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Between JTF And Illegal Bunkering

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Unbridled instinct for quick money-making of most Nigerians, no doubt, remains one of the greatest threats to efforts aimed at stopping the upsurge in illegal bunkering of petroleum products across the Niger Delta region.

   In the recent past, allegations have been levelled against some military men attached to the Joint Task Force (JTF), under Operation Restore Hope, for aiding and abating illegal oil bunkering in the region. Confirmed reports say the illegal deal is currently thriving successfully under the nose of some security personnel along the waterways and waterfronts.

Only recently, Wikileaks, said to be an oil servicing firm in the Niger Delta, openly accused the JTF men for being neck-deep in the nefarious act. Without mincing words, the firm alleged that some military men (JTF) are deeply involved in stealing crude oil at the waterfronts and the waterways in order to make quick money to the detriment of the nation.

Expectedly, JTF spokesman, Lt. Col. Timothy Antigah denied the allegation, saying the military men are rather committed to ending the nefarious act of illegal oil bunkering across the Niger Delta. To buttress JTF claims, he said about 50 suspects involved in illegal oil bunkering were arrested between January and this month in the region.

What’s more, the Commander in charge of 82 Battalion, Lt Col. Greg Omorogbe also claimed that over 50 illegal refineries have been destroyed in the Bodo (Ogoni) and Andoni axis where a vast area of the mangrove has been razed down by fire, caused by oil spill. The military, he said, had been having a running battle with the “criminal gang” involved in the oil theft.

Also, the JTF spokesman alleged that foreigners were colluding with criminals in the Niger Delta region to perpetrate illegal oil theft, but assured that the task force was determined to stop the illegal deal.

But the claim of the JTF spokesman that some of his men were not involved in the illegal act, is being taken with a pinch of salt by the public. Why? Not too long ago, the JTF authorities had cause to arrest two soldiers and three civilians for alleged involvement in illegal bunkering activities in an Ogoni community in Rivers State.

Sadly, the two ill-fated soldiers, sources said, were among the security personnel drafted by Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) to the area to check the activities of illegal bunkerers. As it were, some JTF  men who arrived the scene of crime, following a tip off, immediately apprehended the two soldiers (illegal bunkerers), got them beaten up and moved them to Port Harcourt along with their civilian collaborators.

The question now is: why would soldiers drafted to the area to stop illegal bunkering activities, remove their uniforms and got involved in the illegal deal? Perhaps, they want to have a share of the national cake right there before they are retired from active service.

Worse still, members of the Civil Defence Crops, sometime ago, also arrested some die-hard illegal bunkerers at the Abuloma waterfronts, with scores of drums and jerrycans, loaded with petroleum products. The deal, reports say, is still persisting in the area, with the consent of some topshots in the society. Yet, the JTF is parading the area and other parts of Niger Delta.

In Rivers State, to be specific, illegal oil bunkering was believed by many to have eased off, following the persistent combing of pipelines, especially along the waterways by security operatives. But from all indications, illegal bunkering of petroleum products has assumed a frenetic and feverish pitch in the recent past, within the coastal towns.

More worrisome is the fact that JTF men (soldiers) had been neck-deep in the illegal business in the recent past, according to reports, with containers of crude oil, leaving the coastal towns to designated spots. Sadly enough, the nefarious trade  has to a great extent, exposed the coastal towns to serious danger.

Another mind-boggling question on this touchy issue is: where are members of the military taskforce (soldiers and navalmen) mandated to call the bluff of the die-hard illegal bunkerers? Why is this illegal business still thriving with ease along the coastal towns?

Again, can it be true that some top security operatives benefit in some way from the illegal bunkering business? This is unfortunate, to say the least. Perhaps, a properly constituted panel of inquiry should be set up by the authorities concerned to unravel the mystery surrounding the ease with which illegal bunkerers are carrying out their nefarious deals.

