Editorial
Fuel Scarcity: Lessons Unheeded
It is no longer news that fuel scarcity has resurfaced
across the nation rather menacingly, holding Nigerians by the jugular and jolting the citizenry from the reverie of years of enjoying steady fuel supply. And as if history was playing a cruel trick, the return of fuel scarcity is happening precisely three years after the last incident.
As usual, petroleum products marketers and black market operators, obsessed with profit maximisation at the slightest opportunity, have always looked forward to times like this to hoard products and to inflict pain on the masses of this country.
Already, the current fuel scarcity has grounded economic activities across the country as the cost of moving men and materials hit the roof. Commuters, most of whom are workers were stranded and had to trek long distances to their various places of work late. The net effect is the avoidable loss of manhours.
Despite the ultimatum given to the Petroleum Minister, Mrs Diezani Allison-Madueke to contain the fuel scarcity within five days, scarcity has persisted nationwide with the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) going for between N250 to N350 per litre at the black market.
Only few days ago, both the petroleum minister and the director, Department of Petroleum Resources (DPR) advised the general public not to panic as there was no fuel scarcity. The duo, at different fora, said there are enough product in stock, but pointed accusing fingers to the marketers for allegedly causing the problem.
The Tide understands that the present scarcity may not be unconnected with the refusal of the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulation Agency (PPPRA), to release an alleged N100 billion fuel subsidy claims owed the oil marketers for the importation of fuel for the second half of 2013.
The oil marketers, who threatened to withdraw importation until government paid their arrears, made good their threat, and returned the nation to the ugly experiences of the past. This left the NNPC as the only importer of fuel to meet national demand which is over 35 million litres of PMS per day.
Notwithstanding the blame game of the dramatis personae in the present fuel crisis, the nation seems not to have heeded or imbibed the lessons which the fuel scarcity had offered in the past. Not even the trouble of looking for the product at a much higher price was considered.
Indeed, the re-emergence of the saga, years after the protest against the planned removal of subsidy from petroleum products, has caused many people to question the wisdom behind the protest against the plan of the Federal Government to remove fuel subsidy.
Fuel scarcity and the associated evils as experienced across the country in the past weeks were what the government aimed at stopping when it proposed to remove the subsidy. But civil society members, propped by some powerful politicians, shut down the plan.
The expectation was to privatise the sector and ensure uninterrupted fuel supply, create jobs, utilise the by-products and achieve fair competition that would have also reduced the price of petroleum products in the country in the long run.
Sadly, a noisy minority had their way and succeeded in the establishment of SURE-P programme that has failed to shield the generality of Nigeirans from the ills of fuel scarcity or eliminate corruption behind the subsidy regime.
While we condemn the return of fuel scarcity, The Tide thinks that it is self-inflicted as the lessons of the past were neither heeded nor the introduction of international best practice respected.
After the protest, the Federal Government issued more licences for private refineries and tried to privatise the four refineries, all with a view to averting fuel scarcity, but were resisted by the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN) and the National Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG). This primitive interference in an age where the leading economies are all privatised can only be condemnable.
More Nigeria National Petroleum Corporation’s Subsidiary, PPPRA issued allocation late, the nation’s reserves could have served the country for 20 days when new supplies were expected to have arrived but marketers decided to suffer Nigerians.
The Tide thinks that it was high time the Federal Government went on to do the right thing to save the country from this embarrassment. This is moreso, because if government gets it right with the petroleum industry, nearly everything else will fall in line.
Enough of this vicious circle. Nigeria should not continue to suffer because of the petty interest of a few people. If the United States had about 150 refineries by 1983 with 143 now functioning optimally, Nigeria certainly needs more than the present four. Nigeria should not continue to import finished petroleum products but must do everything possible to refine its abundant hydrocarbon resources in-country not only to create jobs but to also boost the nation’s economic growth. The country must create the environment for private refineries to work.
Editorial
2027: Beyond IGP’s Billboards Protection Order
As Nigeria moves toward the 2027 general elections and campaign activities intensify, violence against opposition politicians has become an issue that can no longer be overlooked. What should be a season of competing ideas is increasingly turning into a test of intimidation, and early signs suggest that those challenging the ruling establishment are the primary targets.
It was, therefore, welcome news when the Inspector-General of Police, Olatunji Disu, warned politicians, political thugs and others against destroying, defacing or removing campaign posters, banners and billboards. In a statement issued in Abuja by the Force Public Relations Officer, CSP Ani Iniedu, the police condemned such acts as political intolerance, directed Commissioners of Police in all 36 States and the Federal Capital Territory to take preventive measures, and warned that sponsors would also face prosecution. The police rightly described such vandalism as a criminal act that undermines parties’ and candidates’ freedom to canvass for votes.
