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Who Needs Census Now?

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The importance of Census cannot be over emphasised.
The data that emanate from the census help countries in a fair distribution of national wealth and for planning; in formulation of policies towards population growth as well as in delineation of constituencies. Researchers make constant use of the information made available through census, just as the data is helpful in revenue allocation to the various tiers of government. When a series of census has been undertaken properly it becomes easier, using the rate of growth, to estimate the population between the periods of counts. The Nigeria Population Commission (NPC) has identified a nationwide census as crucial for national development.  According to the Director-General of NPC, Nasir Isa-Kwarra,  census generates data used by the government and the private sector for policy making, planning and development.  In addition to the demographic data being important for national development due to its influence in sectoral planning and direction of government priorities.
Thus, in accordance with the NPC’s plan, from May 3 to May 7 this year, Nigeria is expected to witness another Census after 17 years of head count in the country, the date having been moved from the initial March 29 to April 2. The result of the census conducted in 2006 put the population of the country at 140.43 million comprising 71.3 million male and 69.0 million females. And for some years, there have been disparities in the actual population of Nigeria from different sources. While the National Development Plan (2021-2025) estimates Nigeria’s population at 200 million currently, World Bank Data places the population as slightly over 206 million, the United Nations Population Fund data says Nigeria’s 2021 population is slightly over 211 million with a 2.6 per cent growth rate. Some other sources even put the country’s current population at about 213 million.
So, apparently, a census is needed to harmonise all these estimations. Both the questions being asked by many Nigerians are, how credible will the result of the forthcoming census be? Considering the economic situation of the country presently – the crunch, the unending fuel scarcity which has made life unbearable for the citizens, is this the right time to spend N532.7 billion Naira on the conduct of a census? Presently, Nigeria could be termed as an environment fraught with resource-demanding challenges ranging from educational instability, fuel scarcity and insecurity among others. Nigerians in some parts of the country like the Federal Capital Territory, now sleep at petrol stations to enable them get fuel for their cars and other uses.  In places like Port Harcourt and other South-South and South Eastern towns and villages, the purchase of petrol at N500.00 or more per litre is now the norm. People’s businesses are parking up due to harsh economic realities in the country and all the government is interested in is to spend billions on head count?
The Presidential and National Assembly elections have just been conducted with the result deepening the disunity among the citizens. Quite a good number of the citizens believe that the election was badly flawed and are still disappointed and hurt over the alleged roles of some federal institutions and individuals for the loss of some candidates. Should not then the efforts of the federal government and President Mohammadu Buhari be focused on how to heal the peoples’ wound and unite the citizens instead of embarking on a census? With the mood of the nation right now, how are we sure that the people are going to see the outcome of the census as being credible, reliable, accurate and acceptable? Already some people believe that the census in Nigeria is politically motivated and it is used to perpetuate the political dominance of certain sections of the country over the others. That probably explains why many Nigerians have vowed never to accept the census result if it says that some states/sections of the country are more populated than the others.
At an event recently, the Federal Commissioner, NPC Edo State, Dr Tony Aiyejina, was quoted as saying that this year’s exercise will be fully digitised. He said, “Let nobody deceive you, this census will be accurate because the technology we are using cannot be compromised, permit me to acknowledge the bold decision of the present administration under the leadership of President Muhammad Buhari to conduct a census for the country. “The present Commission, leveraging on the administration’s approval and support, decided to conduct a digital census for the country, the first of its kind in Nigeria.” It was a paradigm shift of epochal proportions, because all processes, before, during and after the census, will be conducted on digital platforms and devices. “Nigerians are already used to such “firm promises.” The Chairman of the Independent Electoral Commission (INEC) , Prof. Mahmood Yakubu gave similar assurance on BVAS and electronic transmission of the 2023 election. How far were the assurances fulfilled during the presidential election?
One therefore thinks that the NPC should take a second look at the planned census. As  a financial expert admonished, “Conducting a census when Nigeria is deep in debt with feasible challenges is a destructive oversight bearing consequences that would draw the country closer to extinction, ‘In every economy there are needs and wants. Census is necessary but not a daunting need at the moment. We can temporarily substitute the census data with information acquired through the national identification number.As a nation we should not place our wants over needs. We can not conduct a credible and meaningful census without adequate security, in unprecedented hardship and financial difficulties in the nation. It is no secret that our national resources are scarce, therefore further mismanagement may spell doom for the country, Nigeria has an estimated population of about 206 million, making it the seventh most populous country in the world. According to the United Nations, the country’s population is projected to increase to 263 million in 2030 and 401 million in 2050 when it will become the third most populous country in the world. The report published in 2017 by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, which provides a comprehensive review of global demographic trends and prospects for the future, projected shifts in country population rankings.
The new projections include some notable findings at the country level. China with 1.4 billion inhabitants and India 1.3 billion inhabitants remain the two most populous countries, comprising 19 and 18 per cent of the total global population. In roughly seven years, or around 2024, the population of India is expected to surpass that of China. “Among the ten largest countries worldwide, Nigeria is growing the most rapidly. Consequently, the population of Nigeria, is projected to surpass that of the United States and become the third largest country in the world shortly before 2050,’’ the report said. So, practical, realistic measures should be taken towards checking the growing Nigeria’s population and taking advantage of the country’s huge population for the good of the country. Meanwhile, the slogan for this year’s census is so catchy – you count, be counted.