In the alternative, a new task force should be reconstituted as a matter of urgency, to police the pipelines, along the waterfronts and in the hinterland. Yes. The authorities must do something and urgently too, in order to nip in the bud, the antics of  illegal bunkerers, especially, the soldiers conniving with die-hard oil bunkerers.

One can recall sadly that a young man, not too long ago, was said to have been choked to death somewhere at Alesa-Eleme, while scooping petrol with others from a burst petroleum pipe, vandalised by illegal oil bunkerers. Regrettably, women and children also had a field day from the damaged pipeline in spite of the dangers they were exposed to-the possibility of a fire outbreak as had been recorded in some other parts of the country, in the past years.

What was worrisome about this particular incident was that the petrol was reportedly being scooped from the burst pipe, under the nose of armed security personnel. Yet, nobody was apprehended. This is sad, to say the least.

It is instructive to state that authorities of the JTF, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) and the oil firms cannot fold their arms and watch illegal bunkerers, and some misguided security operatives, hold the nation to ransom. Indeed, something needs to be done now to protect the nation’s economy.

Yes, the country depends largely on petroleum products to keep its economy afloat. Therefore, the JTF, being the body saddled with the responsibility of curbing the excesses of illegal bunkerers at the waterfronts and waterways, must monitor (on regular basis), the activities of some of its men in order not to drag its name in the mud.

Agreed, the incident of oil theft is not new in the Niger Delta region. But the authorities of JTF and other authorities concerned must be alive to their responsibilities, so that the region would in the near future be rid of the nefarious act.

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Are the Bears Wrong About the Looming Glut in Oil?

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The oil market is oversupplied while demand growth is slowing down. This has become the dominant assumption among oil traders over the past two years, repeatedly reinforced by analyst outlets. Assumptions, however, are often wrong, especially when not based on physical data.
The International Energy Agency’s latest monthly report, for instance, said that the world is facing a record overhang of crude oil, set to unfold in the final quarter of this year and extend into the first months of 2026.
The expected glut was attributed to lower-than-expected oil consumption in several large developing world markets, combined with rising production in both OPEC+ and elsewhere, notably in the United States, Canada, Guyana, and Brazil.
The investment banks also see a glut, as they tend to do unless there is a war breaking out somewhere.
Goldman Sachs recently forecast Brent crude would drop below $55 per barrel next year, citing a supply overhang of 1.8 million barrels daily at the end of this year, very much in tune with the IEA.
Morgan Stanley is more guarded in its forecasts but still assumes abundant supply, as does ING in most of its regular commodity market notes. But there are some exceptions.
One of these has recently been Standard Chartered, which has bucked the trend of doomsaying among oil price forecasters, noting bullish factors that other forecasters either ignore or overlook.
The other is Oxford Energy, which this week released a report taking a close look at the physical oil market. Surprisingly, for many, the physical market does not show evidence of a glut forming anytime soon.
Crude oil inventories are always a good place to start, and that is exactly where Oxford Energy starts, noting that inventories in the OECD have only gained a rather modest 4 million barrels over the first six months of the year.
This modest increase means OECD oil stocks are still substantially below the five-year average, the research outlet noted, adding that the gap with that average was 122 million barrels.
The inventory situation is similar in the United States as well, even though the benchmarks slide every Wednesday when the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports a crude inventory draw.
Over a longer period, however, inventories have trended down, suggesting demand is pretty healthy and the threat of a massive glut may well be a bit exaggerated.
So, what about inventories outside of the OECD and outside of the United States? China, notably, has been building up its oil in storage, taking advantage of discounted sanctioned Russian crude.
Earlier this year, media reports said Chinese crude oil inventories had hit a three-year high, suggesting demand growth was lagging behind refinery processing rates.
There have also been repeated warnings about slowing oil demand in the world’s largest oil importer—even when imports increase and so do processing rates at Chinese refineries.
Oxford Energy notes, however, that since China does not report inventory information, it is difficult to get an accurate number on oil stocks and estimates produced by data trackers vary too widely to offer reliable information.
Another factor to take into account when studying oil price prospects is floating storage, according to the analysts. This boomed in 2020 when lockdowns decimated demand and supply turned excessive.
After the end of the pandemic, oil in floating storage declined before rising again amid Western sanctions on Russia. Still, Oxford Energy notes, the level of oil in floating storage remains below the levels reached in 2022.
Then there is the matter of oil products. If there is too much supply around, some of it would go into storage—including expensive floating storage—but the rest would be turned into fuels and other products.
Once again, all eyes are on China, where another surprise is waiting. Per Kpler data cited by Oxford Energy, oil product exports from China have not gone higher.
They have actually gone down by 10% and remain weak. One reason for this is, of course, government quota-setting. Another, however, may well be healthy demand for fuels at home.
As the oil market awaits OPEC’s next meeting to start exiting its positions in anticipation of that glut, it may be wise to keep the physical market in mind, along with the fact that the IEA has repeatedly had to revise its own forecasts as physical world data comes in and refutes them.
More interesting, however, is this quote from a recent note from ING analysts: “The scale of the surplus through next year means it’s unlikely the group [OPEC+] will bring additional supply onto the market.
“The bigger risk is OPEC+ deciding to reinstate supply cuts, given concerns about a surplus.”
If there is a massive surplus on the way, any new cuts from OPEC+ should have a limited effect on prices, just as they did over the past two years. But maybe that massive surplus is not so certain, after all.
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Renewable Energy Faces Looming Workforce Crisis

