Editorial
Mitigating Another Flood Disaster
Recent announcement by the Nigerian Hydrological Services Agency (NIHSA) that Rivers State and 11 others across the country would, within the remaining months of 2018, experience severe flooding resulting from torrential rain falls, calls for serious concern.
The agency, in an emergency meeting with stakeholders in disaster management in Abuja, listed Rivers, Bayelsa, Kogi, Kebbi, Niger, Kwara, Edo, Benue, Anambra, Delta, Taraba and Adamawa as States that would be worst hit by the impending flood.
NIHSA revealed that all the indicators that played out before the 2012 flood disaster had already manifested in its latest survey, warning that these indicators point to the fact that the height of River Niger has risen to 10.11 meters as at penultimate Friday as against 9.74 meters of the same period in 2012.
Water levels, the agency stated, had been on the increase virtually every day due to the opening of the Shiroro, Kainji and Jebba Dams. It said the warning demands urgent proactive and preventive measures to avoid a repeat of the 2012 disaster. NIHSA particularly advised residents of flood-prone communities in the aforementioned states to be on red alert and possibly relocate to higher grounds.
The Tide is particularly worried that Rivers State has persistently been listed as one of the states to be flooded, and this calls for prompt action. We recall that Port Harcourt, Obio/Akpor, Ahoada East, Ahoada West, Abua/Odual, Ikwerre, Emohua, ONELGA, Oyigbo and Etche Local Government Areas were always worst hit by floods in the past. We, therefore, call on all relevant government and non-governmental agencies to collaborate to ensure that the state does not suffer another devastating flood disaster.
While we welcome the assurance by the Port Harcourt South South Zonal office of the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) of its readiness to efficiently tackle any threat posed by the predicted high tide in the state, we expect to see the speedy implementation of strategies to check the trend.
Equally noteworthy is the assurance by the Special Adviser on Emergency and Relief to the Rivers State Governor, Hon. Chris Berewari, that the government is prepared to handle the predicted flood in parts of the state and had already commenced sensitisation of residents in flood-prone communities.
We are aware that the state government, through its relevant organs, is also cleaning up the drains and water channels to allow for easy evacuation of storm water. It is, therefore, expected that residents should also help themselves by not dumping refuse into the drains. They should strive to use designated dumps and receptacles for waste disposal while structures erected on waterways should be relocated.
NEMA has acknowledged receipt of N3 billion to tackle this year’s flood emergencies. Even as this sum appears rather paltry, we believe that, if properly deployed and with additional funds from states through their emergency management outfits, a lot can be achieved collectively. There should be adequate deployment of men and materials, including helicopters, to help guide response teams to areas of most need during such disasters.
Plans should be made to establish emergency centres in major towns in the state ahead of the impending floods. Also, arrangement should be made to stock warehouse with foodstuffs and other relief items in readiness for any cases of Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs). We think this is the path to follow.
NIHSA’s prediction should be a clarion call to all stakeholders to effectively synergise to minimise human and material losses in the event of a flood emergency in the nation’s coastal States, particularly in Rivers State.
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INEC’s Threat Alert Deserves Urgent Attention
The Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) disclosure of an alleged plot to target its ad hoc personnel ahead of the 2027 general elections demand urgent national attention. The reported arrest of suspects, with intelligence support from the Department of State Services (DSS), is encouraging, but must not breed complacency. Any attack on electoral workers threatens not only human lives but also Nigerians’ constitutional right to choose their leaders through credible elections. The alleged conspiracy must be thoroughly investigated, its sponsors identified and all those found culpable prosecuted.
Particularly troubling is the reported targeting of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members, who play a vital role in Nigeria’s electoral process. Many serve far from home and undertake sensitive assignments at polling units and other electoral locations. As civilians, they should not be exposed to intimidation, abduction or violence without adequate protection. If election workers are vulnerable, the safety of other officials, observers and voters cannot be guaranteed.
Nigeria’s electoral history offers painful lessons. Human Rights Watch reported in Nigeria’s Post-Election Violence, published in May 2011, that more than 800 people died in the violence following the 2011 general elections. NYSC members serving as electoral officials were among the victims. This tragedy underscores the deadly consequences of political tension, incitement and disputed outcomes. Nigeria must act on the latest warning before another preventable disaster occurs.
