Opinion
Fast Tracking NiMET’s Prediction 2023
At the amusement park the other day, a scene was created by a man who claimed that his wife had delivered a baby the previous day and he had no money to provide the basic things needed in the hospital. He came to the park and was approaching the fun seekers, soliciting for financial aid. A particular woman who did not like the “disturbance” reported him to the security men who immediately rushed to whisk him away. Expectedly, the needy man put up some resistance and that led to the fracas that attracted many people.Some people were asking why a man whose wife was pregnant for nine months never made plans to at least buy the basic things that will be needed upon the arrival of the baby. “How can you impregnate your wife and for nine months you could not buy even an ordinary diaper or powder. You waited until your wife delivered before you started running helter skelter looking for who to assist you? You no get shame?”, one man asked.
But is that man’s attitude not the same with that of many other Nigerians? As individuals, groups and institutions, we hardly seek solutions to our problems until it is too late. Someone’s vehicle will develop fault but he will not attend to it until it breaks down completely. A building will have a crack but the occupants and the owner will overlook it until the building collapses, killing some people. The example is endless and it occurs both on a small and large scale. Just look at the issue of flooding in Nigeria. Flooding has become a perennial problem in Nigeria. Although the degree and seriousness of the natural disaster fluctuates, flooding remains a recurring phenomenon in most parts of the country. In 2012, the country was hit by devastating floods which affected 32 states, killing more than 360 people and displacing almost two million others. The seriousness of the flooding was attributed to a combination of two events: very heavy local rainfall and the release of excess water from the Lagdo Dam in Cameroon.
Ten years later, the release of water from the same Lagdo Dam was largely blamed for the worst floods ever experienced in the country. The Minister of Aviation, Hadi Sirika, recently disclosed that devastating floods witnessed in many parts of the country in 2022 led to the death of over 600 people and displacement of over 2.4 million. It also affected investments in agriculture, transport infrastructure, houses, power lines worth millions of dollars.It was a very difficult time for many Nigerians whose homes and property were submerged. Roads were damaged. Some high ways in Lokoja, Kogi State axis were taken over by flood. We recall the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) blaming Lokoja highway flood for the acute fuel scarcity in Abuja and its environ at that time. The rains are almost here, what measures have been put in place to prevent a repeat of the ugly experiences of the previous years?
A few weeks ago, the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), unveiled its 2023 Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP), which predicted an early rainfall Onset date in some states. Although the NiMet forecast has predicted a largely normal rainfall pattern, it also indicated a high possibility of flash floods in some states. NiMet Director-General, Prof. Mansur Matazu, said there was likely to be elevated dry spell in some states of the north with potential adverse impact on planted crops. In the aspect of health, the SCP disclosed that high vigilance for malaria is anticipated in the coastal zone of the country as early as January 2023 and spreads northwards as the year progresses, covering up to parts of Taraba, Benue, Kogi, Kwara and Nasarawa states in north central zone of the country.
Also, high vigilance for meningitis was anticipated over the extreme northeast of the country, covering most of Borno, Yobe and parts of Jigawa states, as early as January 2023, and as the year progressed, the area under high vigilance threshold extended southwards and reached the maximum extent in March 2023. “With the early onset and ample amount of rains expected and the experiences of the year 2022, it would be good to know that the water table has not gone too low and the aquifers are still very much active across the country and as such there could be chances of flash floods over many places, largely due to poor sanitation practices. These floods could lead to the outbreak of diseases, fatalities and the destruction of property”, Matazu said.The big question is, what are we as individuals and a country doing with this prediction?
Are measures underway to prevent the preventable ones and mitigate the effect or are we, like the man at the amusement park, whose wife was delivered of a baby, just folding our hands waiting until the disaster happens before we start running up and down, providing palliative materials and all what not? Reports have it that an agreement was reached between Nigeria and Cameroon for Nigeria to build a counterpart dam that would take in water from Lagdo whenever Cameroonian authorities open that dam. That gave rise to the commencement of the construction of the Dasin Hausa Dam in Adamawa State which is said to be two times the size of Lagdo Dam. The Dasin Hausa Dam which is meant to serve as a form of shock absorber to flood in Nigeria is yet to be completed since 1982. What has been done in this regard since last year?