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Despite a discouraging political climate and unprecedented uncertainty in the United States clean energy sector, low costs of wind and solar energy continue to drive growth of the domestic clean energy sector.
However, while market forces continue to support the expansion of renewable energy capacity, the sector faces critical challenges extending beyond the antagonism of the Trump administration.
The continued growth of solar and wind power risks being hampered by several mitigating factors, including (but not limited to) intensifying competition over increasingly scarce suitable land plots, stressed and volatile global supply chains, lengthy and unpredictable development processes, Complex and overlapping permitting processes, and a critical talent gap.
The renewable energy labor shortage has been years in the making, but is no less closer to resolution. The issue spans both white collar and blue collar positions, and threatens to kneecap progress in the booming sector.
Between the years of 2011 and 2030, it is expected that global levels of installed wind and solar capacity will quadruple. Analysis from McKinsey & Company concludes that “this huge surge in new wind and solar installations will be almost impossible to staff with qualified development and construction employees as well as operations and maintenance workers.
“It’s unclear where these employees will come from in the future,” the McKinsey report goes on to say.
He continued that “There are too few people with specialized and relevant expertise and experience, and too many of them are departing for other companies or other industries.”
The solar and wind industries are suffering from a lack of awareness of career paths and opportunities, despite their well-established presence in domestic markets.
Emergent clean energies face an even steeper uphill battle. Geothermal energy, for example, is poised for explosive growth as one of vanishingly few carbon-free energy solutions with broad bipartisan support, but faces a severe talent gap and punishingly low levels of awareness in potential talent pools.
But while the outlook is discouraging, industry insiders argue that it’s too soon to sound the alarms. In fact, a recent report from Utility Drive contends that “solutions to the energy talent gap are hiding in plain sight.”
The article breaks down those solutions into four concrete approaches: building partnerships with educators, formulating Registered Apprenticeship pathways, updating credential requirements to reflect real-world needs, and rethinking stale recruitment strategies.
Targeting strategic alliances with educational institutions is a crucial strategy for creating a skilled workforce, particularly in emerging sectors like geothermal energy.
Businesses can, for example, partner with and sponsor programs at community colleges, creating a pipeline for the next generation of skilled workers. Apprenticeships serve a similar purpose, encouraging hands-on learning outside of the classroom. Such apprenticeships can apply to white collar positions as well as blue collar roles.
“If we can figure out a way to educate the younger generation that you can actually have a career that you can be proud of and help solve a problem the world is facing, but also work in the extractive industry, I think that could go a long way,” said Jeanine Vany, executive vice president of corporate affairs for Canadian geothermal firm Eavor, speaking about the geothermal energy talent gap.
These approaches won’t solve the talent gap overnight – especially as political developments may discourage would-be jobseekers from placing their bets on a career in the renewables sector. But they will go a long way toward mitigating the issue.
“The clean energy transition depends on a workforce that can sustain it,” reports Utility Drive. “To meet the hiring challenges, employers will benefit from looking beyond the next position to fill and working toward a strategic, industry-wide vision for attracting talent.”
By: Haley Zaremba
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Is It End For Lithium’s Reign As Battery King?

