Business
Investors Fault CBN’s Policy On Naira
Analysts are placing bullish and bearish bets on Naira (NGN) trend as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), continues in its determination to maintain price stability and defend the local currency within its set price band in the medium term.
Naira optimists, say the CBN under governor Sanusi has enough ammunition and will power to keep the naira within the range of N155 plus or minus 3 percent versus the dollar, which is further supported by the tight monetary policy stance of the apex bank, as currency becomes the defacto monetary policy anchor.
Pessimists, however, say the naira may come under increasing pressure, following a handful of developments in the nation’s economy, particularly trends in the oil sector which have seen imports of refined crude oil pick up at a time when autonomous inflow of dollars from Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs) have slowed down.
This trend has seen the CBN increase its average supply of dollar to banks at its bi-weekly auction, from its usual range of $150 million – $ 180 million to $200 million to $300 million and currently $585 million.
“I would think this is a situation of temporary volatility in the FX rate, which the CBN has calmed through its intervention,” Razia Khan, regional Head of Research, Africa at Standard Chartered Bank, said in a reply to questions.
“For as long as monetary policy is sufficiently tight, a stable NGN can be achieved and there is no need to entertain devaluation.”
The currency gained for a third day yesterday to N158.15 per dollar and headed for its strongest close since March 8, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, on speculation that Nigerian oil producers would sell dollars to meet month-end expenses.
Jimi Ogbobine, analyst at Consolidated Discount Limited, in a chat with newsmen, said there were genuine worries on the Naira’s outlook, while the March 18th auction alone saw the CBN selling $300m.
The Naira has weakened 1.7 percent against the dollar, year to date, although it is still within the CBN band, while dollar reserves have increased 39 percent to $48.4 billion in the past year.
“Once again, we reiterate our call that there are chances that the CBN could seek to synchronise the midpoint of the official exchange rate to N160/dollar in line with Budget 2013 estimates which could technically imply devaluation albeit mild,” said Ogbobine.
“If the Naira continues to experience consistent pressure, the short term policy measures open to the CBN include a mild devaluation of the local currency,” he said.
Ogbobine added that a look at the fixed income market shows that yields across board (bonds and treasury bills) are now trading in positive real terms, up from the lows of December and January. However, yields still remain below 12 percent, partly due to the benign inflationary outlook.
The rebound in secondary market rates at the long end probably mirrors the less supportive risk momentum that may have pushed some offshore investors to lighten up duration and/or reallocate funds to the short end, Samir Gadio an emerging markets strategist at Standard Bank London said.
Nigeria’s year on year inflation rate rose to 9.5 percent in February, up from 9 percent a month earlier ,according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
Business
Insecurity, Poor Power Supply Hamper Business Activities – Survey
Business in Nigeria remain under pressure as a result of insecurity and erratic power supply which continue to stifle productivity in the country.
This is even as new data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) indicate sustained improvements in economic activity.
This was the response of businesses in the CBN’s October 2025 Business Expectations Survey (BES) and the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report.
While the PMI showed that economic activity expanded for the 11th consecutive month, the BES revealed that businesses are still grappling with crippling operational constraints that threaten to reverse recent macroeconomic gains.
According to the BES conducted between October 6 and 10, firms identified insecurity (71.8 points) as the most critical challenge affecting operations nationwide. This was closely followed by insufficient power supply (70.9 points), multiple taxation (70.2 points), high interest rates (68.4 points) and financial constraints (65.6 points). Analysts say these constraints underscore the depth of structural weaknesses confronting Nigeria’s private sector.
Despite these challenges, the survey reported a rise in business optimism. The Business Confidence Index increased to 38.5 points in October from 31.5 in September. Firms also projected confidence levels to reach 45.6 points in November, with expectations of further improvement over the next three to six months.
However, sector analysts warn that the optimism remains fragile due to the lack of significant improvements in the operating environment.
The BES further showed a modest rise in capacity utilisation from 60.4% in September to 62.0% in October, suggesting that businesses have yet to deploy their productive capacity amid ongoing disruptions fully.
In contrast to the structural constraints highlighted in the BES, the PMI report indicated strengthening economic momentum. The composite PMI rose to 55.4 points, reflecting expansion across major components such as output, new orders, employment, inventories, and supplier delivery times.
