Editorial
Oil Theft: That Alleged Military’s Complicity
The Rivers State Governor, Sir Siminalayi Fubara, recently expressed deep concern over the persistent loss of crude oil and its resultant negative impact on the environment. He made allegation, stating that despite his administration’s strong dedication to combat illegal bunkering activities in the state, certain officers of the Nigerian Army were involved in compromising behaviours in specific areas such as Ahoada East and Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government Areas.
The governor conveyed this allegation during his meeting with the Chief of Army Staff, Lt.-Gen. Taoreed Abiodun Lagbaja, who paid a formal visit to the Government House in Port Harcourt. According to the governor, the implicated officers were affiliated with a specific company located in the Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Local Government Area.
Fubara said, “One special problem that we have here is the issue of bunkering. In some parts of the state, in Ahoada East and Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni, most of the bunkering activities there, we believe, are subsisting because there is this cooperation between the Army and high-top oil companies. I am saying this because there is this road we are constructing in Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni, and each time the contractors approach this particular company to solicit cooperation to enable them to carry out their obligations, the military always attack the contractors.”
We commend the governor for bravely speaking out against the military’s involvement in the atrocious act, despite encountering stiff opposition to interventions. The governor’s claims have been verified and it is crucial that security agencies are compelled to disclose any member who may be collaborating with the perpetrators. The Federal Government must stay firm in its commitment, promptly fulfilling its responsibility to uncover any complicit official.
Fubara’s observation is supported by the remarks of prominent Niger Delta ex-militant leader, Asari Dokubo, who accused the Nigerian military of being responsible for a greater majority of oil theft in the country. Dokubo made this accusation following a private meeting with President Bola Tinubu in the latter’s office. He mentioned that the President had assured him of conducting an investigation into the allegations of extensive oil bunkering orchestrated by influential naval commanders who served as kingpins, and also pledged to take firm action to put an end to this ignominious practice.
The former militant leader asserted that the culpability for oil theft in the Niger Delta region lies not with the ordinary citizens, who lack the means to orchestrate such complex acts of theft. He contended that the manner in which the oil thieves have conducted their illicit activities had not only deprived the people of the Niger Delta of their means of sustenance, but also constitutes a grave crime against humanity.
To corroborate this claim, a House of Representatives committee is currently investigating the substantial oil theft in the Niger Delta after uncovering, through credible intelligence, collaboration between regulatory agencies and security agencies. The committee has said that it will examine the actions of marginal field operators who are accused of assisting in crude oil theft to compensate for production deficits. The lawmakers have already had discussions with security agencies and plan to also involve marginal field operators, as well as 14 production-sharing contract operators, and 57 joint venture operators in their investigations.
Oil theft in Nigeria is causing severe damage, with roughly 40 per cent of explored crude oil being lost due to theft and measurement inaccuracies caused by insufficient maintenance of metering facilities. The House has estimated that in 2021 alone, the country suffered a loss of $4billion, equivalent to a daily loss of 200,000 barrels. A recent statement from the National Security Adviser, Nuhu Ribadu, confirmed that a staggering 400,000 barrels are being stolen each day. Consequently, Nigeria is unable to meet its current OPEC production quota of 1.8 million barrels per day.
President Bola Tinubu should investigate Governor Fubara’s claims. The military should also conduct an internal investigation to identify any collaborators within its ranks, both current and retired. In 2022, the former Chief of Defence Staff, Lucky Irabor, expressed a commitment to investigating oil theft activities after visiting oil theft sites in Delta State with oil sector executives. His successor, Chris Musa, should ensure that this promise is upheld. The Nigerian Navy should take necessary steps to remove any officer found to be involved in these illicit activities.
The most perplexing aspect of Nigeria’s oil theft situation is the deliberate act of setting vessels ablaze, either onshore or at sea, along with the captured stolen crude oil. This is done without conducting comprehensive investigations, initiating legal proceedings, or obtaining court orders. The government should cease this peculiar and extravagant practice.
The impact of oil theft on the economy is enormous, considering that crude oil contributes to about 90 per cent of the country’s revenue. According to a study published in the European Modern Studies Journal, Nigeria has suffered substantial revenue losses due to oil theft. In 2019, the country lost $2.1billion, followed by $1.9billion in 2020, $7.2billion in 2021, and a staggering $22.4billion in 2022.
The government plays a critical role in safeguarding pipelines and other economic assets, and it is imperative that they strengthen their efforts in this regard. It is essential to identify and apprehend security operatives involved in oil theft, ensuring that they face prosecution for their actions. Any collaborators within the military’s ranks must be held accountable and brought to justice.
This is one best way to ensure that the fight against crude oil theft and illegal refining of petroleum products is eliminated, so as to save the nation of the excruciating pains it faces not just because of huge revenue losses but also the damage to the environment and the consequent health complications.
