Opinion
ASUU: No Victor, No Vanquished
The unanimous decision of the Academic Staff Union of Universities (ASUU) to end its eight months old strike, last Thursday is commendable. It is one of the best things that have happened in recent times. The national leadership of the Academic Staff Union of Universities in conjunction with chapters leadership across the nation resolved to call off its industrial action despite the Federal Government refusal to give in to the whims and caprices of the Union on some issues that led to the strike, according to the national leadership of the union. With the strike called off, students and parents who are the primary consumers of education will now heave a sigh of relief and plan on their academic programme and obligations, respectively. Though the strike has caused a hiccup in the academic calendar of the Universities that participated in the strike, adversely affecting the students, it is necessary in a country that lacks the needed passion for education to drive the human development index and the development of the country. This is a country that expression of opinion with decency of behaviour does not count. What really works in this country is fighting back through protest, violence and strike actions. What a primitive way to listen and to address grievances even when we claim that the legitimacy of any Government stems from the people, so those in the leadership of the country are accountable to the people as they hold the people’s resources in trust.
It was unbelievable that most public universities remained shut for as long as eight consecutive months in a country that is undoubtedly blessed in material and human resources; a country where part of its annual budget is spent on frivolities- things that do not add value to the economic development of the country. The strike has also revealed the cohesion and bond in the leadership of the Academic Staff Union of Universities, the implicit confidence of the members on their leaders and the sense of purpose and commitment to engender the much needed infrastructural development in the ivory towers in the country, some of which are like secondary schools in developed nations. The unity among the national leadership, regard and respect for the leadership makes the Union one of the strongest in the country. The uncommon virtues protected the union from the antics of the Federal Government to break the ranks of the leaders. The leaders may have also resisted financial overtures to scale down their demands or completely end the struggle without its aim and goal met. Several instances abound where leadership of some trade unions and professional associations have thrown integrity into winds to mortgage the welfare-oriented struggle of their members by accepting financial or material gratifications. ASUU leadership also has high regard for tenets of democracy, always calling for and receiving inputs from the State branches of the union and updating them on the outcome of meetings with the Federal Government. So decisions were collective and concensal not to the exclusion of the component units. These virtues have endeared the lecturers to their leadership.
The Federal Government’s attempt to whittle down the influence, gag the strength and polarise the Academic Staff Union of Universities by recognising splinter groups in the university communities did not work after all. It will be recalled that on Tuesday, October 11, in Abuja, the Federal Government through the Minister for Labour and Employment, Dr. Chris Ngige formally recognised and presented a certificate of registration to the Congress of Nigeria Universities Academics (CONUA) and the National Association of Medical and Dentistry Academics (NAMDA). Several people and organisations, including the national leadership of the Nigeria Labour Congress and human rights activists decried the Federal Government’s decision. According to a Senior Advocate of Nigeria (SAN) and human rights activist, Femi Falana in an interview with “Arise TV”, the labour laws in Nigeria does not permit the registration of more than one union in a sector and described the Federal Government’s action as a desperate act to end the Academic Staff Union of Universities’ strike. For his part, the National President of Nigeria Labour Congress, Ayuba Wabba said the registration of the unions with particular reference to the Congress of Nigeria Universities of Academic, was a “violation of the nation’s labour Act particularly Section 5, Sub Section 4 which provides that where already an existing union which represents the interest of the union that is about to be registered, that union should not be registered. “That has been tested at the Supreme Court and the Supreme Court affirmed that the principle of Freedom of Information also entails that Section 40 is regulated by Section 41 and 46 that where your rights ends, that’s also where the rights of somebody else starts.
“The provisions of the Labour Act are in tandem with the guiding principles of Freedom of Information, if you put it (the registration of the unions), through the mirror of our Labour Act, it has failed clearly”. I salute the Academic Staff Union of Universities for identifying what it needs and sticking to it, the odds of the struggle notwithstanding. ASUU leadership qualities are worth emulating by other trade unions. Trade unions and professional bodies should not see trade dispute as a smokescreen to inordinately amasse pecuniary benefits. They should go into dialogue with the interest of the workers they represent at heart because as the proverbial saying goes, “what you peck from the teeth will never satisfy”. When trade Union leaders sacrifice workers welfare for their selfish gains, they are traitors that deserved condemnation. However, the Academic Staff Union of Universities’ leadership should prove that it is innocent of the alleged financial impropriety by the Federal Government. The Federal Government is also worthy of commendation for its frantic efforts to make lecturers return to school. It was a no victor, no vanquished contest between the Federal Government and Academic Staff Union of Universities. Only parents and students suffered.
By: Igbiki Benibo
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Opinion
Fuel Subsidy Removal and the Economic Implications for Nigerians
From all indications, Nigeria possesses enough human and material resources to become a true economic powerhouse in Africa. According to the National Population Commission (NPC, 2023), the country’s population has grown steadily within the last decade, presently standing at about 220 million people—mostly young, vibrant, and innovative. Nigeria also remains the sixth-largest oil producer in the world, with enormous reserves of gas, fertile agricultural land, and human capital.