A sectoral breakdown showed that the agriculture sector recorded the most substantial improvement, with its PMI climbing to 57.5 points, marking 15 consecutive months of expansion. The services sector also expanded for the ninth straight month to 55.6 points, while the industry sector rose to 54.2 points, the highest in more than a year.
The CBN attributed the positive trends to improvements in the broader macroeconomic landscape, including declining inflation, which eased from 24.5% in January to 18.0% in September, and the year-to-date appreciation of the naira across both official and parallel markets.
The BES showed that the North-East posted the highest business confidence at 56.1 points, while the South-South recorded the lowest at 23.3 points, a trend linked to declining activity in oil-producing communities.
Business
FG Set To Launch Free National Financial Literacy Training For 100,000 Youths,
The Federal Government will on Tuesday, November 25, officially unveil a strategic programme for a free nationwide training of over 100,000 youth on financial literacy.
The Federal Ministry of Youth Development will launch the programme in collaboration with Investonaire Academy. Tagged, the “Financial Literacy, Investment, and Wealth Creation programme.”
The flagship initiative is designed to equip young Nigerians with essential financial skills, investment knowledge, and digital competencies for sustainable wealth creation.
A statement signed by the Director, Press and Public Relations, Federal Ministry of Youth Development, Omolara Esan, and made available to newsmen, confirmed that the launch of the programme, to be held in Abuja, would promote nationwide participation.
It added that the launch would bring together senior government officials, development partners, private sector leaders, and youth representatives to explore innovative approaches for improving financial capability and strengthening the economic prospects of young Nigerians.
Minister of Youth Development, Comrade Ayodele Olawande, would serve as the chief host, while the Minister of Women Affairs, Hajiya Imaan Sulaiman-Ibrahim, would grace the event as the Special Guest of Honour.
Also expected are representatives of key government institutions and private sector partners, including Dr Enefola Odiba, International Programme Director, Investonaire Academy, and Mr. Bashir Nurmohamed, Chief Executive Officer, Hantec Markets
The statement reads, “A major highlight of the event will be the unveiling of a free national financial literacy training programme targeting over 100,000 youths annually. The programme will be powered by a state-of-the-art Learning Management System (LMS) designed to enhance financial intelligence, investment capacity, and entrepreneurial readiness among Nigerian youth.
Lady Godknows Ogbulu
Business
‘Entrepreneurs, Not Foreign Aid Drive Nigeria’s Growth’
The chairman of the United Bank for Africa, Tony Elumelu, says Nigeria’s economic transformation will be driven by entrepreneurs, not government handouts or foreign assistance.
Elumelu, who spoke at the Grow Nigeria Conference 2.0 and themed ‘Empowering Nigeria’s Entrepreneurs: Building Institutions That Last’, in Lagos, Monday, said the nation’s future is already being shaped by business owners who refuse to settle for mediocrity.
Elumelu, who is also the founder of the Tony Elumelu Foundation, described Nigeria as an entrepreneurial nation but stressed the need to build institutions that can stand the test of time.
“Starting businesses is good. Sustaining them is critical, and that’s how we transform this economy,” he said.
He noted that many promising ideas fail because the systems and support structures necessary for growth are absent.
According to him, Nigeria’s renewal must come from the private sector, backed by strong governance frameworks and proper succession planning.
“Nigeria will not be built by government handouts or foreign aid. Government’s role is critical, but Nigeria will be built by entrepreneurs — by you, building businesses that create jobs, hope, and prosperity from the ground up,” he said.
Elumelu, however, emphasized that entrepreneurs cannot succeed in isolation.
“You need frameworks — clear governance, succession planning, and relentless focus on value. We need the right environment. We need a Nigeria where policies are predictable, infrastructure works, and financing is truly accessible,” he said.
He called for stronger alignment between public and private sector efforts, warning that progress would remain limited if institutions work independently rather than collaboratively.
Elumelu commended the Director-General of the Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agency of Nigeria (SMEDAN), Charles Odii, for ongoing reforms within the agency.
He further lauded President Bola Tinubu for appointing young Nigerians to lead key institutions and for prioritizing youth entrepreneurship.
“Let us cut the bureaucracy. Make finance and opportunity real, not theoretical. Let’s help Nigeria’s entrepreneurs move from surviving to winning.
“Every job we create fights insecurity. Every thriving business increases our tax base and accelerates prosperity for all,” Elumelu added.
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