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INEC’s Threat Alert Deserves Urgent Attention
The Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) disclosure of an alleged plot to target its ad hoc personnel ahead of the 2027 general elections demand urgent national attention. The reported arrest of suspects, with intelligence support from the Department of State Services (DSS), is encouraging, but must not breed complacency. Any attack on electoral workers threatens not only human lives but also Nigerians’ constitutional right to choose their leaders through credible elections. The alleged conspiracy must be thoroughly investigated, its sponsors identified and all those found culpable prosecuted.
Particularly troubling is the reported targeting of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members, who play a vital role in Nigeria’s electoral process. Many serve far from home and undertake sensitive assignments at polling units and other electoral locations. As civilians, they should not be exposed to intimidation, abduction or violence without adequate protection. If election workers are vulnerable, the safety of other officials, observers and voters cannot be guaranteed.
Nigeria’s electoral history offers painful lessons. Human Rights Watch reported in Nigeria’s Post-Election Violence, published in May 2011, that more than 800 people died in the violence following the 2011 general elections. NYSC members serving as electoral officials were among the victims. This tragedy underscores the deadly consequences of political tension, incitement and disputed outcomes. Nigeria must act on the latest warning before another preventable disaster occurs.
INEC deserves recognition for uncovering the alleged plot, while the DSS and other security agencies merit commendation for their reported assistance. However, arrests are only the beginning. Investigators must establish the suspects’ identities, motives, networks and intended targets, ensuring that evidence is admissible in court. The process must remain impartial and free from political interference. Credible public updates are also necessary, provided they do not compromise investigations or operational security.
The authorities must adopt a comprehensive, intelligence-led security strategy for 2027. INEC’s proposed security conference should produce practical measures developed in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security (ICCES), the police, the DSS and other relevant agencies. Threat assessments should guide personnel deployment, secure transportation, emergency communications, evacuation procedures and rapid response. Protection must extend beyond polling day to the distribution of sensitive materials, collation centres and the safe return of ad hoc personnel.
Those who provide intelligence must also be protected from retaliation. Confidential reporting channels and appropriate safeguards should be established for informants and others assisting investigations. Equally, security deployments must not intimidate voters or facilitate political repression. Personnel should act professionally, impartially and proportionately, within the law. Clear mechanisms for reporting misconduct and investigating abuses are essential to maintaining public confidence.
The threat also highlights broader concerns about trust in the electoral system. The European Union Election Observation Mission’s June 2023 final report identified shortcomings in transparency and operational implementation during Nigeria’s 2023 general elections, alongside concerns about the legal framework and electoral dispute resolution. Credible elections require more than security; they depend on transparent procedures, accountable officials and consistent enforcement of electoral laws. INEC must demonstrate measurable progress in addressing previously identified weaknesses.
Voter apathy presents another challenge. INEC’s published figures indicate that approximately 25 million people voted in the 2023 presidential election, out of about 93.5 million registered voters, a turnout of roughly 26.7 per cent. Although insecurity is not the sole cause of low participation, threats against electoral personnel can heighten public anxiety and discourage voters from exercising their franchise. INEC should strengthen civic education, improve polling accessibility and communicate procedures clearly. Political parties, civil society and the media must promote peaceful participation and reject electoral intimidation.
Misinformation and manipulated digital content pose additional risks. False reports, fabricated announcements and deepfake videos can inflame tensions, impersonate officials and mislead voters. INEC should establish a well-resourced, rapid-response communication system supported by verified digital channels and timely public statements. Collaboration with credible media organisations and fact-checkers would help counter falsehoods without suppressing legitimate criticism. Clear, consistent communication is indispensable, as administrative confusion and delayed explanations often allow rumours to spread.
Electoral integrity must also begin within INEC itself. The chairman’s warning against partisanship, negligence, extortion and ethical misconduct deserves serious attention. Security measures cannot compensate for officials who abuse their positions or disregard established procedures. INEC should strengthen staff training, ensure transparent recruitment and deployment, provide secure channels for reporting misconduct and enforce disciplinary rules consistently. Allegations of bribery and political interference must be investigated regardless of rank, while ad hoc personnel should receive adequate briefing, support and prompt payment.
The legal framework also requires clarity and consistent enforcement. INEC should explain the precise provisions and applicability of Section 26 of the Electoral Act 2026, including the obligations of electoral officials and security personnel, and publish authoritative guidance on neutrality and professional conduct. Complaints by opposition parties that they have been prevented from campaigning in certain states must likewise be investigated impartially. Any established violations should attract appropriate corrective action. Electoral fairness requires not only impartial polling officials but also lawful campaigning, access to competing viewpoints and freedom from intimidation.
The alleged plot against INEC’s ad hoc personnel is a warning against complacency ahead of the 2027 general election. Governments, security agencies, INEC, political parties and civil society must work together to prevent violence, punish misconduct and protect citizens’ participation. The commission should communicate its security priorities, maintain accessible threat-reporting channels and provide periodic updates on preparedness. Nigeria’s democracy cannot be safeguarded by assurances alone; it requires demonstrable preparation, impartial law enforcement and an unwavering commitment to free, fair and credible elections.
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