INEC deserves recognition for uncovering the alleged plot, while the DSS and other security agencies merit commendation for their reported assistance. However, arrests are only the beginning. Investigators must establish the suspects’ identities, motives, networks and intended targets, ensuring that evidence is admissible in court. The process must remain impartial and free from political interference. Credible public updates are also necessary, provided they do not compromise investigations or operational security.
The authorities must adopt a comprehensive, intelligence-led security strategy for 2027. INEC’s proposed security conference should produce practical measures developed in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security (ICCES), the police, the DSS and other relevant agencies. Threat assessments should guide personnel deployment, secure transportation, emergency communications, evacuation procedures and rapid response. Protection must extend beyond polling day to the distribution of sensitive materials, collation centres and the safe return of ad hoc personnel.
Those who provide intelligence must also be protected from retaliation. Confidential reporting channels and appropriate safeguards should be established for informants and others assisting investigations. Equally, security deployments must not intimidate voters or facilitate political repression. Personnel should act professionally, impartially and proportionately, within the law. Clear mechanisms for reporting misconduct and investigating abuses are essential to maintaining public confidence.
The threat also highlights broader concerns about trust in the electoral system. The European Union Election Observation Mission’s June 2023 final report identified shortcomings in transparency and operational implementation during Nigeria’s 2023 general elections, alongside concerns about the legal framework and electoral dispute resolution. Credible elections require more than security; they depend on transparent procedures, accountable officials and consistent enforcement of electoral laws. INEC must demonstrate measurable progress in addressing previously identified weaknesses.
Voter apathy presents another challenge. INEC’s published figures indicate that approximately 25 million people voted in the 2023 presidential election, out of about 93.5 million registered voters, a turnout of roughly 26.7 per cent. Although insecurity is not the sole cause of low participation, threats against electoral personnel can heighten public anxiety and discourage voters from exercising their franchise. INEC should strengthen civic education, improve polling accessibility and communicate procedures clearly. Political parties, civil society and the media must promote peaceful participation and reject electoral intimidation.
Misinformation and manipulated digital content pose additional risks. False reports, fabricated announcements and deepfake videos can inflame tensions, impersonate officials and mislead voters. INEC should establish a well-resourced, rapid-response communication system supported by verified digital channels and timely public statements. Collaboration with credible media organisations and fact-checkers would help counter falsehoods without suppressing legitimate criticism. Clear, consistent communication is indispensable, as administrative confusion and delayed explanations often allow rumours to spread.
Electoral integrity must also begin within INEC itself. The chairman’s warning against partisanship, negligence, extortion and ethical misconduct deserves serious attention. Security measures cannot compensate for officials who abuse their positions or disregard established procedures. INEC should strengthen staff training, ensure transparent recruitment and deployment, provide secure channels for reporting misconduct and enforce disciplinary rules consistently. Allegations of bribery and political interference must be investigated regardless of rank, while ad hoc personnel should receive adequate briefing, support and prompt payment.
The legal framework also requires clarity and consistent enforcement. INEC should explain the precise provisions and applicability of Section 26 of the Electoral Act 2026, including the obligations of electoral officials and security personnel, and publish authoritative guidance on neutrality and professional conduct. Complaints by opposition parties that they have been prevented from campaigning in certain states must likewise be investigated impartially. Any established violations should attract appropriate corrective action. Electoral fairness requires not only impartial polling officials but also lawful campaigning, access to competing viewpoints and freedom from intimidation.
The alleged plot against INEC’s ad hoc personnel is a warning against complacency ahead of the 2027 general election. Governments, security agencies, INEC, political parties and civil society must work together to prevent violence, punish misconduct and protect citizens’ participation. The commission should communicate its security priorities, maintain accessible threat-reporting channels and provide periodic updates on preparedness. Nigeria’s democracy cannot be safeguarded by assurances alone; it requires demonstrable preparation, impartial law enforcement and an unwavering commitment to free, fair and credible elections.
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