Editorial
Leveraging On Success Of Osun Poll
The Osun State governorship election of July 16, 2022, has come and gone. It, nevertheless, leaves behind a glimmer of hope for the 2023 general election. Despite the uncertainty about a chaotic disruption in the ballot, the poll proved very peaceful and saw a remarkable turnout. Voter assemblage in national elections has generally been below 38 per cent since 2019. But 42.37 per cent in the off-season Osun election sparks hopes of increased participation in the 2023 ballot.
The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) had formally declared Ademola Adeleke of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) as the winner of the governorship contest. The INEC Chief Returning Officer for the state, Oluwatoyin Ogundipe, announced the PDP candidate as the victor with 403,371 votes. The runner-up was the incumbent governor, Gboyega Oyetola of the All Progressives Congress (APC), who polled 375,027 votes.
Besides earning the total majority votes, the PDP also won in the majority of the state’s local governments. The party was victorious in 17 of Osun’s 30 local government councils, while the APC won in 13. None of the other 13 candidates who took part in the election won in any local government. A total of 15 political parties took part in the election. The two leading candidates had also squared off in the 2018 governorship voting in the state, which Oyetola narrowly won, although in questionable circumstances.
Adeleke was leading in the 2018 election before the electoral body declared the contest inconclusive and sanctioned a re-run in seven polling units. The re-run election was heavily militarised, and many voters were disenfranchised by armed thugs. It was won by the APC candidate, which also assisted him to secure victory in the general poll. Adeleke’s success in the latest election might be an indication that he was the original winner of the 2018 ballot. The PDP’s candidate will assume office in November, when the incumbent’s tenure will end.
There is a sufficient basis to adjudge the election as credible, and indeed, an improvement on the previous off-cycle governorship elections held in Anambra and Ekiti States. The position of election monitors and observers drawn from over 80 Nigerian civil society groups and foreign governments and international development partners, the security agencies and INEC, reveals that there was stunning supervision of the elections, especially as it was without sweeping violence.
Electoral materials were deployed timely while accreditation and voting commenced early and concluded within the scheduled period, except for a few instances where delays were induced by the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System (BVAS) machine problems. Osun’s INEC Resident Commissioner, Professor Abdul Ganiyu Raji, said results from all the polling units had been electronically transmitted by 7 p.m. and before midnight, the commission had the results from all the 30 local governments on its portal. Indeed, the outcome was a true reflection of the people’s wishes.
Yiaga Africa, in its “Process and Results Verification Statement on the 2022 Osun Gubernatorial Election”, released a day after the election, claimed that INEC officials had arrived at 78 per cent of polling units by 7.30 a.m. and that by 9.30 a.m., accreditation and voting had commenced in 96 per cent the polling units. The statement explained that the BVAS technology functioned properly in 92 per cent of polling units, leaving only 7 per cent of polling units where the BVAS malfunctioned and got fixed, and 1 per cent of the units, where it malfunctioned and was replaced.
Election security was also highly rated. The CLEEN Foundation’s Election Security Support Centre (ESSC), one of the monitoring and observation civil society groups, in its report, affirmed the early arrival of security personnel at various polling units, noting that 83.9 per cent of polling units had enough security agents for the state’s 30 local government areas. It further observed that in line with best practices, 92.9 per cent of the security agents put on easily identifiable name tags and many of them conducted themselves professionally.
Regrettably, supporters of the political parties, especially the PDP and the APC, were reportedly involved in violent clashes before, during and after the election. This claimed some lives, making a mess of the peace accord signed by the candidates of the parties a few days to the election. Initiators of the National Peace Committee should learn from this incident and bring forward the peace signing event to the inception of campaigns to hold violators accountable.
No election can be perfect, and the Osun State governorship voting was not an exception. Despite the general accolades, there were noticeable splodges that need to be addressed. Sadly, the election was undermined by vote buying, an obscene phenomenon that has become prevalent in elections in Nigeria, regardless of counter-measures such as deploying anti-graft officials to polling areas and banning the use of mobile phones in voting cubicles. INEC and all relevant authorities must ensure that those involved in the ugly act are brought to justice.
Notwithstanding, we congratulate the Osun people on their active, peaceful and democratic participation in the voting. We are delighted that the results released by the commission were consistent with those of the civil society-led Parallel Vote Tabulation process. We commend INEC, the security agencies, civil society partners led by the Nigeria Civil Society Situation Room and all stakeholders for their contribution to the success of the exercise. Furthermore, we are exhorted by the continuing improvements in the electoral process, following the governorship election in Ekiti State last month.
The timely opening of polls, functionality of the BVAS devices for accreditation of voters and electronic transmission of results, accessibility provisions for people with disabilities and vulnerable voters and increased turnout of voters were all factors worth applauding about the election. As Nigeria approaches the 2023 general poll, INEC must build on the gains made in Ekiti and Osun. It must consolidate on the strong legal foundation provided by the new Electoral Act to implement an electoral system that espouses the free and meaningful partaking of all citizens in the democratic procedure.
