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Global Food Prices Set To Soar As The Oil And Gas Crunch Continues

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Oil and gas prices have risen dramatically this year as a result of under investment and recovering demand.
·Higher fuel prices are weighing on global food supply chains, with transportation and farming costs continuing to climb.
·The hardest hit will, once again, be those living in developing economies that are still struggling to recover from the impact of the pandemic.
The potential for a knock-on effect of rising fuel prices to be felt by other industries is becoming more likely, as oil and gas prices continue to rise to an all-time high, companies are finding it hard to maintain their costs and may have to shift this burden to the consumer any day now. 
Petrol prices have risen higher and higher this year, as oil makes a comeback in 2021 following a difficult year of pandemic restrictions and low demand. This has, of course, been aided by the OPEC+ curbs on production that restricted oil output across member states for the first half of 2021. And while production levels are slowly rising, some countries are finding it difficult to reach new OPEC targets as they revive their oil and gas industries, meaning the global shortage continues. 
Looking at the price of gasoline over the last 20 years, you can see that the global average has doubled, from $0.60 a litre in 2001 to $1.20 a litre today. This year, in particular, the increase in demand as economies open back up following over a year of restrictions, added to a supply shortage across much of the world, means prices are nearing an all-time-high.
 And it seems that the trend is not over yet, with experts suggesting that motorists across Europe and Asia can expect high petrol and diesel costs well into the winter months as the Brent benchmark stays around $85 a barrel; demand for fuel increases; and taxes on motor fuel in countries such as India, France and the U.K. continue to stay at around 60 percent of the retail price of petrol and diesel.  But what does this trend mean for other industries? As well as rising fuel prices, we are seeing the cost of food and drink increase, with average food prices hitting a decade high and costing around one-third more this September than last. Fuel costs cannot be blamed as the sole catalyst in rising food prices, as harvests hit by hot weather and Covid restrictions, an increase in global demand – with a dramatically cold 2020 winter and hot 2021 summer, and disruptions in the supply chain, are also to blame. But if transport and farming costs continue to rise, our food bill is likely to keep climbing. 
Kavita Chacko, a senior economist at CARE Ratings in India explains, “High fuel prices put pressure on overall price levels and poses a downside risk to the recovery in mobility and the economy in general.” Moreover, “The rise in transportation costs have been feeding into costs across segments and could be a dampener for consumer spending,” she stated. 
With globalisation meaning our food no longer comes from the local farm but is mostly shipped across the globe, as well as the rising price of fertilisers, the food supply chain is finding it hard to maintain stable prices. 
Abdolreza Abbassian, Senior Economist at the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation’s told Bloomberg, “It’s this combination of things that’s beginning to get very worrying,” “It’s not just the isolated food-price numbers, but all of them together. I don’t think anyone two or three months ago was expecting the energy prices to get this strong.”   
But the food supply chain is not the only thing we have to worry about when it comes to the knock-on effect of high oil prices. Any industry that relies on oil for fuel, fertilizers, petrochemicals, or any number of other related products is going to feel the pinch in the coming months, if they don’t already. This means the cost of many of our household products and basic expenses could soon increase. 
This ticking time bomb has led Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS by IHSMarkit, to state, “every nook and cranny of the economy” could be affected. “Everything that moves tends to move cross-country by truck or by train, so we’re looking at a more expensive year for that.”
Essentially, anything that is used on freight transportation and any industry that relies on fuel or petrochemicals will likely be affected by the ongoing hike in oil prices. And while consumers are worried about petrol and diesel prices at present, this is just the tip of the iceberg. 
The hardest hit will, once again, be those living in developing economies that are still struggling to recover from the impact of the pandemic. With an uneven economic recovery, due to low vaccine rollout figures and Covid restrictions needing to continue across several low-income countries, high fuel prices and the spillover effect on other industries, particularly food, could see governments having to provide economic stimuli to the poorest populations, as well imposing price caps on fuel. 
One thing’s for certain, it’s going to get worse before it gets better. Those working in agriculture and industry are already taking the hit and it’s only a matter of time until this price burden is shifted to the consumer, not only at the pump but across a multitude of areas of our daily lives. 
Bradstock reports for Oilprice.com.

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Nigeria, China Opens $2b Maritime Investment 

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The Federal Government, through the Ministry of Marine and Blue Economy, is set to advance a Nigeria/China Maritime Strategy aimed at unlocking over $2 billion in shipping investment.
The initiative, expscted to accelerate indigenous vessel ownership and position the country as a regional maritime hub, has been formally presented to the Minister of Marine and Blue Economy, Adegboyega Oyetola, at the Ministry’s headquarters in Abuja.
The $2 billion investment deal is the result of a strategic collaboration between the Nigeria-China Strategic Partnership (NCSP) and the Global Investment Advisory Community (GIAC), through its Nigerian operator, Anabel Capital.
The strategy is designed to catalyse local participation in the maritime industry by capitalising Nigerian-owned shipping companies and linking them with Chinese shipyards, charter firms, and investment banks.
It also outlines substantial investment in vessel acquisition, maritime training institutions, and the procurement of modern training vessels.
According to the economic blueprint, the initiative will deliver $2 billion in vessel investments, $20 billion in freight contracts for Nigerian operators, $200 million for maritime training, and $50 million for training vessels.
The programme is expected to create over 2,000 new maritime jobs annually, train 25,000 globally certified Nigerian seafarers, and build a robust local shipping ecosystem.
Minister Oyetola described the strategy as a “game changer” that aligns with the Ministry’s overarching priorities for sectoral reform and economic growth
He stressed the need to rapidly build indigenous capacity, deepen public-private collaboration, and transition toward Nigerian ownership of commercial vessels.
Also present at the meeting were Permanent Secretary of the Ministry, Mr. Olufemi Oloruntola; Managing Director/CEO of the National Inland Waterways Authority (NIWA), Mr. Munirudeen Bola Oyebamiji; Director-General of the NCSP, Mr. Joseph Tegbe; Managing Director of Anabel Capital, Dr. Nicholas Okoye; and Project Manager at NCSP, Ms. Lela Omo-Ikirodah.
The Nigeria–China Maritime Strategy forms part of broader efforts to translate strategic diplomacy into high-impact, private-sector-driven economic outcomes, in line with the Renewed Hope Agenda of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
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FG Boosts Local Energy Supply Chain

