Business
Association Urges Restraint On Fuel Subsidy Removal
The Association of National Accountants of Nigeria
(ANAN), has advised the Federal Government to handle the removal of petrol
subsidy with caution and restraint.
The
President of ANAN, Hajia Maryam Ladi Ibrahim, said this in a statement titled
“Analysis of President’s Speech on Nigeria’s 2013 Budget”, made available to
newsmen at the weekend in Lagos.
According
to the association, the conscious omission of petrol subsidy from the 2013
budget suggests the complete removal of the subsidy in 2013.
“Rather
than outright removal, a gradual removal spread over a period of three years
will be more appropriate, the accounting body said.
It
continued, “this may reduce the level of resistance and increase the policy’s
popularity, especially where the government is able to use funds realised from
the oil subsidy to meaningfully improve the social and economic well-being of
Nigerians through the Subsidy Reinvestment Programme (SURE-P).”
The
association said that an increase in the allocation of capital expenditure from
28.53 per cent in 2012 to 33 per cent in 2013 was highly commendable.
“The
action supports the government’s resolve to correct the structural imbalance in
the nation’s fiscal spending,” it said, adding, “this is still inadequate
considering the level of infrastructural development and capital formation
required to attain the nation’s long-term economic growth target.”
According
to the professional body, an allocation of 68.7 per cent of the total
expenditure budget to recurrent still made the budget highly tilted towards
consumption rather than development, as was the case in 2012.
“There
should be a conscious plan and action towards achieving allocation pattern of
50:50 in terms of capital and recurrent expenditures in the next five years,
otherwise the country’s vision as encapsulated into Transformation Agenda will
remain a mirage,” the association said.
The
association said that some of the assumptions in the 2013 budget were sound and
realistic, adding that the assumption of the 2.53 million barrels of crude oil
per day was realistic, if only clear strategies would be put in place to plug
the various leakages arising from theft and insecurity in the oil industry.
According
to ANAN, an increase of five per cent to seven per cent might be feasible
considering the actual average price of crude oil per barrel in 2010 and a
five-year trend analysis of prices of crude oil in the world market.
The
professional body noted that a projected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of 6.5
per cent was also considered as conservative and realistic.
The
association said that, however, the unavailability of projected inflation rate
was worrisome in view of the importance of this statistics for economic
planning by not only government but also industries and individuals.
“An
inflation rate of between 11 per cent and 12 per cent could be realistic
considering the actual average inflationary trend of 12.45 per cent in 2012,”
ANAN said.
It
added that for any meaningful development to be adhered to in the country, the
real sector of the economy must be clearly and correctly defined and supported
with genuine incentives capable of fostering growth and development.
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