Editorial
Flooding: Responding To Lagdo Dam Warning
The alert issued by the Cameroonian authorities regarding the projected discharge of excess water from
their Lagdo Dam brings forth another time of distress and suffering for Nigerians. The memoirs of the ravaging torrent that unleashed mayhem in 2022, when these floodgates were last opened, should serve as a grim reminder of the potential repercussions. Immediate action should be taken to address this looming threat.
The authorities in Abuja and the concerned states must remain circumspect, despite the guarantee given by the Cameroonian government regarding the release of water from the dam. The saying, “To be forewarned is to be forearmed” holds in this situation, emphasising the value of being equipped for any probable risks. Accordingly, the government should maintain a wary approach, ensuring that needed measures are in place to mitigate and forestall any damage that may ensue along the River Benue basin in both Cameroon and Nigeria.
Besides the warning by the Cameroonian government, the International Organisation for Migration (IOM) had predicted that an amazing 4.2 million Nigerians could face displacement this year. In their report, the IOM estimated that a substantial amount of $20 million would be required to ensure the safety and well-being of the most vulnerable communities. These funds would be earmarked towards securing suitable sanctuaries and expediting relocation efforts from May to October.
Regrettably, it is unlikely that the Nigerian government will take these prognoses seriously. Examining the way past deluges have been managed in the country exposes a pattern of dereliction and inattention to the forecasts of imminent calamities. Despite many warnings, our governments and responsible agencies have failed to meet the expectations of the citizens, leaving them to confront the floods on their own. This persisting abandonment of the population in moments of emergency has spawned a sense of disillusionment and resentment among the people.
In contrast to the ravaging flood situations in 2012 and 2022, which induced extensive carnage to communities, roads, and farmlands because of brimming rivers, the authorities and emergency agencies along the 1,400-kilometre Benue River should prepare for potential flooding. Evacuating vulnerable communities, principally those in flood plains, may be fundamental to ensure safety and curtail risks.
On the warning from Cameroon, the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) claims to be on top of the situation and has been embarking on sensitisation campaigns across Nigeria. “The letter is genuine. It is not coming to us by surprise. We identified various likely causes of flood, including the possibility of excess water release from the Lagdo dam, and included all in our flood preparedness for the year,” said the spokesman of the agency, Manzo Ezekiel.
In 2013, Cameroon and Nigeria negotiated an agreement where the former would provide early warning notices to Nigeria to implement proactive measures. With the alert now issued, prompt response by all tiers of government is essential to preclude a recurrence of the ruining tragedies in 2012 and 2022. States should establish a State Emergency Management Agency (SEMA) and Internally Displaced Persons (IDP) camps to preempt probable mishaps. Procuring and storing relief materials worth millions of naira are indispensable.
We advocate the urgent construction of flood control dams along the Rivers Niger and Benue to thwart possible flooding resulting from the release of water from the Lagdo dam. This must be prioritised, alongside the dredging of major rivers, to alleviate siltation and sedimentation. All categories of government should implement existing policies and establish new legislation to safeguard the ecosystem from the pernicious impacts of human endeavours prompted by industrialisation, urbanisation, and climate variation.
NEMA should proceed from raising alarms to being strategic. However, the problem is not peculiar to the agency, the affected states, or the likely victims. There is a systemic challenge of our institutions and leaders preferring reactive instead of proactive responses to socio-economic challenges. This is from the highest level of government to the least of our public institutions. We are permanently reactive in our approach to governance, suffering devastating consequences before belatedly putting on our thinking caps.
Considering the remarkable transformations in the weather, if more wrecking heavy rains occur, they could cause great cataclysm to lives and property. Unfortunately, there are no measures in place to ward off hazards emanating from these probable circumstances. Burst pipelines, building collapses, flash floods, and other episodes caused by human omissions have had the most stringent impact on this country. Nigeria’s emergency services frequently project their ineptitude as their dearth of preparedness is revealed.
Since the floods last year and 2012, when the Niger-Benue River system burst its banks and submerged communities with the attendant loss of lives and economic livelihood practices, what has the government at all levels done to avert future disasters? What frameworks have been put in place to deal with another incident? Elsewhere, levees and embankments would have been erected to check floodwaters and protect communities. Not in Nigeria.
Public enlightenment is recommended, specifically at the community level, to promote awareness and sensitise the people in anticipation of the flood. The notification concerning the discharge of water from the Lagdo Dam is a wake-up call for the Nigerian government to address the potential aftereffects. We must disseminate accurate information and educate the public on the precautions to blunt the impact of the flood.
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INEC’s Threat Alert Deserves Urgent Attention
The Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) disclosure of an alleged plot to target its ad hoc personnel ahead of the 2027 general elections demand urgent national attention. The reported arrest of suspects, with intelligence support from the Department of State Services (DSS), is encouraging, but must not breed complacency. Any attack on electoral workers threatens not only human lives but also Nigerians’ constitutional right to choose their leaders through credible elections. The alleged conspiracy must be thoroughly investigated, its sponsors identified and all those found culpable prosecuted.