By: Calista Ezeaku

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Soludo’s Mandate, Austerity Or Prudence?

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The Governor of Anambra State, Prof. Chukwuma Soludo, recently celebrated the anniversary of his two years in office. Prof. Soludo won the Anambra State 2021 guber elections with a remarkable landslide, in one of Nigeria’s most popular and freest elections. A professor of economics and former governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, who spearheaded banking sector reforms and reconsolidation that became points of reference, Prof Soludo was heralded as the Messiah of Anambra State, especially as he promised to make the State the “Dubai and Japan of Africa.”
But mid-way into his administration, the euphoria about the Soludo magic has long dissipated. The disappointed well-wishers who gathered at the venue of his anniversary at Awka, may have come to get first-hand account of the happenings, and to reassess their stand. Usually such events are opportunities for office holders to recount their accomplishments. Governor Soludo, while narrating a litany of achievements said he runs an austere government in the State to the point of claiming not taking any salaries since assumption of office, and that even the first lady does not have any car allocation from the State.
What stands out however, is that the governor said he had insisted not to borrow, even though records show that the governor has sought and got approval from the State assembly to borrow N100 billion. So far, Soludo’s decision not to draw the loan is commendable, because records show that as at January 2023, the State’s debt deductions stood at N872,425,828.86 per month, which was 27.8 per cent of net statutory allocation, and 12.4 per cent of total allocation. Today, that burden is more than double due to naira devaluation.
Additional kudos goes to Soludo from Anambra’s 2024 budget summary documents, which show that the approved 2023 budget estimate of N260,394,690,434 yielded a revenue of only N155,647,114,526.22, of which the State spent only N76,905,169,399.35 to realise a whopping surplus of N78,741,945,126.87.
However, how austere is Soludo’s administration? And is austerity a measure of development? As sympathetic as the first family’s acclaimed self-denial may sound, the office of the first lady is not a constitutional creation, and therefore has no entitlements. The governor’s basic salary is N185,306.75, while his hardship and constituency allowances are N92,654.37 and N370,617.50, respectively, all of which sum to N648,578.62, a negligible amount compared to the governor’s monthly security vote of N850 million, amounting to over N10 billion per year, plus other perks of office.
Former Governor Obiano is currently facing charges of diverting N4 billion from security votes. Soludo should have told the public if he has cut down such humongous allowances.
Anambra State’s approved 2024 budget of N410,132,225,272.11 also shows that the governor’s office receives N11,199,200,089.19 comprising personnel bills of N4,668,243,574.08 and capital expenditure sum of N6,530,956,515.11, for the State’s Boundary Commission, Anambra State Public Procurement Agency, Anambra State Investment Promotion & Protection Agency,  Anambra State Action Commission on AIDS (ANSACA), Christian Pilgrims Board, Muslim Pilgrims Board, Anambra State Small Business Agency (ASBA), Greater Onitsha Development Agency and the Greater Nnewi Development Agency, whereas these agencies should belong to requisite ministries, while the office of the governor is saddled with developmental concerns.
On the social sector, Soludo’s administration allocates a paltry annual purse of N175,000 for the upkeep of each secondary school in the state, which translates to less than N60,000 per term, and may be the reason some principals got tempted to request fees from students.
The plight of 656 health centre in the state are more pitiable as most receive N140,000 per year, which is about N11,667 per month, may be to fuel generators and other expenditures. The Orumba General Hospital is allocated N105,000.
The  Anambra State should be more realistic in funds allocation to ensure that meager funds do not stifle essential institutions.
Anambra’s 21 local councils that draw a total monthly federal allocation of over N8 billion, continue to be ruled by illegal Transition Committee Chairmen appointed by the governor, thus denying the State of political tutelage at the council levels that groom vibrant politicians to the national level, while Anambra State Independent Electoral Commisson lies idle with allocation of N197,301,110.40.
As for roads construction, the governor may have done well, with the Ekwulobia on-going project standing most prominent, but what is on ground across the State lags far behind expectations. It took him two  years to deliver his flagship campaign promise at Okpoko in Onitsha, combined with a re-election fever, to deliver the Okpunoeze road at Nnewi, probably out of wariness of the Senator Ifeanyi Ubah factor. Governor Soludo almost turned the road commissioning at Nnewi into a campaign ground.
In a country where politicians envision themselves as construction project management officers, road works, however inappropriate, have become the be-all-of- the-average. But for a professor of economics, who had sat at the vintage position of a Central Bank governor, where the impacts of policies and big industries are clearly understood, there are far bigger development expectations for which Soludo’s coming sounded messianic.
While his tax administration reforms are commendable, the brigandage of the Ocha Brigade and ANJET, who enforce tax drives, are eliciting sorrowful tales from the masses, especially road transport drivers. Insecurity remains a terror in the State. Meanwhile, in less than nine months, Alex Otti of Abia State has initiated rapid ‘positive disruptions’ as Soludo likes to coin it, and capped it with Geometric Power’s 24-hour of electricity in Aba, a project worth $800 million. In Imo State, Seplat Energy and Nigeria Gas Infrastructure Company (NGIC) are rounding-up a $700 million ANOH Gas Processing Plant, while Shell/NNPC is completing a $3.5 billion Obiafu-Obrikom-Oben OB3 gas pipeline network, despite insecurity, to link the Escravos-Lagos pipeline system. The revenue that would accrue to Imo State when it comes onstream far outweighs what Anambra gets harassing struggling transporters. Moreso, Shell has just empowered youths from the host communities of Assa, Ochia, Awarra, Obile, Avu, Obissima, Obuomadike, Ununwaku, Ohoba, Obitti and Umuapu, who graduated from its one-year training. Road construction and contracts in Imo would be usual community development accompaniments.
While the rat-race for revenue drives continues in Anambra, the State sits on 50 billion barrels of crude oil reserve, and 10 trillion cubic feet of gas awaiting development, out of its seven gas acreages, only two are being minimally tapped. Vested interests bind State-owned Orient Petroleum Plc with inept partners, First Modular Gas Systems Ltd, in ways that may have repelled big Oil and Gas players like Seplat Energy whose major shareholder, Dr. ABC Orjiako, is from Anambra State, and Mr. Emeka Offor’s Chrome Group, whose Interstate Electric Company Ltd are stakeholders in Enugu Electricity Distribution Company (EEDC) and the Alaoji Power Plant. It is obvious, the State has the human resources to develop its potentials, but needs prudent leadership.
Anambra, home to the Innoson Car Assembly plant, industries and businesses that are suffocating under poor electricity, needs visionary managers that draw down greater benefits, even if they do not forego salaries.

