of the past. With generative AI now entering the sector to assist in complex mine planning and exploration, the industry is pivoting toward a model where data is as valuable as the ore itself. For energy markets, this efficiency is not just a bonus; it is a prerequisite for meeting the material demands of a decarbonized world.
By: Charles Kennedy
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