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The Federal Government says it is taking concrete steps to build a resilient local energy supply chain to cushion Nigeria against global disruptions that have increasingly threatened the stability of cross-border energy operations.
Speaking at the 2025 Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition of the Society of Petroleum Engineers in Lagos, the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources (Oil), Senator Heineken Lokpobiri, said Nigeria could no longer afford to rely solely on international supply chains amid rising uncertainties globally.
“On the matter of supply chain, we recognise the multifaceted challenges trade wars, sanctions, currency instability, regional conflicts, and security concerns.
“These disruptions have affected the flow of goods and services across borders”, he said.
The oil minister stated further, “While we continue to engage internationally, we must also strengthen local capacity and resilience to mitigate future shocks.”
Lokpobiri explained that these efforts are part of the government’s broader strategy to fortify the country’s energy ecosystem while expanding opportunities for local players.
He noted that the administration of President Tinubu has pursued deliberate and investment-driven reforms to position Nigeria as a preferred destination for energy investment.
“The Federal Government, under the leadership of President Tinubu, has pursued deliberate and investment-friendly policies aimed at positioning Nigeria as the leading destination of energy investors.
“The implementation of the Petroleum Industry Act has brought about liberalisation of the national sector, improved wealth and mobility, and boosted investor confidence.
“Through that solid base, executive orders, and other strategic incentives, we are making Nigeria increasingly attractive to both local and international partners”, he said.
He stated that this renewed investor confidence is evident in “the growing number of engagements we are having with foreign governments and private sector leaders exploring mutually beneficial collaborations.”
To further deepen Nigeria’s human capital and technical base in energy, the Minister announced the establishment of a new postgraduate energy university in Kaduna, through strategic partnerships with three top British universities.
He explained, “These efforts complement the ongoing participation of international professionals who have long contributed meaningfully to Nigeria’s energy development. To further deepen our capacity, we have established a postgraduate energy university in Kaduna.
“In line with our transnational education policy, we are partnering with three of the United Kingdom’s top universities to expand our field of specialised energy professionals, developing homegrown expertise in global-based practices.”
He closed his remarks with a call to action, urging stakeholders to collaborate toward building a sustainable and profitable energy future.
“In conclusion, I urge everyone here, industrial experts, policymakers, investors, and scholars, to actively engage, share insights, and chart solutions as we work toward a truly sustainable energy future.
“Let us leverage technology for innovation and profitability, strengthen our supply chains, develop our local and international human capital, and continue to foster a stable, environment-friendly, investment-friendly environment that this administration is committed to sustaining”, he stressed
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FOCPEN Seeks Direct Energy Purchase From GenCo

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The Forum for Commissioners of Power and Energy in Nigeria (FOCPEN) which are representatives of state governments have sought the signing of interim Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) for SubCos to buy energy directly from electricity Generation Companies (GenCos).
It is an indication that the state governments are seeking the application of the eligible customer regulation of 2017 that makes it possible for customers to purchase energy directly from the GenCos.
In this case, the states are requesting for agreements to bypass the DisCos in the value chain.
According to a press statement the forum issued from Abuja, “Such regulation may include a mandate for NBET to enter into direct or interim Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with SubCos.”
The forum also called on the Minister of Power, Chief Adebayo Adelabu to intervene and ask the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) and Enugu Electricity Distribution Company (EEDC) to restore electricity to the people of the state.
The EEDC had reduced energy allocation to the state owing to the decision of the Main Power Electricity Distribution Ltd to reduce band A tariff from N209/kWh to N160/kWh.
According to Main Power, EEDC has said implementing the adjusted tariff would cause a monthly loss of N1 billion. The EEDC has therefore reduced energy supply to the people of the state.
Responding to the situation, the FOCPEN stressed that “FOCPEN calls upon the Minister of Power, Chief Bayo Adelabu, to immediately intervene and prevail upon NERC and EEDC to reverse the power cuts and restore electricity to the people of Enugu State.”
The forum insisted  that as the chief policy maker for the sector, the Minister must take decisive action to stop the lawlessness by DisCos who can arbitrarily and without consequence deprive citizens of electricity.
The forum also said NERC must develop appropriate regulations that would allow SubCos enter into bilateral contracts with GenCos to procure wholesale power from the national grid.
The forum said the current arrangement, where SubCos receive power through their HoldCos is an anti-competitive practice that limits their operational autonomy within SEMs and creates a potential for abuse, as evidenced by the current crisis.
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