By: Joseph Nwankwo

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Opinion

Nigeria Must Not Become  A Wasteland

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The political, business and economic classes seem to lose sight of the fact that a land without a people is in another word known as a wasteland. And what is a wasteland?
A wasteland is a society uninhabited by a people, and therefore the exploiters, manipulators and abusers of the commonwealth will have nobody and nowhere to ply their trade, whatever that may be. This is a fact that most of them seem to have so missed in their blind rush to rob the common people of everything, including their sanity.
Religious leaders are part of this ruthless group, but we decided not to mention their insidious role in the exploitation of the commoner because we have spoken about them in an earlier article on the subject of corruption. The word ‘corruption’ is not supposed to be spoken in the same breath with the phrase ‘religious leaders’, but what is abnormal elsewhere is very normal in Nigeria, especially when it comes down to the exploitation of the common people.
It is a known fact that despite its abundant resources and potential for extreme wealth, Nigeria is one of the backward nations in which only an insignificant number of people benefit from the commonwealth to their satisfaction and, above all, wish.
This is the way they want it, because theirs is a group, regardless of members’ religion and race, that does not welcome gate crushers, until it is absolutely necessary to do so. And so is mostly done by way of marriages. It is like a secret society,  the secret of which it does not want outsiders to know and share with others outside the clique. It is a clique that non-members are fiercely not allowed to know what goes on in it. Along the way, a non-member may even lose his life with the members’ fierce protection of their exclusive conclave.
As stated earlier, when marriage calls with a ‘commoner’, members try all they can to disallow it, but when that is not achieved, it is reluctantly agreed upon until the ‘common’ party is fully integrated into the conclave. And so, a new member is then reluctantly born into the otherwise exclusive group. And all of the members of the group belong to one religion or the other, with, maybe, some holding firm to the traditional beliefs. Still, they feast on the commonwealth as if it was their own to do as they please.
It would seem that we believe in a different God. Muslims among us believe that our God is a just God, Who does not condone injustice on one over another, and that everyone must account for their actions in what we generally call ‘the hearafter’ before God (SWT). It is my belief that some members of this group do not believe in accounting for what they did while they were on this earth, even though those who believe in Christianity believe that Prophet Isa (AS), (Jesus Christ) ‘died for their sins’. This much is evident in their blind quest to exploit the common person, and they keep ‘acquiring’ from the commonwealth that which they, their children and grandchildren cannot spend in a sensible manner in their lifetime, try as they may.
Yet, the common person celebrates these people as heroes, which gives them the licence to continue their exploitation (of the Common person) of what by the laws of the land belongs to all. Celebrated on these shores, these people steal the Commonwealth blind and bring out a pittance by way of supposed charity or ‘assistance’ to the poor in the name of help. How is it possible to help a person from the proceeds of what you ingeniously or forcefully stole from him? This only happens in the land of the Mafia or in Nigeria, which is controlled by its own mafia. The earlier the Nigerian mafia is done away with, the better for the common person, now in the pole position to utilise, defend and enjoy the Commonwealth, as the laws of the land meant it to be.

