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‘16 Million Nigerians To Face Hunger Crisis By Jan 2027’

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At least 16.99 million Nigerians will face acute hunger by January 2027, the latest projections by the Famine Early Warning Systems Network have shown.

The figures are contained in FEWS NET’s Food Assistance Outlook Brief for July 2026 as the latest data on the deepening hunger crisis across conflict and climate-hit nations, including Nigeria.

FEWS NET, a United States Government-funded early warning body, projected that Nigeria’s population in need of urgent food assistance will fall between 16.0 million and 16.99 million by January 2027, down from a current figure of 20.0 million to 20.99 million in July 2026.

But the figure is still higher than the number recorded in January last year and above the country’s five-year average.

The report placed Nigeria fourth on the global list of countries with the highest number of hungry people, behind Sudan, Pakistan, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and ahead of Yemen and Afghanistan.

Nigeria was also named among just four countries expected to each contribute more than 10 per cent of the total 145 million to 155 million people projected to need food assistance across all 30 countries monitored by FEWS NET by January 2027. The others include Sudan, Pakistan, and the DRC.

The report is the latest in a series of periodic outlook accounts FEWS NET has published for two decades to warn governments and humanitarian agencies of looming hunger emergencies.

According to the report, the crisis is being driven by “conflict that disrupts livelihoods, restricts cultivation, and constrains household income” across northern Nigeria, even as the main harvest, expected to be completed in December, offers only partial relief.”

“Despite the completion of the main harvest in December, staple food prices are expected to remain high as production and supply disruptions coincide with high market reliance among conflict-affected households who are unable to cultivate,” the document stated.

It added that hardest-hit communities in the North-East, cut off by insecurity and movement restrictions linked to conflict, will remain in “Emergency.”

Emergency is the fourth of five hunger severity stages on the internationally recognised Integrated Food Security Phase Classification scale and is closely followed by famine.

Under the IPC scale, Emergency means households face large food consumption gaps reflected in high malnutrition and rising deaths, or can only avoid such gaps by selling off farmland, livestock, or other essential assets needed for future survival.

A breakdown of the data showed that Nigeria’s projected 16.0 million to 16.99 million hungry population represents between 5 and 10 per cent of the country’s total population, according to the report’s classification bands.

The figure is markedly lower than the current July 2026 tally of 20.0 million to 20.99 million, a seasonal dip FEWS NET attributes mainly to the December harvest.

However, when set against both January 2026 and the five-year historical average, the projected number is classified as “Higher,” meaning Nigeria’s hunger burden is worsening on a year-on-year and long-term basis, even as raw numbers fall from their mid-year peak.

According to the report, the “key shocks” driving Nigeria’s food crisis are conflict, economic hardship, and weather, the same factors cited for Sudan, Pakistan, and several other worst-hit nations.

Globally, the report’s country-by-country table ranked Nigeria’s current PIN of 20.0 million to 20.99 million as the second-highest in the world in July 2026, behind only Sudan’s 22.0 million to 22.99 million, and ahead of Pakistan’s 12.0 million to 12.99 million.

By January 2027, however, Pakistan is projected to overtake Nigeria, with its own hungry population rising sharply from 12 million to as high as 17.99 million, pushing Nigeria down to fourth position on the projected list.

The FEWS NET report projected that between 145 million and 155 million people, roughly 10 per cent of the population of all countries the network monitors, will need urgent food assistance by January 2027.

On a global scale, South Sudan was named the world’s worst-affected country by population share, with 50 to 55 per cent of its citizens expected to need food aid, followed by Sudan at 40 to 45 per cent, Yemen at 35 to 40 per cent, and Somalia at 30 to 35 per cent.

Sudan, Pakistan, Nigeria, and the DR Congo were flagged as carrying the single heaviest absolute burdens worldwide, while Yemen and Afghanistan were named as the next tier of major contributors.

The report also flagged five countries at risk of slipping into full-blown Famine, the most severe classification marked by starvation and extreme malnutrition-linked deaths.

Among them are Sudan, South Sudan, Somalia, Mali and the neighbouring Republic of Tchad, which hosts fleeing Sudanese refugees, and Mali.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network explained that its population-in-need estimate captures everyone already facing Crisis-level hunger or worse, IPC Phase 3 and above, including anyone who would fall into that category without ongoing humanitarian aid.

The agency said its confidence in figures for some countries is lower, especially for those where monitoring is done remotely rather than through on-the-ground teams.

For Nigeria, however, no such remote-monitoring caveat was applied, indicating the projection draws on the Network’s direct, in-country analysis.

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SERAP Drags FG To ECOWAS Court Over N78.8bn Cash Transfer

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The Socio-Economic Rights and Accountability Project (SERAP) has sued the Federal Government at the ECOWAS Community Court of Justice over alleged diversion, irregular expenditure and failure to account for N78.8bn allocated to cash-transfer and social-protection programmes.