Particularly troubling is the reported targeting of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) members, who play a vital role in Nigeria’s electoral process. Many serve far from home and undertake sensitive assignments at polling units and other electoral locations. As civilians, they should not be exposed to intimidation, abduction or violence without adequate protection. If election workers are vulnerable, the safety of other officials, observers and voters cannot be guaranteed.
Nigeria’s electoral history offers painful lessons. Human Rights Watch reported in Nigeria’s Post-Election Violence, published in May 2011, that more than 800 people died in the violence following the 2011 general elections. NYSC members serving as electoral officials were among the victims. This tragedy underscores the deadly consequences of political tension, incitement and disputed outcomes. Nigeria must act on the latest warning before another preventable disaster occurs.
INEC deserves recognition for uncovering the alleged plot, while the DSS and other security agencies merit commendation for their reported assistance. However, arrests are only the beginning. Investigators must establish the suspects’ identities, motives, networks and intended targets, ensuring that evidence is admissible in court. The process must remain impartial and free from political interference. Credible public updates are also necessary, provided they do not compromise investigations or operational security.
The authorities must adopt a comprehensive, intelligence-led security strategy for 2027. INEC’s proposed security conference should produce practical measures developed in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on Election Security (ICCES), the police, the DSS and other relevant agencies. Threat assessments should guide personnel deployment, secure transportation, emergency communications, evacuation procedures and rapid response. Protection must extend beyond polling day to the distribution of sensitive materials, collation centres and the safe return of ad hoc personnel.
Those who provide intelligence must also be protected from retaliation. Confidential reporting channels and appropriate safeguards should be established for informants and others assisting investigations. Equally, security deployments must not intimidate voters or facilitate political repression. Personnel should act professionally, impartially and proportionately, within the law. Clear mechanisms for reporting misconduct and investigating abuses are essential to maintaining public confidence.
The threat also highlights broader concerns about trust in the electoral system. The European Union Election Observation Mission’s June 2023 final report identified shortcomings in transparency and operational implementation during Nigeria’s 2023 general elections, alongside concerns about the legal framework and electoral dispute resolution. Credible elections require more than security; they depend on transparent procedures, accountable officials and consistent enforcement of electoral laws. INEC must demonstrate measurable progress in addressing previously identified weaknesses.
Voter apathy presents another challenge. INEC’s published figures indicate that approximately 25 million people voted in the 2023 presidential election, out of about 93.5 million registered voters, a turnout of roughly 26.7 per cent. Although insecurity is not the sole cause of low participation, threats against electoral personnel can heighten public anxiety and discourage voters from exercising their franchise. INEC should strengthen civic education, improve polling accessibility and communicate procedures clearly. Political parties, civil society and the media must promote peaceful participation and reject electoral intimidation.
Misinformation and manipulated digital content pose additional risks. False reports, fabricated announcements and deepfake videos can inflame tensions, impersonate officials and mislead voters. INEC should establish a well-resourced, rapid-response communication system supported by verified digital channels and timely public statements. Collaboration with credible media organisations and fact-checkers would help counter falsehoods without suppressing legitimate criticism. Clear, consistent communication is indispensable, as administrative confusion and delayed explanations often allow rumours to spread.
Electoral integrity must also begin within INEC itself. The chairman’s warning against partisanship, negligence, extortion and ethical misconduct deserves serious attention. Security measures cannot compensate for officials who abuse their positions or disregard established procedures. INEC should strengthen staff training, ensure transparent recruitment and deployment, provide secure channels for reporting misconduct and enforce disciplinary rules consistently. Allegations of bribery and political interference must be investigated regardless of rank, while ad hoc personnel should receive adequate briefing, support and prompt payment.
The legal framework also requires clarity and consistent enforcement. INEC should explain the precise provisions and applicability of Section 26 of the Electoral Act 2026, including the obligations of electoral officials and security personnel, and publish authoritative guidance on neutrality and professional conduct. Complaints by opposition parties that they have been prevented from campaigning in certain states must likewise be investigated impartially. Any established violations should attract appropriate corrective action. Electoral fairness requires not only impartial polling officials but also lawful campaigning, access to competing viewpoints and freedom from intimidation.
The alleged plot against INEC’s ad hoc personnel is a warning against complacency ahead of the 2027 general election. Governments, security agencies, INEC, political parties and civil society must work together to prevent violence, punish misconduct and protect citizens’ participation. The commission should communicate its security priorities, maintain accessible threat-reporting channels and provide periodic updates on preparedness. Nigeria’s democracy cannot be safeguarded by assurances alone; it requires demonstrable preparation, impartial law enforcement and an unwavering commitment to free, fair and credible elections.
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