Business
Weaker Global Growth Expected In 2011, 2012 – Report
After a year of fragile and uneven recovery, global economic growth started to decelerate on a broad front in mid-2010 a world Economic Situation and Prospects report has said.
The report for 2011 was released on Tuesday in Addis Ababa.
The178 page report, presented by Mr Adam Elhiraika, of Economic Department and NEPAD Division of the UN Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA), said the slowdown would continue into 2011 and 2012 as weaknesses in major developed economies continue to drag on the global recovery.
It stated that the slowdown in recovery posed risks for world economic stability in the coming years.
“The unprecedented scale of the policy measures taken by governments during the early stage of the crisis no doubt helped stabilise financial markets and jump-start a recovery’’, it stated.
According to the report, the policy response weakened during 2010 and was expected to be much less supportive in the near term as widening fiscal deficits and rising public debt have undermined support for further fiscal stimuli.
“Many governments, particularly those in developed countries, are already shifting towards fiscal austerity, a trend that will adversely affect global economic growth in 2011 and 2012’’, it stated.
The report said global recovery was dragged down by the developed economies as the World Gross Product (WGP) was forecast to expand by 3.1 per cent in 2011 and 3.5 per cent in 2012.
Among the developed countries, the US has been on the mend from its longest and deepest recession since the Second World War.
“The US has been experiencing the weakest recovery pace in history because the level of GDP would return to its pre-crisis peak by 2011, while full employment recovery would take another four years.
“Growth in many European countries will also remain low, drained by drastic fiscal cuts, some may continue to be in recession, while that of Japan would also decelerate notably,’’ it noted.
The report said developing countries and economies in transition continued to drive the global recovery, but their output growth would be expected to be moderate in 2011 and 2012.
It stated that developing Asia would continue to show the strongest growth performance.
“Strong growth in major developing economies, especially China, is an important factor in the rebound in global trade and commodity prices, which is benefiting growth in Latin America, the Commonwealth of Independent States and parts of Africa.
“Yet, the economic recovery remains below potential in all three regions,’’ it explained.
It stated that formidable challenges remained for the long-run development of many low-income countries because their recovery would also be below potential.
According to the report, between 2007 and the end of 2009, at least 30 million jobs were lost as a result of the global financial crisis.
“Despite a rebound in employment in parts of the world, especially in developing countries, the global economy will still need to create at least another 22 million new jobs in order to return to the pre-crisis level of global employment.
“At the current speed of the recovery, this would take at least five years’’, it stated.
The report said recent economic crisis should provide impetus for structural economic transformation, job creation, food security, poverty reduction and adoption to climate change embedded in comprehensive natural development strategies.
Business
Private sector gets N2.2tr credit in 30 days — CBN
Credit to Nigeria’s private sector rose to N83.26 trillion in June 2026 from N81.04 trillion in May, signifying a positive balance of N2.22 trillion month-on-month.
Year-on-year, the figure represents a nine per cent increase compared with the N76.13 trillion recorded in June 2025. The latest figures come as the CBN continues to balance efforts to control inflation with the need to support economic growth and expand credit to businesses.
The CBN data shows that credit to Nigeria’s private sector increased by approximately 2.74 per cent month-on-month between May and June 2026. Also, the CBN data noted that credit to the government fell slightly to N40.03 trillion from N40.38 trillion. Other assets, net, dropped to N10.76 trillion from N12.63 trillion.
The credit surge signifies sustained growth in lending to businesses and other private-sector borrowers during the month. The rise in private sector credit was recorded alongside an increase in net domestic credit, despite declines in credit to government and other assets.
Further analysis of the report says that compared with June 2025, private sector credit rose by about N7.13 trillion yea-on-year but net domestic credit increased by approximately N1.87 trillion during the month.
The CBN’s relatively tight monetary policy stance notwithstanding, more banks still loaded funds to the private sector within the period. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) held its 306th meeting on July 20 and 21.
The Committee reviewed recent developments in the global and domestic economies, assessed emerging risks to the outlook and considered their implications for monetary policy and retained all rates.
The Committee decided to retain the Monetary Policy Rate at 26.5 per cent; the Standing Facilities Corridor around the MPR at +50/-450 basis points and retain the Cash Reserve Requirement (CRR) for Deposit Money Banks at 45.00 per cent, Merchant Banks at 16.00 per cent, and non-TSA public sector deposits at 75.00 per cent.
The MPC decision means that credit extension in the private sector will likely continue to rise because of rising confidence in the sector and calls by stakeholders for banks to invest in the private scetor instead of government securities.
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