SERAP, in a statement released by its Deputy Director, Kolawole Oluwadare, yesterday, said the allegations involved the Ministry of Humanitarian Affairs and Poverty Reduction, the National Cash Transfer Office and the National Social Safety Nets Coordinating Office.

The allegations were documented in the Auditor-General of the Federation’s 2024 Annual Report, published on August 7, 2026.

According to the report, the findings covered various periods between January 2023 and December 31, 2024.

In the suit, marked ECW/CCJ/APP/42/26 and filed last week, SERAP is seeking a declaration that the government’s failure to account for the funds violates Nigeria’s international human rights obligations.

The organisation is also asking the court to order the government to provide a comprehensive account of the questioned funds, investigate the alleged irregularities, recover any money improperly spent or diverted where established, and strengthen financial oversight of social-protection programmes.

SERAP argued that the alleged financial irregularities could undermine the rights of vulnerable Nigerians to social security and an adequate standard of living, including access to food, clothing and housing.

The statement party read, “The funds were intended to benefit over 3.2 million households across 35 states, whose access to financial assistance has been affected by the allegations made by the Auditor-General.”

The suit, filed by SERAP’s lawyers, Kolawole Oluwadare and Kehinde Oyewumi, stated that the government’s failure to investigate the allegations and recover any improperly spent funds violated its obligations to protect vulnerable households.

“The failure to investigate the N78.8 billion cash-transfer scandal, account for the questioned funds and recover any unlawfully spent amounts violates Nigeria’s obligations to protect the human rights of vulnerable households,” the suit partly read.

The organisation said it instituted the case to protect affected households and ensure accountability for public funds allocated for their benefit.

“SERAP brings this public-interest case to protect the interests of affected households and ensure accountability for public funds allocated for their benefit,” it stated.

The organisation maintained that cash-transfer programmes could help address extreme poverty and enable vulnerable people to meet their basic needs, but argued that the government had a duty to ensure the funds were properly managed.

“The right to social security cannot be effectively realised merely by establishing a formal cash-transfer programme where the State fails to maintain reasonable systems for identifying beneficiaries, maintaining records, reconciling disbursements, monitoring expenditure, investigating irregularities and remedying losses,” the statement further stated.

According to SERAP, the Auditor-General questioned approximately N33.751bn reportedly transferred to more than 3.2 million households across 35 states in 2023, noting that adequate records to verify the payments and reconcile beneficiary records were not provided.

The report also identified N36.744bn in payments allegedly made without prepayment audits, N4.616bn in unsupported expenditures, N350.182m for enrolment, N89.511m for store purchases and N17.422m in diesel advances.

SERAP said the suit was brought under Article 9(4) of the ECOWAS Court Protocol to protect affected households and ensure accountability for public funds intended for social protection.

“The issue is whether the government has discharged its obligations under applicable human-rights treaties to safeguard resources allocated for social protection, investigate documented financial irregularities, provide effective remedies and ensure that those resources are applied for their intended purposes,” it stated.

The organisation also cited the constitutional responsibility of the Auditor-General to audit and report on the public accounts of the Federation and the offices and agencies of the Federal Government, describing the findings in the annual report as important official records of public expenditure.

It relied on Articles 1 and 2 of the African Charter on Human and Peoples’ Rights, arguing that the government had obligations to give effect to protected rights and ensure that failures in administering social-protection programmes did not result in discriminatory exclusion or unequal access to benefits.

“The Nigerian government has the obligation to take effective measures to prevent and address corruption and related misuse of public resources. The government has failed to take appropriate measures in response to the allegations made by the Auditor-General”, the statement added.

SERAP said it had previously urged President Bola Tinubu and relevant authorities to account for the questioned funds, publish audit records, investigate irregular expenditures, recover any funds unlawfully spent or diverted and take appropriate action against those responsible.

Following the publication of the Auditor-General’s report, the organisation issued a public statement and sent a letter dated September 5, 2026, requesting action on the findings. It also sought payment and beneficiary records, verification documents and an explanation for the missing REMITA records.

“The deadline given to the government to address the Auditor-General’s findings had elapsed without adequate action,” it stated.

The organisation further cited Articles 1 and 21 of the African Charter, alongside Article 9 of the United Nations Convention against Corruption, as requiring effective measures to protect rights and resources, promote transparent public financial management, investigate irregularities and recover public funds where losses or improper expenditure were established.

SERAP also relied on the works of legal scholar Kolawole Olaniyan, including Corruption and Human Rights Law in Africa, published by Hart Publishing in 2014, and Ownership of Proceeds of Corruption in International Law, published by Oxford University Press in 2023. It said the publications provided persuasive academic authority on corruption’s effects on human rights, public resources, accountability and international legal remedies.