Yet, despite this enormous potential, the country continues to grapple with underdevelopment, poverty, unemployment, and insecurity. Recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS, 2023) show that about 129 million Nigerians currently live below the poverty line. Most families can no longer afford basic necessities, even as the government continues to project a rosy economic picture.
The Subsidy Question
The removal of fuel subsidy in 2023 by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has been one of the most controversial policy decisions in Nigeria’s recent history. According to the president, subsidy removal was designed to reduce fiscal burden, unify the foreign exchange rate, attract investment, curb inflation, and discourage excessive government borrowing.
While these objectives are theoretically sound, the reality for ordinary Nigerians has been severe hardship. Fuel prices more than tripled, transportation costs surged, and food inflation—already high—rose above 30% (NBS, 2023). The World Bank (2023) estimates that an additional 7.1 million Nigerians were pushed into poverty after subsidy removal.
A Critical Economic View
As an economist, I argue that the problem was not subsidy removal itself—which was inevitable—but the timing, sequencing, and structural gaps in Nigeria’s implementation.
- Structural Miscalculation
Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries remain nonfunctional. By removing subsidies without local refining capacity, the government exposed the economy to import-price pass-through effects—where global oil price shocks translate directly into domestic inflation. This was not just a timing issue but a fundamental policy miscalculation.
- Neglect of Social Safety Nets
Countries like Indonesia (2005) and Ghana (2005) removed subsidies successfully only after introducing cash transfers, transport vouchers, and food subsidies for the poor (World Bank, 2005). Nigeria, however, implemented removal abruptly, shifting the fiscal burden directly onto households without protection.
- Failure to Secure Food and Energy Alternatives
Fuel subsidy removal amplified existing weaknesses in agriculture and energy. Instead of sequencing reforms, government left Nigerians without refinery capacity, renewable energy alternatives, or mechanized agricultural productivity—all of which could have cushioned the shock.
Political and Public Concerns
Prominent leaders have echoed these concerns. Mr. Peter Obi, the Labour Party’s 2023 presidential candidate, described the subsidy removal as “good but wrongly timed.” Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party also faulted the government’s hasty approach. Human rights activists like Obodoekwe Stive stressed that refineries should have been made functional first, to reduce the suffering of citizens.
This is not just political rhetoric—it reflects a widespread economic reality. When inflation climbs above 30%, when purchasing power collapses, and when households cannot meet basic needs, the promise of reform becomes overshadowed by social pain.
Broader Implications
The consequences of this policy are multidimensional:
- Inflationary Pressures – Food inflation above 30% has made nutrition unaffordable for many households.
- Rising Poverty – 7.1 million Nigerians have been newly pushed into poverty (World Bank, 2023).
- Middle-Class Erosion – Rising transport, rent, and healthcare costs are squeezing household incomes.
- Debt Concerns – Despite promises, government borrowing has continued, raising sustainability questions.
- Public Distrust – When government promises savings but citizens feel only pain, trust in leadership erodes.
In effect, subsidy removal without structural readiness has widened inequality and eroded social stability.
Missed Opportunities
Nigeria’s leaders had the chance to approach subsidy removal differently:
- Refinery Rehabilitation – Ensuring local refining to reduce exposure to global oil price shocks.
- Renewable Energy Investment – Diversifying energy through solar, hydro, and wind to reduce reliance on imported petroleum.
- Agricultural Productivity – Mechanization, irrigation, and smallholder financing could have boosted food supply and stabilized prices.
- Social Safety Nets – Conditional cash transfers, food vouchers, and transport subsidies could have protected the most vulnerable.
Instead, reform came abruptly, leaving citizens to absorb all the pain while waiting for theoretical long-term benefits.
Conclusion: Reform With a Human Face
Fuel subsidy removal was inevitable, but Nigeria’s approach has worsened hardship for millions. True reform must go beyond fiscal savings to protect citizens.
Economic policy is not judged only by its efficiency but by its humanity. A well-sequenced reform could have balanced fiscal responsibility with equity, ensuring that ordinary Nigerians were not crushed under the weight of sudden change.
Nigeria has the resources, population, and resilience to lead Africa’s economy. But leadership requires foresight. It requires policies that are inclusive, humane, and strategically sequenced.
Reform without equity is displacement of poverty, not development. If Nigeria truly seeks progress, its policies must wear a human face.
References
- National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). (2023). Poverty and Inequality Report. Abuja.
- National Population Commission (NPC). (2023). Population Estimates. Abuja.
- World Bank. (2023). Nigeria Development Update. Washington, DC.
- World Bank. (2005). Fuel Subsidy Reforms: Lessons from Indonesia and Ghana. Washington, DC.
- OPEC. (2023). Annual Statistical Bulletin. Vienna.
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