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Editorial
INEC’s Threat Alert Deserves Urgent Attention
The Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) disclosure of an alleged plot to target its ad hoc personnel ahead of the 2027 general elections demand urgent national attention. The reported arrest of suspects, with intelligence support from the Department of State Services (DSS), is encouraging, but must not breed complacency. Any attack on electoral workers threatens not only human lives but also Nigerians’ constitutional right to choose their leaders through credible elections. The alleged conspiracy must be thoroughly investigated, its sponsors identified and all those found culpable prosecuted.
Particularly troubling is the reported targeting of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members, who play a vital role in Nigeria’s electoral process. Many serve far from home and undertake sensitive assignments at polling units and other electoral locations. As civilians, they should not be exposed to intimidation, abduction or violence without adequate protection. If election workers are vulnerable, the safety of other officials, observers and voters cannot be guaranteed.
Nigeria’s electoral history offers painful lessons. Human Rights Watch reported in Nigeria’s Post-Election Violence, published in May 2011, that more than 800 people died in the violence following the 2011 general elections. NYSC members serving as electoral officials were among the victims. This tragedy underscores the deadly consequences of political tension, incitement and disputed outcomes. Nigeria must act on the latest warning before another preventable disaster occurs.
INEC deserves recognition for uncovering the alleged plot, while the DSS and other security agencies merit commendation for their reported assistance. However, arrests are only the beginning. Investigators must establish the suspects’ identities, motives, networks and intended targets, ensuring that evidence is admissible in court. The process must remain impartial and free from political interference. Credible public updates are also necessary, provided they do not compromise investigations or operational security.
The authorities must adopt a comprehensive, intelligence-led security strategy for 2027. INEC’s proposed security conference should produce practical measures developed in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security (ICCES), the police, the DSS and other relevant agencies. Threat assessments should guide personnel deployment, secure transportation, emergency communications, evacuation procedures and rapid response. Protection must extend beyond polling day to the distribution of sensitive materials, collation centres and the safe return of ad hoc personnel.
Those who provide intelligence must also be protected from retaliation. Confidential reporting channels and appropriate safeguards should be established for informants and others assisting investigations. Equally, security deployments must not intimidate voters or facilitate political repression. Personnel should act professionally, impartially and proportionately, within the law. Clear mechanisms for reporting misconduct and investigating abuses are essential to maintaining public confidence.
The threat also highlights broader concerns about trust in the electoral system. The European Union Election Observation Mission’s June 2023 final report identified shortcomings in transparency and operational implementation during Nigeria’s 2023 general elections, alongside concerns about the legal framework and electoral dispute resolution. Credible elections require more than security; they depend on transparent procedures, accountable officials and consistent enforcement of electoral laws. INEC must demonstrate measurable progress in addressing previously identified weaknesses.
Voter apathy presents another challenge. INEC’s published figures indicate that approximately 25 million people voted in the 2023 presidential election, out of about 93.5 million registered voters, a turnout of roughly 26.7 per cent. Although insecurity is not the sole cause of low participation, threats against electoral personnel can heighten public anxiety and discourage voters from exercising their franchise. INEC should strengthen civic education, improve polling accessibility and communicate procedures clearly. Political parties, civil society and the media must promote peaceful participation and reject electoral intimidation.
Misinformation and manipulated digital content pose additional risks. False reports, fabricated announcements and deepfake videos can inflame tensions, impersonate officials and mislead voters. INEC should establish a well-resourced, rapid-response communication system supported by verified digital channels and timely public statements. Collaboration with credible media organisations and fact-checkers would help counter falsehoods without suppressing legitimate criticism. Clear, consistent communication is indispensable, as administrative confusion and delayed explanations often allow rumours to spread.
Electoral integrity must also begin within INEC itself. The chairman’s warning against partisanship, negligence, extortion and ethical misconduct deserves serious attention. Security measures cannot compensate for officials who abuse their positions or disregard established procedures. INEC should strengthen staff training, ensure transparent recruitment and deployment, provide secure channels for reporting misconduct and enforce disciplinary rules consistently. Allegations of bribery and political interference must be investigated regardless of rank, while ad hoc personnel should receive adequate briefing, support and prompt payment.
The legal framework also requires clarity and consistent enforcement. INEC should explain the precise provisions and applicability of Section 26 of the Electoral Act 2026, including the obligations of electoral officials and security personnel, and publish authoritative guidance on neutrality and professional conduct. Complaints by opposition parties that they have been prevented from campaigning in certain states must likewise be investigated impartially. Any established violations should attract appropriate corrective action. Electoral fairness requires not only impartial polling officials but also lawful campaigning, access to competing viewpoints and freedom from intimidation.
The alleged plot against INEC’s ad hoc personnel is a warning against complacency ahead of the 2027 general election. Governments, security agencies, INEC, political parties and civil society must work together to prevent violence, punish misconduct and protect citizens’ participation. The commission should communicate its security priorities, maintain accessible threat-reporting channels and provide periodic updates on preparedness. Nigeria’s democracy cannot be safeguarded by assurances alone; it requires demonstrable preparation, impartial law enforcement and an unwavering commitment to free, fair and credible elections.
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