Business
Debt Servicing Hindering Nigeria’s Dev – IMF
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has opened up on Nigeria’s socio/economic development issues, saying that the country allocates the majority of its revenue to debt servicing, leaving limited funds for critical development projects.
Disclosing this while speaking during the Fiscal Monitor press briefing at the IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings in Washington DC, David Furceri, Division Chief of the IMF’s Fiscal Affairs Department, emphasised the need for Nigeria to adopt more effective revenue mobilisation strategies to ease this financial burden.
Furceri noted that Nigeria’s debt service-to-revenue ratio stands at around 60 per cent, significantly constraining the government’s ability to invest in social and economic programmes.
Although the debt service-to-GDP ratio has declined from nearly 100 per cent to 60 per cent, he stressed that the country must further reduce the share of its revenue allocated to debt repayments by focusing on broadening its tax base.
He said, “There is a need to grow the revenue-to-GDP ratio. For a country Like Nigeria, the Debt Service-to-Revenue is about 60 per cent. What that means is that a larger part of the revenue of the country goes into debt servicing.
“What we recommend for countries like Nigeria, if they can improve their revenue mobilisation, they will be able to reduce the portion of the revenue that goes into debt servicing.
“It is important to broaden the tax base in order to have more revenue and especially in Nigeria to put in place a system and mechanism that is transparent and efficient to assist the government in collecting more revenue”.
He called for the implementation of a transparent and efficient tax collection system, urging the government to improve its fiscal operations to generate more income.
Also, the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor Report released last Thursday highlighted projections that Nigeria’s debt-to-GDP ratio, currently at 50.7 per cent, is expected to drop to 49.6 per cent by 2025.
It noted that the country’s public debt includes overdrafts from the Central Bank of Nigeria and liabilities from the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria.
“The overdrafts and government deposits at the Central Bank of Nigeria almost cancel each other out, and the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria debt is roughly halved”, the report noted.
Business
Pipelines Set To Ease Permian Natural Gas Glut
The regional price of natural gas produced in the Permian, the top U.S. oil basin, was negative for most of the first half of the year.
Rising associated gas output from oil-targeting wells has had nowhere to go. Producers had to either flare the gas, within allowed limits, or pay to get rid of what many Permian players see as an undesirable by-product of the valuable crude.
For years, the key constraint to local gas prices has been the insufficient pipeline takeaway capacity, which hasn’t grown in lockstep with the soaring gas production from oil-directed rigs as operators boost output in response to higher oil prices.
As a result, the natural gas spot price at the Waha hub, the regional pricing benchmark reflecting Midland-area gas production and pipeline capacity constraints, averaged -$2.19 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in the first half of 2026.
The Waha price hit a record low of -$7.95 at the end of April, over $10 per MMBtu lower than the national benchmark at Henry Hub of about $2.70 per MMBtu at the time.
However, the Waha hub price turned positive in June and has held above zero for more than a month, thanks to the start-up of the expansion of the Gulf Coast Express Pipeline (GCX) and Energy Transfer’s new Hugh Brinson Pipeline, which began moving gas but whose full capacity will not be reached until March 2027.
“The route is designed to move Permian and Midland Basin gas east from Waha and provide access to East Texas, the Katy Hub and Gulf Coast demand markets, including LNG export facilities, power plants, storage assets and industrial customers,” East Daley Analytics said in a note last week.
Aegis Hedging commented last week that “Analysts have been reporting that producers who were curtailing volumes, either shut in or flaring, have started to bring back those molecules as new pipeline capacity comes online.”
The new capacity will not solve the Permian excess gas problem at once. It will take several quarters for the current constraints to go away, Permian-focused oil and gas operators say.
But new constraints could emerge if the Strait of Hormuz crisis drags on and keeps oil prices elevated, encouraging additional oil drilling in the Permian, where most of the gas is an associated by-product and not the primary target of the operators.
Pipeline developers plan to bring 44.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of new natural gas pipeline capacity online in the United States in 2026 and 2027. Of these capacity additions, more than 66%, or 29.7 Bcf/d, originate in Texas, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed earlier this year.
The projects in Texas will provide additional takeaway capacity out of the Permian Basin and debottleneck the Waha Hub, the EIA said.
Hugh Brinson Pipeline, the Rio Bravo Pipeline Project, and the Blackcomb Pipeline are the three largest gas pipelines in Texas expected to enter into service by the end of the year, according to the EIA.
Until the congestion in the Permian basin eases, executives see natural gas takeaway capacity as the most significant constraint to their firm’s drilling activity in the Permian Basin in the next 12 months, the Dallas Fed Energy Survey showed in June.
Most executives at exploration and production firms focused primarily on the Permian said in the survey that they expect gas takeaway constraints in the Basin to be fully alleviated in 2027. The most frequently selected option was the first quarter of 2027, chosen by 25% of respondents. Yet, more than 10% expect the bottlenecks to be resolved no sooner than in 2028, and about 7% of respondents said “never”.
Business
FG Plans Rival Power Firms To Compete With Discos
According to him, the proposed Renewable Energy Service Companies, known as RESCOs, will offer consumers an alternative to conventional electricity distribution companies by providing round-the-clock clean energy through interconnected mini-grids powered by solar energy and battery storage.
“We at REA are developing something called the RESCOs, Renewable Energy Service Companies that will rival the DisCos in the next 10 to 15 years,” he said.
He explained that rather than allowing developers to build a single mini-grid in a community, the agency was encouraging firms to establish dozens of interconnected mini-grids capable of serving entire localities.
“Instead of us encouraging a developer to come in and build one mini-grid in this area and say, okay, I have a mini-grid, no; we’re encouraging developers now to build utility-scale mini-grids so one developer can own the entire community and build about 20 mini-grids to 50 mini-grids. So that going forward, you can decide not to use the conventional thermal power and say you want to go completely clean and just focus on that. I want my service to come from AYZ Renewable Energy Service Company. They provide you with clean energy 24-7,” he added.
“We think that we can’t leave everything in the hands of the DisCos. In some areas, they don’t even provide services. If you go to some communities, they’ll tell you that a DisCo does not provide power for them because they’re not making more money from that or because they don’t have the right feeders or functioning feeders in those areas,” he stated.
Aliyu said renewable energy mini-grids offered a more reliable solution because they could provide uninterrupted electricity if operators maintained the battery systems properly.
He stated that agreements were already being reached between mini-grid developers and distribution companies in areas where the latter had little or no presence.
“There are some areas currently that the DisCos do not service. So there will be an agreement between the DisCos and the RESCOs as we go along. Currently, as we speak, that agreement is already in place for some areas where we are deploying these mini-grids already.
Aliyu added that RESCos could also build their own electricity infrastructure where distribution companies were absent, subject to approval from the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission.
“In some areas where the DisCos are not supplying electricity at all, the RESCos are building their own transmission lines. Once you build a grid, you can build your own transmission line and supply those communities. It just has to go to NERC, which has to give you exclusivity rights to ensure that you own that infrastructure in that area and you’re able to supply”, he said.
Speaking on electricity pricing, Aliyu maintained that stable electricity supply would only be achieved if consumers embraced cost-reflective tariffs, stressing that the government could no longer sustain subsidy payments.
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