Editorial
Saving The Naira
Given the apparent dwindling fortune of the Naira, the House of Representatives recently asked the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to quickly put in place a policy to check further devaluation of the Naira to the United States dollar and other international legal tenders. The House decried that while the Nigerian currency was relinquishing value, others in Africa were appreciating.
The CBN officially devalued the Naira to N410.25 per dollar after the country’s currency defied all interventions to retain its value. However, some financial experts have said that the new exchange rate would lead to inflation and increase the poverty level in the country. Justifying the diminishing value of the currency, Governor of the CBN, Godwin Emefiele, said that the drop in crude oil earnings and the associated reduction in foreign portfolio inflows significantly affected the supply of foreign exchange into Nigeria.
Curiously, while the value of the Naira relative to the dollar had declined by a whopping nine per cent in the last six months, the South African rand and Ghanaian cedi had appreciated by 11.4 per cent and one per cent, respectively. To save the Naira, the CBN adopted multiple exchange rates in 2020, in a bid to avoid an outright devaluation without success.
It has become profoundly disturbing that the frequent devaluation is already causing inflation since imports have become more prohibitive. Any imported goods or raw material increases in price and the increase in aggregate demand causes demand-pull inflation. Firms and exporters have less incentive to cut costs because they can rely on the devaluation to improve competitiveness.
It is equally unsettling that the long-term devaluation is already leading to lower productivity because of the decline in incentives. Also, the depreciation of the Naira makes it more difficult for Nigerian youths, especially in the Information Technology (IT) sector, whose businesses are online and must necessarily transact businesses in the US dollars. In a period of low wage growth, a diminishment that causes rising import prices will make many consumers feel worse off as is being experienced.
A hasty look at the direction of Nigeria’s international trade shows the problems of the strong currency syndrome in a single source foreign exchange earning dominated economy. In 2018, Nigeria exported a total of $59.5 billion worth of goods. Crude ($44,8bn) and petroleum gas ($8.61bn) alone accounting for nearly 90 per cent of export. In the same year, Nigeria imported goods totalling $48.7bn with refined petroleum ($9.95bn) alone accounting for over 20 per cent of all imports.
Similar trends were recorded before and even after the referenced year. It is, therefore, not difficult to see that there is nothing to achieve from devaluation since the main product we export (crude oil) is already priced in USD, and we will not relish any benefit from increase in demand following price drop, since our production volume is closed off in OPEC quota.
A former President, Association of National Accountants of Nigeria, Dr Sam Nzekwe, had declared that the regular devaluation of the Naira would result in imported inflation because importers would get more expensive forex from the Bureau de Change. He said, “Prices of goods and services will keep on going up; inflation will keep on going up because anyone who is importing, either raw material or finished goods, the prices will be very high. The agricultural sector that is supposed to be cushioning the situation, the people cannot do anything because of the insecurity issues. They cannot go to farm; so we are unable to take advantage of the comparative advantage in agriculture because of activities of bandits.”
Similarly, a Professor of Economics, Babcock University and past President, Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria, Prof. Segun Ajibola, noted that the CBN had been trying to defend the value of the Naira to achieve some stability. However, he said there was little the apex bank could do because of the exposure to the foreign market. According to Ajibola, “The implication is, we are likely to witness cost push inflation because inflation will rise and they will pass that to the end users that are consumers, so the overall impact is that it will likely worsen poverty. The poverty index is likely to rise.”
Truth is, the greatest casualty of Naira’s incessant devaluation is our industrialisation drive which becomes more expensive to finance and further delays the take-off of the much desired private sector-led industrialisation. Former British Prime Minister, late Margaret Thatcher, in 1990, was once quoted to have said that “to destroy a country, first debauch their currency”. Regrettably, this is what we are ignorantly doing to ourselves.
Unfortunately, constant devaluation has put the Naira among the worst performing currencies globally in the last four decades. Despite the systematic devaluation in the last 40 years, Nigeria and Nigerians are yet to experience the benefits of currency depreciation advocates promised. It appears that Mark Carney, a former Governor of Bank of England, might be right when he emphatically stated that currency “depreciations are how you make the economy poorer”.
Economists and financial experts have often warned that currency devaluation is a bad monetary policy for a nation with no significant export industries. Knowing where we are currently in terms of power generation, logistics, infrastructure and technological know-how, Nigeria would not likely have a competitive export-oriented industry soon, more so when the huge domestic market is yet to be dominated by our home-based industries. Until Nigeria’s market is largely monopolized by locally produced goods, the nation is unlikely to see any gain in the continued devaluation of the national currency.
Editorial
That Oshiomhole’s Call On FG’s Road Projects
There are moments in the life of a legislature when plain speaking becomes a public service. Senator Adams Oshiomhole provided such a moment on the floor of the Senate when he accused the Minister of Works, Senator David Umahi, of manifestly neglecting critical federal arteries in Edo and Delta States, and implored his colleagues to prevail on the Minister to adopt a more equitable and genuinely national approach to road infrastructure delivery. It was blunt, it was uncomfortable, and it was necessary.
