Oil & Energy
Income Investors Returning To Oil, Gas Stocks
Some investors have started to see oil and gas stocks as income investment stocks rather than boom-and-bust cyclical stocks, as many others still believe. Record cash flows and profits of the past two quarters have prompted many oil and gas firms to boost dividends or pay special variable dividends, as is the case with U.S. shale producers.
Many more expanded and increased their share buyback programmes. The record profits and the cash flow bonanza could lay the foundations for more stable dividend payouts to shareholders, some investors believe. But others continue to see the industry as a cyclical business that slashes dividends when oil prices plunge.
The question for all investors going forward will be whether the industry will continue to keep disciplined spending and use more of its cash flows to reward shareholders.
Oil firms have pledged this much over the past two quarters, looking to attract investors and pay current shareholders who have stuck with their stocks through thick and thin over the past few years.
But what will oil companies do during the next bust? Will they be able to keep the current policy of rewarding shareholders more? Or will they resort, once again, to slashing or suspending dividends, as they did in the two major oil price busts of the past decade?
“The industry has seen a permanent transition to almost a high-yield, income space,” Morningstar analyst, David Meats, told Bloomberg while noting that the almost income-investment profile of oil stocks is unlikely to persist.
The current high dividend yields could be seen as a risk premium for investors for the cyclical nature of the stocks, Meats said.
Right now, oil stocks are looking attractive by some metrics. Analysts say that energy stocks are much cheaper than other sectors based on forward-year price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios.
Year to date, the energy sector has been the top-performing sector in the S&P 500 index, according to market data compiled by Yardeni Research.
The energy sector in the S&P 500 had gained 31.9 percent year to date to September 29. In comparison, S&P 500 is down 23.6 percent, and all other sectors have also lost ground since January.
Equity strategists, portfolio managers, and retail investors have grown increasingly bullish on energy stocks, the latest Bloomberg MLIV Pulse survey carried out in early September shows.
The poll of 814 respondents, including retail and portfolio investors, risk managers, buy-side and sell-side traders, equity strategists, and economists, showed that two-thirds of all respondents intended to increase their exposure to energy-related stocks and bonds over the next six months.
Moreover, nearly half—or 44 percent—of respondents say the current price of oil doesn’t adequately reflect actual supply and demand.
Stocks could remain attractive in the medium term, too, some analysts say.
“With the average company approaching ‘debt free’ status by early 2023, their ability to increase shareholder returns in the form of dividends and buybacks may be much greater,” Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager at Ninepoint Partners, said this week.
“Even with the rally earlier this year, energy stocks remained inexpensive and failed to even moderately embed an oil price above $100,” Nuttall added.
Stacey Morris, head of energy research at VettaFi, commented in mid-September on the observation that “energy stocks and oil happily decouple.”
“Oil prices typically dictate the direction of energy stocks, but thankfully for energy investors, that has not been the case over the last several weeks. Oil prices have seen three straight months of price declines and are down more than 30 percent from their relative high in June, but one may not realize that by looking at energy stock performance,” Morris said.
And she asked the million-dollar question: “Are investors finally looking past the volatility in oil prices to the actual merits of energy companies and the way they are returning cash to investors?”
By: Tsvetana Paraskova
Paraskova reports for Oilprice.com.
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Delta Targets 120MW Power Boost, Moves To Cut Reliance On National Grid
The State Commissioner for Works (Rural Roads) and Public Information, Charles Aniagwu, disclosed this at a press conference in Asaba, weekend, noting that the initiative was part of wider reforms aimed at opening up the power sector to private investors.
Aniagwu, who was accompanied by the Executive Assistant to the Governor on New Media, Felix Ofou, said the state was exploring alternative sources of electricity to support businesses, households and communities while reducing pressure on the national grid.
He said the government was particularly interested in exploiting Delta’s abundant natural gas resources for power generation, pointing to the Kwale Free Trade Zone, which is part of the state’s special economic zone, as a major opportunity for investors.
According to him, prospective investors were taken to the zone during the state’s recent economic summit to enable them to assess the availability of gas as a key raw material for electricity generation. ComparePower Rates
The commissioner explained that generating more electricity locally would not only increase supply in Delta but also free up power on the national grid for use by other consumers.
Aniagwu cited the 8.5MW Independent Power Plant located behind the state secretariat in Asaba as an example of what could be achieved through alternative power sources.
He said the facility had enabled the secretariat complex to operate independently of the national grid, thereby making the electricity that would otherwise have been consumed there available to other users.
He added that the planned 120MW partnership with Supply Power would further strengthen the state’s electricity supply capacity and provide a more reliable power base for small and medium-sized enterprises.
Aniagwu said the state government was also intervening in areas traditionally regarded as the responsibility of electricity distribution companies because inadequate power supply could no longer be allowed to constrain economic development. LearnQuantum Physics
He identified the extension of the electricity grid from Abraka towards the Ndokwa axis as one of the interventions being undertaken to connect more communities to electricity.
The commissioner, however, raised concerns over the burden placed on communities that are often required to provide transformers and other electricity infrastructure, only for distribution companies to take over the facilities and subsequently collect electricity bills without adequately accounting for the investments made by the communities.
He said the state would continue to support efforts aimed at energising communities, noting that improved electricity supply would stimulate businesses, create jobs and help tackle social problems associated with unemployment and idleness.
On regulation, Aniagwu said the government was working with the Ministry of Energy and a committee set up to develop an appropriate regulatory framework for the state’s emerging power sector. SwitchEnergy Plans
He said the proposed energy commission would be responsible for regulating new electricity producers, determining appropriate tariffs and overseeing distribution networks.
The commissioner stressed that liberalising the sector required effective regulation to protect consumers and investors, adding that decisions on power distribution infrastructure, including the use of overhead or underground lines, must take into account the peculiarities and safety requirements of each location.
He warned that power expansion without adequate regulation could expose residents to electrocution and other hazards, stressing the need to protect electricity infrastructure while ensuring consumers were not subjected to unfair pricing.
Aniagwu said the state government’s broader objective was to build an efficient and sustainable electricity market driven by private investment and capable of powering businesses, households and communities across Delta State.
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