“SERAP accordingly submits that the Auditor-General’s findings cannot be treated merely as administrative irregularities where public funds allocated for social protection may have been lost, improperly spent or left unaccounted for, and the government fails to take effective corrective action,” the statement added.

SERAP is asking the court to direct the government to conduct an independent, prompt and effective investigation into the identified irregularities, recover public funds improperly spent, diverted or lost where established, and take appropriate legal or administrative action against those found responsible, in accordance with due process.

It also wants the government to strengthen financial accountability, beneficiary verification, auditing, reconciliation and oversight mechanisms to prevent a recurrence of the alleged irregularities and ensure that eligible vulnerable households receive their intended benefits.

The organisation is further seeking an order restraining the government from administering or disbursing cash-transfer and social-protection funds without adequate accountability and oversight mechanisms, as well as appropriate remedies for any established adverse effects on beneficiaries’ protected rights.

No date has, however, been fixed for the hearing of the suit.

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FG releases N38.93bn to upgrade 166 tertiary institutions

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The Federal Government has released N38.93bn to 166 public tertiary institutions nationwide under the Needs Assessment Revitalisation Fund to address infrastructure deficits and improve teaching and learning facilities.

The intervention covers 79 universities, 46 polytechnics and 41 colleges of education, with universities receiving the largest share of the allocation.

The Federal Ministry of Finance disclosed this in a statement issued on Sunday by its Head of Media, Efe Ovuakporie, explaining that the funds would support approved projects in beneficiary institutions.

The statement read, “The Federal Government has disbursed N38.93bn to 166 public tertiary institutions nationwide under the Needs Assessment Revitalisation Fund.”

According to the ministry, the university component accounts for N28.5bn, while N5.8bn has been allocated to polytechnics and N4.7bn to colleges of education.

According to the ministry, the university component accounts for N28.5bn, while N5.8bn has been allocated to polytechnics and N4.7bn to colleges of education.

An analysis of the allocations by PUNCH Online showed that universities would receive approximately 73.2 per cent of the announced N38.93bn intervention, making them the largest beneficiaries.

Polytechnics would account for about 14.9 per cent, while colleges of education would receive approximately 12.1 per cent.

The ministry explained that the intervention was intended to address longstanding infrastructure challenges in public tertiary institutions and support the implementation of agreements reached between the Federal Government and the Academic Staff Union of Universities.

It stated, “The intervention forms part of the Federal Government’s efforts to address the needs of public universities and support the implementation of agreed measures under the Memorandum of Understanding between the Federal Government and the Academic Staff Union of Universities.”

The Needs Assessment Revitalisation Fund is designed to support improvements in institutional infrastructure and other identified needs, particularly in public universities, where inadequate facilities have remained a recurring concern in negotiations between the government and academic unions.

The ministry said the latest disbursement would enable beneficiary institutions to begin new projects or continue previously approved interventions aimed at improving their operational capacity.

“The funds are expected to enable beneficiary institutions to commence or advance approved projects addressing critical infrastructure and other identified institutional needs, with the overall objective of strengthening the quality of tertiary education in Nigeria,” it added.

The government also emphasised the need for coordination among the Federal Ministry of Finance, Federal Ministry of Education and beneficiary institutions to ensure that the released funds produced measurable improvements.

It noted that effective collaboration would be necessary to translate the financial intervention into improved infrastructure, institutional capacity and learning conditions.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Senate Passes Bill For Establishment Of Federal University Of Agriculture In Rivers

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The bill to approve the establishment  of  the Federal University of Agriculture, Emughan, Abua-Odual Local Government Area of Rivers State has passed third reading.

The Bill, titled  “A Bill for an Act to Amend the Federal Universities of Agriculture Act, Cap. F22, Laws of the Federation of Nigeria, 2024” was sponsored by Senator Ipalibo Harry Banigo representing Rivers West Senatorial District.

The bill seeks to amend the existing Federal Universities of Agriculture Act to provide for the establishment of the proposed institution in Emughan community in Rivers State.

The passage of the bill by the Senate marks a significant legislative milestone towards the establishment of the proposed university.

When established, the institution is expected to expand access to higher education, promote agricultural research and innovation, develop skilled manpower, and contribute to the economic growth of Rivers State and Nigeria at large.

According to a statement made available to The Tide, the bill, having passed the Third Reading in the Senate, will now proceed to the House of Representatives for concurrence as part of the legislative process towards its enactment into law.

The bill underscores Senator Banigo’s  commitment to advancing educational opportunities and strengthening agricultural development in Rivers State.

By: Kevin Nengia

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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