The specifics of his complaint deserve restating. Drawing attention to the recent approval of some 20 new road projects despite the parlous state of existing ones, the former Edo State governor lamented that Nigerians cannot travel from Benin to Warri, Benin to Asaba, Benin to Auchi, or Auchi to Okene without encountering severe distress. He alleged a deliberate omission of these corridors from the national budget in the last three years, save for palliative interventions directed by President Bola Tinubu through tax credit arrangements. His question — “What have we done wrong?” — resonates far beyond the chambers of the National Assembly.
We lend our full and unequivocal support to that call. The Auchi-Benin Road, for instance, has been in a deplorable and near-impassable condition for several years, turning what should be a two-hour journey into an all-day ordeal of broken axles, extortionate fares, and despondent commuters. The media have, on multiple occasions, chronicled the suffering of motorists, traders, and students who ply that route. To describe it as a federal road today is to stretch the meaning of the term beyond recognition.
This pattern of sidelining is not confined to Edo or Delta. Even here in Rivers State, the disposition of the Federal Ministry of Works has left much to be desired, particularly along the Eleme axis of the East-West Road. That road, which ought to be a flagship of federal presence in the Niger Delta, has remained in a wretched state for long. Those who use it daily — workers at the Eleme Petrochemical Complex, the two refineries, Onne Port, and the countless ancillary industries — can attest to its deterioration. Work has proceeded in fits and starts without the sustained urgency such a strategic road demands.
The Eleme stretch is not a mere intra-state byway. It is the gateway to the nation’s economic jugular. According to the Federal Ministry of Works and Housing’s 2023 Highway Condition Survey, only about 35 per cent of the country’s 36,000 kilometres of federal roads are rated as being in good or fair condition, with the remainder classified as poor or very poor. The East-West Road, conceived in the 1970s to bind the entire Niger Delta, remains unfinished in critical sections more than four decades after. If it had been treated as a priority, the perennial gridlock, carnage, and economic loss on the Eleme-Refinery junction would have long been consigned to history.
The irony is as painful as it is glaring. The Niger Delta remains the goose that lays the golden eggs. Data from the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative [NEITI 2023 Oil and Gas Audit] show that the region still accounts for over 78 per cent of Nigeria’s federally collected export earnings and about 65 per cent of total government revenue. The National Bureau of Statistics [NBS Foreign Trade Report Q4 2024] similarly confirms that crude oil continues to dominate export receipts. By every metric of equity and economic logic, a region that sustains the national purse deserves first-rate consideration in the allocation of infrastructure, not afterthoughts and tokenism.
Road infrastructure is not largesse to be dispensed by favour; it is the skeleton upon which commerce, cohesion, and citizenship hang. When contracts are concentrated in one geopolitical zone while other zones are left to contend with craters, it erodes trust in the federation itself. The World Bank’s Nigeria Development Update [June 2023] estimated that poor transport connectivity inflates the cost of moving goods by up to 40 per cent and costs the Nigerian economy an estimated $1.5 billion annually in lost man-hours and vehicle maintenance. If we profess to be one country, then equity must be the compass that guides key institutions before any project is executed. Development must spread round, not pool in one place as though other regions do not matter.
There is also a grave security dimension that can no longer be ignored. The deplorable condition of federal roads has become a veritable enabler of criminality. The NBS Crime Experience and Security Perception Survey reported over 2.5 million incidents of kidnapping-related occurrences nationally, with transport workers identifying bad road spots as prime ambush points. When vehicles are forced to crawl at 10 kilometres per hour through failed sections at Auchi, Sapele Road, or Eleme, they become sitting ducks for armed gangs. Fixing bad roads, therefore, is not merely about convenience; it is about safeguarding lives.
By his intervention, Senator Oshiomhole has hit the nail on the head and reminded Minister Umahi of a fundamental constitutional truth: public office is held in trust. The Ministry of Works is not a personal estate where contracts are awarded according to whim or political convenience. It is a national institution funded by the collective resources of Nigerians, including the oil and gas rents from the very communities whose roads are now neglected. The Minister must demonstrate balance, transparency, and a pan-Nigerian outlook in the distribution of projects that impact the daily existence of citizens. Selective neglect breeds suspicion, and suspicion is corrosive at a time when the nation is preaching unity, oneness, equity, and justice.
Consequently, the National Assembly must go beyond rhetoric and assert its oversight powers with vigour. Sections 88 and 89 of the 1999 Constitution [as amended] empower the legislature to investigate and expose any maladministration in the execution of federal projects. If an office holder is not acting rightly, it is the duty of the Senate and the House of Representatives to call him to order. Oversight must not be reduced to budget approval ceremonies; it must translate to field verification, public hearings, and insistence that the Federal Character principle, as enshrined in Section 14(3) of the Constitution, reflects in road awards.
Let the Auchi-Okene, Benin-Warri, Benin-Asaba, and Eleme East-West gangways be restored to motorable dignity. Let priority be given to completing existing, economically vital roads before embarking on new ones. If those who, through their resources, sustain the federation are sidelined in the distribution of tangible dividends, it tells poorly of our nationhood. Bad roads must be fixed, and they must be fixed now, with fairness as the guiding standard.
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