Editorial
Those Alarming Poverty Statistics
Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics released a disturbing data of the deteriorating standard of living in Nigeria.
The Statistician General of the Federation, Dr Yemi Kale at a media briefing in Abuja, confirmed what has been speculated in many quarters that absolute poverty is on an upward swing even as the country looks forward to celebrate 12 years of unbroken democratic rule in May this year.
According to the bureau, an estimated 71.5 per cent of the population was relatively poor while 62.8 per cent wallow in absolute poverty. The figure showed an increase of 2.5 per cent rate as against the 69 per cent recorded in 2010.
This means that with a population of 156 million, about 112.52 million Nigerians live below poverty line.
While the relative poverty level refers to living standards of majority of the people in any given society, the absolute poverty relates to the minimal requirements necessary to afford minimal standards of food, clothing, healthcare and shelter.
The national poverty data is indeed mind-burgling, but it is even more so when taken on geo-political and state basis. For instance, the North West and North East zones of the country that accounted for the highest poverty rates recorded 77.7 per cent and 76.3 per cent, respectively. The South West, which accounted for the lowest rate, recoded as high as 59.1 per cent as at the end of 2010.
It is even more heart-rending to notice that a particular state, Sokoto, had the highest number of poor people in the country, with 86.4 per cent of its population identified as not enjoying good living standards.
Just as poverty permeates through over three quarters of Nigerian families, poverty’s handmaidens; hunger, ignorance and disease, have remained like implacable monsters.
It is an undeniable fact that very few Nigerians enjoy three square meals a day. This was the situation that prompted the Olusegun Obasanjo civilian administration to experiment on a free meal programme for school children a couple of years ago.
Access to qualitative education and healthcare has also remained the exclusive preserve of a few rich Nigerians and political office holders who can afford them even beyond the shores of Nigeria.
According to a United Nations report published last year, life expectancy in Nigeria is as low as 48.4 years. The same report also put the Human Development Index (HDI) at 0.423, which ranked the country 142 out of 169 countries with comparable data.
Though the HDI of Sub-Saharan Africa increased from 0.295 in 1980 to 0.389 in 2010, Nigeria is just ranked a little above the sub-regional average.
The HDI trend tells an important story both at the national and regional levels, and highlights the very wide gaps in well-being and life chances that continue to divide our interconnected world.
Nigeria’s expenditure on public health as at 2010 was put at 1.7 per cent of the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), while under five mortality stood at 186 out of every 1,000 live births. It is no longer news that Nigeria has continued to feature in the list of countries that stood the least chance of achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
Measures to try to redress the disturbing trend has never been more urgent than now that extreme poverty has also been implicated as among the root causes of the recent threat of insecurity in the country by the Boko Haram sect.
Even as we acknowledge the efforts by the federal and some state governments at wresting the nation’s populace from the stranglehold of poverty through the creation of more employment opportunities for women and youths as exemplified by the Subsidy Reinvestment and Empowerment Programme (SURE), we make bold to say that the efforts will remain largely ineffectual if they are not concerted.
For instance, the war to eliminate corruption must be fought at all levels and from all fronts. The heads of all public and private institutions must see themselves as vanguards in the corruption war. If corruption is eliminated and resources are appropriately deployed, certainly the nation will begin to experience development in all sectors.
It is by eliminating corruption that we have conserve funds for education, healthcare and power supply, road infrastructure and agriculture which are some of the key areas that must be stimulated for poverty to be consigned to the dustbin of history. Also, adequate power supply is bound to reactivate the manufacturing sector, and with a vibrant agricultural sector, millions of jobs will be created.
There is again the need to discourage excessive importation which takes a large chunk of our foreign exchange. To do so, government must enforce regulations on product quality so that we do not just manufacture products that cannot stand in the face of competition from imported brands.
To grant access to quality healthcare for the citizenry, the National Health Insurance Scheme must be strengthened. Again, access to education must continue to be widened through free education.
To eliminate poverty, we must eliminate ignorance. Ignorant people do not create wealth, they engage in social crime as a way of fighting back against their perceived negligence.
Above all, free and fair election is key to restoring people’s confidence in their leaders, and without leaders chosen by the people, there can be no trust and participation of people in development programmes. Hence such programmes are bound to fail.
Governments at all levels must take a critical look at the recent statistics to see that the much touted dividends of democracy are yet to trickle down to the millions of Nigerians from who our leaders claim to derive their authority.
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INEC’s Threat Alert Deserves Urgent Attention
The Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) disclosure of an alleged plot to target its ad hoc personnel ahead of the 2027 general elections demand urgent national attention. The reported arrest of suspects, with intelligence support from the Department of State Services (DSS), is encouraging, but must not breed complacency. Any attack on electoral workers threatens not only human lives but also Nigerians’ constitutional right to choose their leaders through credible elections. The alleged conspiracy must be thoroughly investigated, its sponsors identified and all those found culpable prosecuted.