At the peak of last year’s flood, the Minister of Humanitarian Affairs and Disaster Management, Sadiya Farouq, told newsmen in Abuja that the excess water released by Cameroonian authorities from the country’s Lagdo Dam compounded the flooding in Nigeria and that her ministry would initiate bilateral talks with the Cameroonians in November on the periodic opening of Lagdo dam. Has this been done? What is the outcome? Similarly, President Mohammadu Buhari, within the same period, ordered the Minister of Water Resources to give him a prevention plan on flood in 90 days. It has been more than 90 days since then, has the minister complied with the order? Is the plan being implemented? As the NiMET boss stated, the essence of the weather predictions is for the government at all levels, farmers and even individuals to be guided in their planning process so as to reduce the risk of disaster. The predictions are supposed to guide the appropriate authorities to either avert the problem or mitigate the impact.
Apparently, flooding is not peculiar to Nigeria. It is a global problem which experts say is majorly caused by climate change, which has been shown to contribute to more extreme storms and rainfall. Some have also attributed the problem to rapid urban growth, poor planning and uncontrolled development, indiscriminate disposal of waste, poor drainage system and lots more. but the difference is that while many countries prioritise these environmental challenges and seek timely and lasting solutions to them, ours are more concerned about politics and their selfish gains and pay little or no attention to environmental issues. It is therefore high time, both federal, state governments and the appropriate ministries, parastatals and regulatory agencies sat up and took their responsibilities seriously towards the betterment of our environment. They should ensure strict adherence to the development plans, dredge the major rivers in the country, and implement other good and realistic suggestions of environmental experts.
However, the desired result cannot be achieved without the collaborative effort of the citizens who must desist from dumping refuse indiscriminately, particularly in water channels and erecting structures on water ways. As the rains are almost here, let us clean our drainages to make for easy passages of water. Let us help the government to help us.
By: Calista Ezeaku
Opinion
Ken Saro-Wiwa’s Unfinished Struggle (I)
On November 10, 1995, the Nigerian military government of General Sani Abacha executed Ken Saro-Wiwa and eight other Ogoni leaders after a deeply controversial trial. Their deaths marked one of the darkest chapters in Nigeria’s history. At a time when fear silenced citizens and sycophancy flourished around military power, Saro-Wiwa chose to confront tyranny. Many Nigerians retreated into silence, while others praised the regime to secure favour. He knew the risks, yet refused to abandon a people whose land had been devastated by oil exploration and whose lives remained trapped in poverty. His courage arose from the conviction that public responsibility sometimes demands resistance to authority. Saro-Wiwa understood that speaking against a military government could lead to imprisonment or death.
Nonetheless, he believed the suffering of the Ogoni people demanded a courageous response. While oil was extracted from their land, they were left with polluted rivers, damaged farmland, declining livelihoods and an environment hostile to human survival. Fishing grounds and sources of livelihood were threatened, while the people struggled to secure basic amenities. The wealth beneath their soil brought neither adequate development nor a fair share of national resources. For him, silence in the face of injustice would have amounted to complicity. Through the Movement for the Survival of the Ogoni People (MOSOP), he organised a peaceful campaign that took the Ogoni question to the international community. MOSOP gave ordinary people an organised platform through which to express their grievances and insist on recognition.
The Ogoni Bill of Rights, presented to the Federal Government in 1990, demanded political autonomy, economic justice, environmental protection and control over the people’s resources. The campaign exposed the human and ecological costs of oil operations, particularly those associated with Shell, and challenged the apparent alliance between corporate interests and an unresponsive State. The Ogoni struggle became a defining expression of minority rights and environmental justice in Nigeria and Africa. Saro-Wiwa’s writings and mobilisation drew attention to communities treated as expendable because of their limited population and political influence. He argued that numerical strength should never determine a people’s value or rights.