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Lithium-ion batteries power the world around us. Their prevalence in our daily life is growing steadily, to the extent that lithium-ion batteries now power a whopping 70 percent of all rechargeable devices.
From electric vehicles to smartphones to utility-scale energy storage, lithium-ion batteries are increasingly forming the building blocks of innumerable sectors.
But despite its dominance in battery technologies, there are some serious issues with lithium supply chains that make it a less-than-ideal model upon which to base our world.
Not only is extracting lithium often extremely environmentally damaging, it’s deeply intertwined with geopolitical pressure points. China controls a huge portion of global lithium supply chains, rendering markets highly vulnerable to shocks and the political will of Beijing.
China’s control is particularly strong in the case of electric vehicle batteries, thanks to a decade-long strategy to outcompete the globe.
“For over a decade, China has meticulously orchestrated a strategic ascent in the global electric vehicle (EV) batteries market, culminating in a dominance that now presents a formidable challenge to Western manufacturers,” reports EE Times.
The effect functions as “almost a moat” around Chinese battery production, buffering the sector against international competition.
The multiple downsides and risks associated with lithium and lithium-ion battery sourcing is pushing EV companies to research alternative battery models to power the electric cars of the future.
There are a litany of lithium alternatives in research and development phases, including – but not limited to – lead, nickel-cadmium, nickel-metal hydride, sodium nickel chloride, lithium metal polymer, sodium-ion, lithium-sulfur, and solid state batteries.
Solid state batteries seem to be the biggest industry darling. Solid-state batteries use a solid electrolyte as a barrier and conductor between the cathode and anode.
These batteries don’t necessarily do away with lithium, but they can eliminate the need for graphite – another critical mineral under heavy Chinese control. Plus, solid state batteries are purported to be safer, have higher energy density, and recharge faster than lithium-ion batteries.
While solid-state batteries are still in development, they’re already being tested in some applications by car companies. Mercedes and BMW claim that they are already road-testing vehicles powered by solid-state batteries, but it will likely be years before we see them in any commercial context.
Subaru is on the verge of testing solid-state batteries within its vehicles, but is already employing a smaller form of the technology to power robots within its facilities.
However, while solid-state batteries are being hailed as a sort of holy grail for battery tech, some think that the promise – and progress – of solid-state batteries is overblown.
“I think there’s a lot of noise in solid state around commercial readiness that’s maybe an exaggeration of reality”, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said during an interview on this week’s Plugged-In Podcast.
Sodium ion batteries are also a promising contender to overtake lithium-ion batteries in the EV sector. Sodium is 1,000 times more abundant than lithium.
“It’s widely available around the world, meaning it’s cheaper to source, and less water-intensive to extract”, stated James Quinn, the CEO of U.K.-based Faradion. “It takes 682 times more water to extract one tonne of lithium versus one tonne of sodium.That is a significant amount.”
Bloomberg projections indicate that sodium-ion could displace 272,000 tons of lithium demand as soon as 2035.
But even this does not signal the death of lithium. Lithium is simply too useful in battery-making. It’s energy-dense and performs well in cold weather, making it “indispensable for high-performance applications” according to EV World.
“The future isn’t lithium or sodium—it’s both, deployed strategically across sectors…the result is a diversified, resilient battery economy.”
By: Haley Zaremba
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