By:  Abdu Malumfashi, Abuja.

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Opinion

Nigeria Must Not Become  A Wasteland

Published

on

The political, business and economic classes seem to lose sight of the fact that a land without a people is in another word known as a wasteland. And what is a wasteland?
A wasteland is a society uninhabited by a people, and therefore the exploiters, manipulators and abusers of the commonwealth will have nobody and nowhere to ply their trade, whatever that may be. This is a fact that most of them seem to have so missed in their blind rush to rob the common people of everything, including their sanity.
Religious leaders are part of this ruthless group, but we decided not to mention their insidious role in the exploitation of the commoner because we have spoken about them in an earlier article on the subject of corruption. The word ‘corruption’ is not supposed to be spoken in the same breath with the phrase ‘religious leaders’, but what is abnormal elsewhere is very normal in Nigeria, especially when it comes down to the exploitation of the common people.

**It is a known fact that despite its abundant resources and potential for extreme wealth, Nigeria is one of the backward nations in which only an insignificant number of people benefit from the commonwealth to their satisfaction and, above all, wish.
This is the way they want it, because theirs is a group, regardless of members’ religion and race, that does not welcome gate crushers, until it is absolutely necessary to do so. And so is mostly done by way of marriages. It is like a secret society,  the secret of which it does not want outsiders to know and share with others outside the clique. It is a clique that non members are fiercely not allowed to know what goes on in it. Along the way, a non member may even lose his life with the members’ fierce protection of their exclusive conclave.

As stated earlier, when marriage calls with a ‘commoner’, members try all they can to disallow it, but when that is not achieved, it is reluctantly agreed upon until the ‘common’ party is fully integrated into the conclave. And so, a new member is the reluctantly born into the otherwise exclusive group. And all of the members of the group belong to one religion or the other, with, maybe, some holding firm to the traditional beliefs. Still, they feast on the commonwealth as if it was their own to do as they please.

It would seem that we believe in a different God. Muslims among us believe that our God is a just God, Who does not condone injustice on one over another, and that everyone must account for their actions in what we generally call ‘the hearafter’ before God (SWT). It is my belief that some members of this group do not believe in accounting for what they did while they were on this earth, even though those who believe in Christianity believe that Prophet Isa (AS), (Jesus Christ) ‘died for their sins’. This much is evident in their blind quest to exploit the common person, and they keep ‘acquiring’ from the commonwealth that which they, their children and grandchildren cannot spend in a sensible manner in their lifetime, try as they may.

Yet, the common person celebrate these people as heroes, which gives them the licence to continue their exploitation (of the Common person) of what by the laws of the land belongs to all. Celebrated on these shores, these people steal the Commonwealth blind and bring out a pittance by way of supposed charity or ‘assistance’ to the poor in the name of help. How is it possible to help a person from the proceeds of what you ingeniously or forcefully stole from him? This only happens in the land of the Mafia or in Nigeria, which is controlled by its own mafia. The earlier the Nigerian mafia is done away with, the better for the common person, now in the pole position to utilise, defend and enjoy the Commonwealth, as the laws of the land meant it to be.

Abdu   Malumfashi

Malam Malumfashi writes in from Abuja.

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