A minority community does not become less deserving of justice because it cannot command electoral numbers or political power. In Nigeria, every ethnic group deserves dignity, protection and a fair opportunity to benefit from the commonwealth. Rather than respond to peaceful agitation with dialogue, the Abacha regime resorted to repression. Ogoni leaders were harassed, detained and killed; others fled into exile. The crisis intensified after four Ogoni chiefs were killed in May 1994. Saro-Wiwa and other MOSOP leaders were arrested, tried by a special tribunal and executed despite international appeals for clemency and serious concerns about the trial’s fairness. The executions drew worldwide condemnation and intensified scrutiny of Nigeria’s human-rights record and oil companies in the Niger Delta.
They demonstrated the danger of using State institutions to suppress peaceful demands. The proceedings remain a reminder of the need for judicial independence and due process. Saro-Wiwa’s courage rested on the conviction that justice must be pursued despite the cost. His method combined non-violent resistance, public education and grassroots organisation. His struggle recalled the civil-rights campaign of Martin Luther King Jr. and the power of peaceful mobilisation against injustice. Saro-Wiwa linked environmental degradation to political exclusion, economic exploitation and the denial of democratic rights. Oil-producing communities, he insisted, should not remain zones from which wealth is removed to develop other parts of the country.
Their people must benefit through roads, schools, healthcare, jobs and clean water. Resource extraction carries a duty to protect host communities. His argument extended to the structure of the Nigerian federation. He challenged a revenue-allocation system that made oil-producing communities bear the environmental and social costs of extraction without commensurate benefits. Like advocates of fiscal federalism, he believed resources should be managed and shared equitably. He envisaged a society in which no community would be disadvantaged by its size, ethnicity, political affiliation, culture or religion. His vision was a country bound together by justice and equal citizenship. Saro-Wiwa was also a gifted writer, dramatist and public intellectual.
Through books, essays, plays and television, he documented Nigerian society’s contradictions and challenged abuses of power. His popular television series, Basi and Company, demonstrated his creative range, while his leadership of the Association of Nigerian Authors encouraged writers to engage national questions. He believed literature should not be detached from society’s struggles. His pen exposed environmental injustice, political repression and the dangers of silencing courageous voices. He used storytelling, satire and drama to shape public consciousness and expose social contradictions. His literary achievements gave his activism wider reach and made the Ogoni experience part of national conversation. His commitment to the Ogoni people extended beyond the oil question.
During the Civil War, he worked to protect his vulnerable community. He urged younger generations to reject subservience and complacency and pursue change through lawful, peaceful means. Citizens, he believed, must not surrender their responsibility to challenge wrong doing. An injury to one community threatens the rights and security of all. The return to democratic government in 1999 and the establishment of the Niger Delta Development Commission, the Ministry of Niger Delta Affairs and the Hydrocarbon Pollution Remediation Project (HYPREP) are among developments that have kept the region’s demands in public view. Saro-Wiwa did not create these institutions, but his movement helped expose the urgency of intervention and sustain pressure for redress.
His death made it harder to ignore the Niger Delta’s environmental and political grievances. Yet, interventionist institutions do not prove that the original demands have been met. Their effectiveness depends on competent leadership, transparent spending, measurable outcomes and community participation. Yet, thirty-one years after his execution, the central concerns of the Ogoni struggle remain unresolved. The HYPREP-led clean-up has offered hope, but many residents await meaningful improvements. Questions persist about the programme’s pace, quality and transparency, and whether its benefits reach ordinary people. A clean-up should be judged not by ceremonies or contracts, but by restored land and waterways, safe drinking water, improved livelihoods and better public health.
It must include long-term monitoring to ensure treated sites remain safe. Residents deserve information about contamination, remediation methods and completion timelines. Reports that water projects in Gwara and Ebubu Communities, in Khana and Eleme Local Government Areas respectively, failed weeks after commissioning have raised further concerns. If confirmed, the failures would indicate weaknesses in supervision, procurement and quality control.
To be continued in our next edition.