Particularly troubling is the reported targeting of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members, who play a vital role in Nigeria’s electoral process. Many serve far from home and undertake sensitive assignments at polling units and other electoral locations. As civilians, they should not be exposed to intimidation, abduction or violence without adequate protection. If election workers are vulnerable, the safety of other officials, observers and voters cannot be guaranteed.
Nigeria’s electoral history offers painful lessons. Human Rights Watch reported in Nigeria’s Post-Election Violence, published in May 2011, that more than 800 people died in the violence following the 2011 general elections. NYSC members serving as electoral officials were among the victims. This tragedy underscores the deadly consequences of political tension, incitement and disputed outcomes. Nigeria must act on the latest warning before another preventable disaster occurs.
INEC deserves recognition for uncovering the alleged plot, while the DSS and other security agencies merit commendation for their reported assistance. However, arrests are only the beginning. Investigators must establish the suspects’ identities, motives, networks and intended targets, ensuring that evidence is admissible in court. The process must remain impartial and free from political interference. Credible public updates are also necessary, provided they do not compromise investigations or operational security.
The authorities must adopt a comprehensive, intelligence-led security strategy for 2027. INEC’s proposed security conference should produce practical measures developed in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security (ICCES), the police, the DSS and other relevant agencies. Threat assessments should guide personnel deployment, secure transportation, emergency communications, evacuation procedures and rapid response. Protection must extend beyond polling day to the distribution of sensitive materials, collation centres and the safe return of ad hoc personnel.
Those who provide intelligence must also be protected from retaliation. Confidential reporting channels and appropriate safeguards should be established for informants and others assisting investigations. Equally, security deployments must not intimidate voters or facilitate political repression. Personnel should act professionally, impartially and proportionately, within the law. Clear mechanisms for reporting misconduct and investigating abuses are essential to maintaining public confidence.
The threat also highlights broader concerns about trust in the electoral system. The European Union Election Observation Mission’s June 2023 final report identified shortcomings in transparency and operational implementation during Nigeria’s 2023 general elections, alongside concerns about the legal framework and electoral dispute resolution. Credible elections require more than security; they depend on transparent procedures, accountable officials and consistent enforcement of electoral laws. INEC must demonstrate measurable progress in addressing previously identified weaknesses.
Voter apathy presents another challenge. INEC’s published figures indicate that approximately 25 million people voted in the 2023 presidential election, out of about 93.5 million registered voters, a turnout of roughly 26.7 per cent. Although insecurity is not the sole cause of low participation, threats against electoral personnel can heighten public anxiety and discourage voters from exercising their franchise. INEC should strengthen civic education, improve polling accessibility and communicate procedures clearly. Political parties, civil society and the media must promote peaceful participation and reject electoral intimidation.
Misinformation and manipulated digital content pose additional risks. False reports, fabricated announcements and deepfake videos can inflame tensions, impersonate officials and mislead voters. INEC should establish a well-resourced, rapid-response communication system supported by verified digital channels and timely public statements. Collaboration with credible media organisations and fact-checkers would help counter falsehoods without suppressing legitimate criticism. Clear, consistent communication is indispensable, as administrative confusion and delayed explanations often allow rumours to spread.
Electoral integrity must also begin within INEC itself. The chairman’s warning against partisanship, negligence, extortion and ethical misconduct deserves serious attention. Security measures cannot compensate for officials who abuse their positions or disregard established procedures. INEC should strengthen staff training, ensure transparent recruitment and deployment, provide secure channels for reporting misconduct and enforce disciplinary rules consistently. Allegations of bribery and political interference must be investigated regardless of rank, while ad hoc personnel should receive adequate briefing, support and prompt payment.
The legal framework also requires clarity and consistent enforcement. INEC should explain the precise provisions and applicability of Section 26 of the Electoral Act 2026, including the obligations of electoral officials and security personnel, and publish authoritative guidance on neutrality and professional conduct. Complaints by opposition parties that they have been prevented from campaigning in certain states must likewise be investigated impartially. Any established violations should attract appropriate corrective action. Electoral fairness requires not only impartial polling officials but also lawful campaigning, access to competing viewpoints and freedom from intimidation.
The alleged plot against INEC’s ad hoc personnel is a warning against complacency ahead of the 2027 general election. Governments, security agencies, INEC, political parties and civil society must work together to prevent violence, punish misconduct and protect citizens’ participation. The commission should communicate its security priorities, maintain accessible threat-reporting channels and provide periodic updates on preparedness. Nigeria’s democracy cannot be safeguarded by assurances alone; it requires demonstrable preparation, impartial law enforcement and an unwavering commitment to free, fair and credible elections.
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