But billboards are replaceable; human lives are not. While applauding the IGP’s stance, we urge him to extend the same stern warning and enforcement zeal to thugs who assault opposition members during campaigns. A police force that punishes the tearing of a poster but ignores the breaking of a skull will have its priorities questioned. Allowing such attacks to continue could erode the foundations of our democracy.
Consider the African Democratic Congress (ADC) presidential campaign flag-off in Sokoto State on November 4, 2026. The party alleged that the State Government denied it access to public facilities, sealed its campaign venue and pressured hotels to reject its delegates, forcing it to hold the rally at its secretariat. The Sokoto authorities, however, denied instructing hotels to turn guests away. More seriously, two suspected ADC supporters were reportedly shot along the Sokoto–Wurno Road while travelling to the venue, allegedly by operatives of the Sokoto State Community Guards.
Whatever the truth of these competing accounts, a shooting demands more than press statements. It requires a transparent, independent investigation and prosecution where warranted. Sokoto was not an isolated incident. The following day in Birnin Kebbi, the ADC presidential campaign convoy was reportedly attacked by armed gangs. Amnesty International said vehicles were vandalised, people assaulted with cutlasses and roads blocked, while the party’s Kebbi governorship candidate, Abubakar Malami, alleged that media equipment was destroyed and tear gas deployed. His convoy had suffered a similar attack in the city in September 2025.
The Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) has suffered similar attacks. On November 4, hoodlums stoned the motorcade of its presidential candidate, Peter Obi, and running mate, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, at Watt Market roundabout in Calabar, Cross River State. Police reported arresting a 27-year-old suspect, Victor Edet, although it remains unclear whether he has been arraigned. The State Government has denied suggestions that ruling-party supporters were responsible. Worse, in Asaba, Delta State, one person was killed and five injured when suspected thugs attacked an NDC rally. A death at a political rally is no longer a warning; it is a damning indictment of the prevailing political climate.
Even critics of the establishment who are not frontrunners have not been spared. Omoyele Sowore, presidential candidate of the African Action Congress (AAC), was attacked by suspected thugs at a restaurant in Ado-Ekiti on October 30. He alleged that the assailants were linked to the Ekiti State Government House and that the Department of State Services leaked his location. Both the State Government and the security service denied involvement, while the police reported a minor injury and a discreet investigation. These conflicting accounts make an independent, publicly reported inquiry indispensable.
What deepens the concern is the Federal Government’s apparent silence. We are unaware of any specific, forceful condemnation of these assaults, even as All Progressives Congress (APC) rallies appear to proceed nationwide without incident. Such silence can easily be misconstrued as complicity, regardless of intent.
According to the Centre for Democracy and Development, 109 election-related deaths were recorded in the build-up to the 2023 polls. The Kimpact Development Initiative separately documented 238 incidents and 24 deaths during the general elections. Beyond Nigeria, Kenya’s 2007–08 post-election violence claimed more than 1,000 lives, according to the Waki Commission. Ghana, by contrast, enacted the Vigilantism and Related Offences Act in 2019 to curb party vigilante groups, a model worth studying.
The remedies are neither exotic nor expensive. The IGP should extend his directive to cover assaults on individuals and disruptions of rallies, while establishing a dedicated investigative unit to probe the Sokoto shooting and the attacks in Kebbi, Calabar, Asaba and Ado-Ekiti. It should publish the status of each case within a fixed period. Suspects must be prosecuted and their sponsors, regardless of party or position, brought to justice. State-backed security outfits, including the Community Guards, should be audited and barred from partisan duties.
The Federal Government must speak and act unequivocally. President Tinubu should specifically condemn attacks on opposition candidates and direct all security agencies to guarantee equal protection for every party. Governors must ensure equal access to public facilities for registered parties. The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), which has warned of fines and imprisonment under the Electoral Act 2026 for inflammatory campaign conduct, should enforce the Code of Conduct for Political Parties. Working with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security, it should publish a joint security plan covering campaigns, polling, and collation. Parties must discipline their supporters, courts expedite electoral-violence trials, and civil society and the media maintain a public record of incidents and their outcomes.
The credibility of the 2027 elections is at stake. An election is credible only when every contender can campaign, travel, assemble and speak freely, without fear. Without a free opposition, there can be no meaningful democracy. Nigeria is not a one-party State, and law enforcement agencies must demonstrate their neutrality through action, not communiqués. The campaign atmosphere is too tense to be left to chance. Billboards deserve protection, certainly, but citizens deserve it far more.
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