Taneh Beemene
Opinion
Reforming NYSC For Practical National Service
The National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) was established in 1973, after the Nigerian Civil War, to promote national unity, reconciliation and integration. By deploying graduates beyond their States of origin, its founders hoped to encourage understanding among Nigeria’s diverse peoples and help rebuild a divided country. However, the difficulties confronting corps members and their families now demand a comprehensive review. For many graduates, national service has become a period of uncertainty, financial pressure and exposure to risks. Parents who have spent years financing their children’s education must still find money for transportation, camp necessities, accommodation, feeding and other expenses. The monthly allowance may provide some relief, but often cannot meet the cost of living, especially where the place of primary assignment offers no accommodation or support.
Security is another serious concern. Corps members may be posted to communities affected by kidnapping, communal violence, insurgency or other threats. Government cannot eliminate every danger, but it must assess locations, provide reliable security information and avoid deployments where safety cannot reasonably be assured. National service should promote patriotism, not expose graduates to preventable harm. There is also the problem of securing meaningful places of primary assignment. A graduate trained in engineering may perform duties unrelated to engineering; a journalist may spend the year in an office with no opportunity to practise journalism. Graduates in agriculture, health, education and other specialised fields may likewise be assigned routine tasks that contribute little or nothing to their professional growth. Some depend on personal contacts or incur expenses to obtain suitable placements.
A year is significant for a young graduate entering a competitive labour market. National service should not be merely a compulsory waiting period before the search for employment begins. It should help bridge the gap between academic learning and practical work. The time has therefore come to review the structure of NYSC, not necessarily abolish it. I propose that the one-year programme should become vocational and professionally oriented. Graduates should, as far as practicable, be posted to institutions where they can gain supervised experience in their fields of study. Teachers should serve in schools; health graduates in suitable health facilities; engineers in technical organisations and public works departments; agricultural graduates in farms and extension services; and communication graduates in media and public information establishments.
NYSC should partner with ministries, state and local governments, private companies, professional bodies, universities, hospitals, schools and credible organisations to identify genuine training opportunities. Each member should have defined duties, a supervisor and clear learning objectives. At the end of the year, each should receive a record of duties performed and competencies acquired. The reform must also address remuneration and welfare. Corps members should receive fair pay that reflects the demands of their placements, while host organisations should provide reasonable support where possible. Government must establish transparent funding arrangements so that the new system does not become another burden imposed on employers or parents. Transport or accommodation assistance should be considered for difficult postings.
Graduates seeking jobs after service would have more than a discharge certificate: they would possess practical experience, workplace discipline and demonstrable skills. Employers would gain access to young people who have received supervised preparation. However, professional relevance should not erase the scheme’s founding objective of national integration. Inter-State deployment can remain, provided it is balanced with security, suitable placements and the availability of basic facilities. Where a safe and meaningful placement cannot be guaranteed outside a graduate’s State, an alternative should be considered. Orientation and community development activities can continue to promote cultural exchange, citizenship and service.
The Federal Government and NYSC management should convene consultations involving corps members, parents, universities, employers, security agencies and State Governments. Decisions should be based on evidence and the experiences of serving and former corps members. NYSC was created to help rebuild a nation divided by war. Its ideals remain important, but institutions must adapt to changing realities. Success should not be measured only by the number of graduates mobilised or certificates issued. It should also be measured by the skills acquired, the contribution made and whether young Nigerians complete their service safely and with dignity. It can better preserve the scheme’s founding ideals while meeting today’s economic and professional needs. A vocationally driven; adequately remunerated NYSC would turn national service from a costly obligation into a bridge between education, employment and national development. The purpose should not simply be to occupy graduates for twelve months, but to prepare them to work, serve and contribute meaningfully to Nigeria’s future.
Sylvia ThankGod-Amadi
Opinion
Protecting Nigeria’s Democratic Space
Quote: “Democracy is not
As the 2027 general elections
Organisers said they had
Police intervention
In Kaduna, the ADC accused
These claims require prompt
These rights apply equally to
No ambition, party or
By: Sylvia ThankGod-Amadi
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